PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 110-113
30-32 22-28 38-27 20-26
Position#9
Record19-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game121.1
Allowed / game117.6
vs
Position#23
Record17-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game111.2
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
120-98
120
98
+22
120avg 111
H14/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
130-129
130
129
+1
131avg 111
A17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
124-126
124
126
-2
124avg 111
A20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
132-129 OT
132
129
+3
131avg 111
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
117-90
117
90
+27
119avg 111
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
100-110
100
110
-10
94avg 111
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
135-149
135
149
-14
135avg 111
H28/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
134-121
134
121
+13
132avg 111
H29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
132-121
132
121
+11
131avg 111
A31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
139-120
139
120
+19
147avg 111
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
19-25
35-22
37-29
41-21
34-47
21-35
34-26
35-30
31-36
21-38
37-22
28-29
31-38
22-26
38-26
27-26
28-25
45-28
17-11
34-38
22-20
22-27
22-25
38-40
27-40
36-36
34-33
36-38
31-23
47-28
20-32
36-37
28-29
34-23
34-32
40-33
34-38
41-24
24-25
245.6Avg total
126.3Scored
119.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)121.1117.6238.6+3.559%
Season at home (15)121.6117.2238.8+4.467%
Season away (17)120.6117.9238.5+2.753%
Last 10 (10)126.3119.3245.6+7.070%
Last 5 (5)128.0124.2252.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)124.3132.3256.7-8.033%
vs Similar (13)121.2118.1239.2+3.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)123.9115.6239.6+8.371%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
121-116
121
116
+5
116avg 107
H09/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
118-116
118
116
+2
117avg 107
A14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
92-106
92
106
-14
91avg 107
H16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
133-126 OT
133
126
+7
122avg 107
H20/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
114-94
114
94
+20
113avg 107
H22/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
106-111
106
111
-5
102avg 107
A24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
114-117
114
117
-3
117avg 107
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
96-87
96
87
+9
91avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
110-112
110
112
-2
100avg 107
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
122-86
122
86
+36
127avg 107
H01/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-34
43-28
21-25
29-29
33-25
19-17
28-46
38-28
19-28
18-24
33-24
22-30
36-29
24-37
30-21
30-33
25-20
35-24
27-25
27-25
20-19
25-29
30-36
31-27
27-28
31-23
25-37
31-29
11-22
30-19
33-21
22-25
33-25
12-32
37-25
28-30
31-17
32-26
28-20
31-23
219.7Avg total
112.6Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)111.5111.2222.6+0.352%
Season at home (19)114.8111.5226.3+3.363%
Season away (14)106.9110.7217.6-3.836%
Last 10 (10)112.6107.1219.7+5.560%
Last 5 (5)109.6102.6212.2+7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)106.2106.7212.9-0.540%
vs Similar (13)113.2115.8228.9-2.646%
vs Weaker (7)118.0109.3227.3+8.786%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H14/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
D
66-66
66
66
+0
A20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H28/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H02/01
NBA
126.4Avg total
62.9Scored
63.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.562.6123.0-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.263.5123.6-3.346%-
Last 30 away (17)60.761.9122.6-1.224%-
Last 10 (10)62.963.5126.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)65.267.2132.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.770.7131.3-10.00%-
vs Similar (13)59.461.8121.2-2.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)61.461.6123.0-0.136%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H09/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H20/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H22/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A28/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H01/01
NBA
103.8Avg total
