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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 111-122 (OT)
27-30 28-24 37-27 16-27 3-14
Position#23
Record18-16
FormLWLWW
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game111.1
vs
Position#9
Record19-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game120.7
Allowed / game117.4
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
118-116
118
116
+2
117avg 107
A14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
92-106
92
106
-14
91avg 107
H16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
133-126 OT
133
126
+7
122avg 107
H20/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
114-94
114
94
+20
113avg 107
H22/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
106-111
106
111
-5
102avg 107
A24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
114-117
114
117
-3
117avg 107
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
96-87
96
87
+9
91avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
110-112
110
112
-2
100avg 107
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
122-86
122
86
+36
127avg 107
H01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
113-110
113
110
+3
110avg 107
A04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-25
19-17
28-46
38-28
19-28
18-24
33-24
22-30
36-29
24-37
30-21
30-33
25-20
35-24
27-25
27-25
20-19
25-29
30-36
31-27
27-28
31-23
25-37
31-29
11-22
30-19
33-21
22-25
33-25
12-32
37-25
28-30
31-17
32-26
28-20
31-23
32-30
28-22
27-38
26-20
218.3Avg total
111.8Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)111.5111.1222.6+0.453%
Season at home (19)114.8111.5226.3+3.363%
Season away (15)107.3110.7218.0-3.340%
Last 10 (10)111.8106.5218.3+5.360%
Last 5 (5)111.0102.4213.4+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)108.2107.2215.4+1.050%
vs Similar (13)113.2115.8228.9-2.646%
vs Weaker (7)118.0109.3227.3+8.786%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
130-129
130
129
+1
131avg 110
A17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
124-126
124
126
-2
124avg 110
A20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
132-129 OT
132
129
+3
131avg 110
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
117-90
117
90
+27
119avg 110
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
100-110
100
110
-10
94avg 110
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
135-149
135
149
-14
135avg 110
H28/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
134-121
134
121
+13
132avg 110
H29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
132-121
132
121
+11
131avg 110
A31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
139-120
139
120
+19
147avg 110
H02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
110-113
110
113
-3
102avg 110
H04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-21
34-47
21-35
34-26
35-30
31-36
21-38
37-22
28-29
31-38
22-26
38-26
27-26
28-25
45-28
17-11
34-38
22-20
22-27
22-25
38-40
27-40
36-36
34-33
36-38
31-23
47-28
20-32
36-37
28-29
34-23
34-32
40-33
34-38
41-24
24-25
30-32
22-28
38-27
20-26
246.1Avg total
125.3Scored
120.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)120.7117.4238.2+3.358%
Season at home (16)120.9116.9237.8+3.962%
Season away (17)120.6117.9238.5+2.753%
Last 10 (10)125.3120.8246.1+4.560%
Last 5 (5)130.0124.8254.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)124.3132.3256.7-8.033%
vs Similar (13)121.2118.1239.2+3.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)122.7114.8237.5+7.964%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H20/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H22/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A28/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A04/01
NBA
101.7Avg total
52.1Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.656.3109.9-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.158.6114.6-2.541%-
Last 30 away (13)50.553.3103.8-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)52.149.6101.7+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)53.448.8102.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)51.753.0104.7-1.360%-
vs Similar (13)54.257.7111.8-3.531%-
vs Weaker (7)55.458.4113.9-3.014%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
D
66-66
66
66
+0
A20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H28/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H04/01
NBA
128.1Avg total
63.3Scored
