PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 104-128
19-28 28-38 28-33 29-29
Position#24
Record8-27
FormLLLWL
Points / game111.2
Allowed / game118.7
vs
Position#13
Record15-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game111.6
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks
06 Feb 2027
TOR v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
04 Nov 2025
TOR128
MIL100
24 Oct 2025
TOR116
MIL122
06 Jan 2025
TOR104
MIL128
15 Nov 2023
TOR112
MIL128
01 Nov 2023
TOR130
MIL111
09 Apr 2023
TOR121
MIL105
04 Jan 2023
TOR101
MIL104
02 Dec 2021
TOR97
MIL93
27 Jan 2021
TOR108
MIL115
03 Apr 2020
TOR v MIL
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
TOR97
MIL108
21 May 2019
TOR v MIL
upcoming
19 May 2019
TOR118
MIL112
31 Jan 2019
TOR92
MIL105
09 Dec 2018
TOR99
MIL104
23 Feb 2018
TOR119
MIL122
01 Jan 2018
TOR131
MIL127
24 Apr 2017
TOR118
MIL93
18 Apr 2017
TOR106
MIL100
15 Apr 2017
TOR83
MIL97
27 Jan 2017
TOR102
MIL86
12 Dec 2016
TOR122
MIL100
11 Dec 2015
TOR90
MIL83
01 Nov 2015
TOR106
MIL87
02 Feb 2015
TOR75
MIL82
21 Nov 2014
TOR124
MIL82
14 Apr 2014
TOR110
MIL100
13 Jan 2014
TOR116
MIL94
13 Jan 2013
TOR96
MIL107
11 Mar 2012
TOR99
MIL105
08 Feb 2012
TOR99
MIL105
30 Mar 2011
TOR98
MIL104
28 Jan 2011
TOR110
MIL116
22 Jan 2010
TOR101
MIL96
25 Mar 2009
TOR115
MIL106
30 Jan 2009
TOR85
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#20
L
104-114
104
114
-10
96avg 104
A13/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
121-122
121
122
-1
113avg 104
H17/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
94-101
94
101
-7
81avg 104
H20/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
110-114
110
114
-4
105avg 104
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
125-139
125
139
-14
120avg 104
A24/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
126-155
126
155
-29
116avg 104
A27/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
107-136
107
136
-29
106avg 104
H29/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
71-125
71
125
-54
55avg 104
A31/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
130-113
130
113
+17
133avg 104
H02/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
97-106
97
106
-9
94avg 104
H04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
24-35
25-31
28-25
25-33
25-20
34-42
37-27
24-24
22-28
30-18
18-31
35-24
22-27
26-33
27-30
28-30
24-40
30-41
43-28
35-43
35-35
30-43
26-34
25-35
33-29
24-40
25-32
12-23
23-22
18-45
18-35
26-33
39-31
29-27
36-22
24-37
26-25
18-26
29-18
231.0Avg total
108.5Scored
122.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)111.2118.7229.9-7.523%
Season at home (19)113.4117.8231.2-4.437%
Season away (16)108.6119.8228.4-11.26%
Last 10 (10)108.5122.5231.0-14.010%
Last 5 (5)106.2127.0233.2-20.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)109.7119.4229.1-9.820%
vs Similar (9)111.2117.1228.3-5.922%
vs Weaker (1)119.093.0212.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#3
W
110-102
110
102
+8
124avg 106
H14/12
NBA Cup
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
97-81
97
81
+16
117avg 106
H18/12
NBA Cup
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
101-124
101
124
-23
93avg 106
A21/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
112-101
112
101
+11
107avg 106
H22/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
112-91
112
91
+21
107avg 106
A24/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
105-111
105
111
-6
97avg 106
H27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
111-116
111
116
-5
96avg 106
A29/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
120-112
120
112
+8
112avg 106
A31/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
110-113
110
113
-3
97avg 106
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
102-105
102
105
-3
90avg 106
H05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
29-21
27-34
28-19
27-28
24-22
26-14
20-17
20-29
31-40
25-34
25-21
36-36
27-14
23-22
26-29
33-17
26-28
33-27
20-19
25-27
34-24
23-25
23-35
25-33
35-29
24-21
27-33
30-28
23-36
35-27
32-21
23-30
31-36
31-28
25-19
31-28
20-26
25-21
26-30
213.6Avg total
108.0Scored
105.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)112.3111.6223.9+0.748%
Season at home (16)114.1110.6224.7+3.456%
Season away (15)110.4112.6223.0-2.240%
Last 10 (10)108.0105.6213.6+2.450%
Last 5 (5)109.6111.4221.0-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)108.0115.6223.6-7.60%
vs Similar (12)112.8110.8223.5+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)111.6104.9216.5+6.767%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
Toronto RaptorsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#20
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A13/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H17/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H20/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A24/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A27/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H29/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A31/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H02/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H04/01
NBA
113.1Avg total
53.4Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.958.4113.3-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.459.6116.0-3.150%-