53.2Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.156.5109.6-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.158.6114.6-2.541%-
Last 30 away (13)49.253.8103.1-4.623%-
Last 10 (10)53.250.6103.8+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)50.448.098.4+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)50.153.7103.8-3.650%-
vs Similar (13)54.257.7111.8-3.531%-
vs Weaker (7)55.458.4113.9-3.014%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 126.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers71.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.535.8
60.2%
54.3%71.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.8
37.8%
35.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws24.219.3
79.8%
77.8%19.3
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 112.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.728.4
56.0%
54.3%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.312.9
33.7%
35.9%38.7
🏀 Free throws21.117.1
81.0%
77.8%17.1
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLWWLWW
San Antonio Spurs
WLWLLWWLWW
#9
League position
#23
+6.7
Net rating
+5.4
120.3
Offensive rating
110.9
113.6
Defensive rating
105.5
59.0%
Effective FG%
53.7%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
13.5%
Turnover %
13.6%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.8%
3-point %
33.7%
70.4%
Assist %
73.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.3 · 110.9Defence113.6 · 105.5Shooting59.0% · 53.7%3-point %37.8% · 33.7%Ball care13.5% · 13.6%Off. rebounds26.1% · 23.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/25HAtlanta Hawks139-120
31/12/24AUtah Jazz132-121
29/12/24HDetroit Pistons134-121
28/12/24HCleveland Cavaliers135-149
26/12/24APhoenix Suns100-110
24/12/24HPhoenix Suns117-90
23/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans132-129 OT
20/12/24APortland Trail Blazers124-126
17/12/24ASacramento Kings130-129
14/12/24HLos Angeles Clippers120-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25HLos Angeles Clippers122-86
30/12/24AMinnesota Timberwolves110-112
28/12/24ABrooklyn Nets96-87
25/12/24ANew York Knicks114-117
24/12/24APhiladelphia 76ers106-111
22/12/24HPortland Trail Blazers114-94
20/12/24HAtlanta Hawks133-126 OT
16/12/24HMinnesota Timberwolves92-106
14/12/24APortland Trail Blazers118-116
09/12/24HNew Orleans Pelicans121-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW59%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %59%67%53%
Points / game121.1121.6120.6
Allowed / game117.6117.2117.9
Point differential+3.5+4.4+2.7
Avg total238.6238.8238.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)67% (6)57% (7)
Overtime %9%0%18%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW52%
HomeWLWWW63%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %52%63%36%
Points / game111.5114.8106.9
Allowed / game111.2111.5110.7
Point differential+0.3+3.3-3.8
Avg total222.6226.3217.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%32%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)40% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3430488%122.7110.8+11.9
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3227584%115.5103.5+12.0
3 Boston Celtics3526974%119.3108.4+10.9
4 New York Knicks34241071%118.1109.9+8.2
5 Memphis Grizzlies34231168%123.2114.1+9.1
6 Houston Rockets32211166%113.2106.8+6.4
7 Orlando Magic35211460%105.5103.1+2.5
8 Denver Nuggets32191359%121.1117.6+3.5
9 Dallas Mavericks34201459%117.1111.9+5.2
10 Los Angeles Lakers33191458%112.0114.1-2.1
11 Los Angeles Clippers34191556%108.5108.0+0.5
12 Miami Heat32171553%111.4109.3+2.1
13 Golden State Warriors32171553%113.0111.0+2.0
14 Atlanta Hawks32171553%118.7120.3-1.6
15 Minnesota Timberwolves33171652%109.4107.7+1.7
16 San Antonio Spurs33171652%111.5111.2+0.3
17 Milwaukee Bucks30151550%112.6111.8+0.8
18 Indiana Pacers35171849%115.0116.8-1.8
19 Detroit Pistons34161847%111.6114.0-2.4
20 Phoenix Suns32151747%112.2114.0-1.8
21 Sacramento Kings34151944%114.8113.5+1.2
22 Chicago Bulls34151944%117.2121.1-3.9
23 Philadelphia 76ers32131941%107.2111.3-4.1
24 Brooklyn Nets34132138%108.1113.2-5.1
25 Portland Trail Blazers33112233%108.0117.2-9.2
26 Toronto Raptors3582723%111.2118.7-7.5
27 Utah Jazz3272522%110.7119.8-9.0
28 Charlotte Hornets3372621%105.8112.4-6.6
29 Washington Wizards3262619%109.2122.2-13.0
30 New Orleans Pelicans3562917%107.4118.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets30223820110
San Antonio Spurs32282726113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.