64.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.462.5122.9-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.663.2122.8-3.643%-
Last 30 away (16)61.161.9123.0-0.825%-
Last 10 (10)63.364.8128.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)64.467.6132.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.770.7131.3-10.00%-
vs Similar (13)59.461.8121.2-2.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)61.361.4122.7-0.136%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.528.7
55.7%
54.3%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.013.0
34.2%
35.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws19.315.4
79.8%
77.8%15.4
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 125.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.535.3
58.3%
54.3%70.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.312.3
38.1%
35.9%36.9
🏀 Free throws22.617.8
78.8%
77.8%17.8
They take 92.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWLWLLWWLW
Denver Nuggets
LWWWLLWWLW
#23
League position
#9
+5.2
Net rating
+4.3
110.2
Offensive rating
119.6
104.9
Defensive rating
115.3
53.9%
Effective FG%
57.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
13.7%
Turnover %
12.3%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.2%
3-point %
38.1%
73.6%
Assist %
72.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 119.6Defence104.9 · 115.3Shooting53.9% · 57.9%3-point %34.2% · 38.1%Ball care13.7% · 12.3%Off. rebounds23.2% · 25.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25ADenver Nuggets113-110
01/01/25HLos Angeles Clippers122-86
30/12/24AMinnesota Timberwolves110-112
28/12/24ABrooklyn Nets96-87
25/12/24ANew York Knicks114-117
24/12/24APhiladelphia 76ers106-111
22/12/24HPortland Trail Blazers114-94
20/12/24HAtlanta Hawks133-126 OT
16/12/24HMinnesota Timberwolves92-106
14/12/24APortland Trail Blazers118-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HSan Antonio Spurs110-113
02/01/25HAtlanta Hawks139-120
31/12/24AUtah Jazz132-121
29/12/24HDetroit Pistons134-121
28/12/24HCleveland Cavaliers135-149
26/12/24APhoenix Suns100-110
24/12/24HPhoenix Suns117-90
23/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans132-129 OT
20/12/24APortland Trail Blazers124-126
17/12/24ASacramento Kings130-129

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW53%
HomeWLWWW63%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341915
Win %53%63%40%
Points / game111.5114.8107.3
Allowed / game111.1111.5110.7
Point differential+0.4+3.3-3.3
Avg total222.6226.3218.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%32%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayWLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %58%62%53%
Points / game120.7120.9120.6
Allowed / game117.4116.9117.9
Point differential+3.3+3.9+2.7
Avg total238.2237.8238.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %9%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3430488%122.7110.8+11.9
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3227584%115.5103.5+12.0
3 Boston Celtics3526974%119.3108.4+10.9
4 New York Knicks34241071%118.1109.9+8.2
5 Memphis Grizzlies35231266%123.5114.8+8.7
6 Houston Rockets32211166%113.2106.8+6.4
7 Orlando Magic35211460%105.5103.1+2.5
8 Dallas Mavericks34201459%117.1111.9+5.2
9 Los Angeles Lakers34201459%112.2113.7-1.5
10 Denver Nuggets33191458%120.7117.4+3.3
11 Los Angeles Clippers34191556%108.5108.0+0.5
12 Miami Heat32171553%111.4109.3+2.1
13 Golden State Warriors32171553%113.0111.0+2.0
14 San Antonio Spurs34181653%111.5111.1+0.4
15 Atlanta Hawks33171652%118.2120.3-2.1
16 Minnesota Timberwolves34171750%109.2108.0+1.2
17 Milwaukee Bucks30151550%112.6111.8+0.8
18 Indiana Pacers36181850%115.3116.6-1.2
19 Detroit Pistons35171849%111.8113.7-1.9
20 Sacramento Kings35161946%115.4114.1+1.3
21 Phoenix Suns33151845%112.1114.4-2.3
22 Chicago Bulls34151944%117.2121.1-3.9
23 Philadelphia 76ers33141942%107.6110.8-3.1
24 Brooklyn Nets35132237%107.7113.5-5.7
25 Portland Trail Blazers33112233%108.0117.2-9.2
26 Toronto Raptors3582723%111.2118.7-7.5
27 Utah Jazz3272522%110.7119.8-9.0
28 Charlotte Hornets3372621%105.8112.4-6.6
29 Washington Wizards3262619%109.2122.2-13.0
30 New Orleans Pelicans3562917%107.4118.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
San Antonio Spurs272837163111
Denver Nuggets3024272714122
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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