Last 30 away (14)53.257.1110.3-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)53.459.7113.1-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)55.662.6118.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)54.658.2112.8-3.640%-
vs Similar (9)55.660.1115.7-4.633%-
vs Weaker (1)56.046.0102.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H14/12
NBA Cup
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H18/12
NBA Cup
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A21/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H22/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A24/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A29/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A31/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H05/01
NBA
111.6Avg total
55.6Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.057.0115.0+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.254.8113.0+3.372%-
Last 30 away (12)57.760.2117.9-2.642%-
Last 10 (10)55.656.0111.6-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)55.459.4114.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.862.8122.6-3.060%-
vs Similar (12)58.357.8116.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)56.753.7110.3+3.067%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.528.8
52.8%
54.3%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.0
35.2%
35.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws19.114.9
78.0%
77.8%14.9
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 108.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.726.0
51.3%
54.3%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.714.5
36.5%
35.9%43.5
🏀 Free throws17.212.5
72.7%
77.8%12.5
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LWLLLLLLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLLWWLWW
#24
League position
#13
-13.6
Net rating
+2.7
105.3
Offensive rating
105.2
118.9
Defensive rating
102.4
52.8%
Effective FG%
52.8%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
16.0%
Turnover %
13.8%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
18.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.19
35.2%
3-point %
36.5%
71.3%
Assist %
63.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 105.2Defence118.9 · 102.4Shooting52.8% · 52.8%3-point %35.2% · 36.5%Ball care16.0% · 13.8%Off. rebounds23.2% · 18.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Toronto Raptors wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HOrlando Magic97-106
02/01/25HBrooklyn Nets130-113
31/12/24ABoston Celtics71-125
29/12/24HAtlanta Hawks107-136
27/12/24AMemphis Grizzlies126-155
24/12/24ANew York Knicks125-139
22/12/24HHouston Rockets110-114
20/12/24HBrooklyn Nets94-101
17/12/24HChicago Bulls121-122
13/12/24AMiami Heat104-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HPortland Trail Blazers102-105
03/01/25HBrooklyn Nets110-113
31/12/24AIndiana Pacers120-112
29/12/24AChicago Bulls111-116
27/12/24HBrooklyn Nets105-111
24/12/24AChicago Bulls112-91
22/12/24HWashington Wizards112-101
21/12/24ACleveland Cavaliers101-124
18/12/24HOklahoma City Thunder97-81
14/12/24HAtlanta Hawks110-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL23%
HomeLLLWL37%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %23%37%6%
Points / game111.2113.4108.6
Allowed / game118.7117.8119.8
Point differential-7.5-4.4-11.2
Avg total229.9231.2228.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%16%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won23% (13)38% (8)0% (5)
Overtime %9%11%6%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL48%
HomeLWLLL56%
AwayWLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %48%56%40%
Points / game112.3114.1110.4
Allowed / game111.6110.6112.6
Point differential+0.7+3.4-2.2
Avg total223.9224.7223.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3531489%122.5110.7+11.8
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3328585%115.2103.2+12.0
3 Boston Celtics36261072%118.5108.3+10.2
4 New York Knicks35241169%118.3110.7+7.6
5 Houston Rockets33221167%113.4107.1+6.4
6 Memphis Grizzlies36231364%123.2115.0+8.2
7 Dallas Mavericks34201459%117.1111.9+5.2
8 Denver Nuggets34201459%120.8117.2+3.5
9 Orlando Magic36211558%105.2103.1+2.0
10 Los Angeles Clippers35201557%109.2107.9+1.3
11 Los Angeles Lakers35201557%112.3113.9-1.6
12 Golden State Warriors34181653%112.9111.6+1.3
13 Miami Heat33171652%111.1110.1+1.0
14 San Antonio Spurs35181751%111.5111.5+0.0
15 Minnesota Timberwolves34171750%109.2108.0+1.2
16 Indiana Pacers36181850%115.3116.6-1.2
17 Detroit Pistons36181850%112.0113.8-1.8
18 Atlanta Hawks34171750%117.8120.6-2.8
19 Milwaukee Bucks31151648%112.3111.6+0.7
20 Sacramento Kings36171947%115.8113.7+2.1
21 Phoenix Suns34161847%112.0113.9-1.9
22 Chicago Bulls35161946%117.9121.3-3.4
23 Philadelphia 76ers34142041%107.4110.7-3.3
24 Brooklyn Nets35132237%107.7113.5-5.7
25 Portland Trail Blazers35122334%108.1116.8-8.7
26 Utah Jazz3492526%111.3118.4-7.1
27 Toronto Raptors3582723%111.2118.7-7.5
28 Charlotte Hornets3472721%105.8112.5-6.7
29 New Orleans Pelicans3672919%107.5117.5-10.0
30 Washington Wizards3362718%108.9121.8-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors19282829104
Milwaukee Bucks28383329128
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.