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Minas vs Botafogo Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game65.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game83.0
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2026-27
Meetings · Minas v Botafogo
29 Dec 2026
MINA v BOTA
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
MINA95
BOTA88
09 Apr 2025
MINA97
BOTA59
08 Jan 2024
MINA89
BOTA52
14 Oct 2019
MINA84
BOTA85
04 Dec 2018
MINA85
BOTA77
25 Nov 2017
MINA74
BOTA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
95avg 86
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
76avg 86
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-66
78
66
+12
69avg 86
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 86
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
86-65
86
65
+21
85avg 86
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
100-61
100
61
+39
100avg 86
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
77-63
77
63
+14
no box
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
20-21
27-27
19-24
22-20
22-25
12-24
25-23
25-20
18-13
18-10
17-23
15-15
20-21
36-13
17-22
24-14
24-18
23-16
15-17
26-12
17-21
24-19
33-9
19-25
25-15
24-21
19-15
18-16
21-20
17-12
21-16
24-17
20-11
23-11
21-18
17-18
23-11
14-16
23-18
157.7Avg total
85.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.165.4150.5+19.8100%
Season at home (4)87.861.5149.2+26.2100%
Season away (4)82.569.2151.8+13.2100%
Last 10 (10)85.971.8157.7+14.180%
Last 5 (5)85.864.2150.0+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.0100.7197.7-3.733%
vs Similar (7)89.495.3184.7-5.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.874.3164.1+15.590%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
L
86-104
86
104
-18
80avg 67
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
59avg 67
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 67
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
71avg 67
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 67
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
L
88-89
88
89
-1
82avg 67
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
84-82
84
82
+2
81avg 67
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
60-83
60
83
-23
no box
H12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
28-22
13-29
20-29
17-37
16-21
20-17
15-19
35-23
18-26
15-21
11-19
23-11
21-29
14-22
20-20
14-22
22-27
21-20
14-12
26-22
22-16
13-27
27-24
22-24
14-16
25-21
23-21
22-26
24-18
17-19
17-24
16-22
20-14
23-17
18-23
16-21
19-14
9-24
16-24
163.8Avg total
77.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.783.0159.7-6.333%
Season at home (3)74.784.0158.7-9.333%
Season away (3)78.782.0160.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)77.186.7163.8-9.620%
Last 5 (5)77.883.4161.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)73.183.4156.5-10.327%
vs Similar (7)81.688.6170.1-7.029%
vs Weaker (1)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -3.4-3.4
MinasBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/11
NBB
79.5Avg total
43.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.642.087.6+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.439.985.3+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)45.843.889.6+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.479.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.275.2+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.751.394.0-8.70%-
vs Similar (7)45.349.795.0-4.40%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.237.984.1+8.480%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H12/11
NBB
85.5Avg total
42.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.781.6-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.941.682.6-0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.980.4-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.940.979.8-2.036%-
vs Similar (7)43.344.788.0-1.443%-
vs Weaker (1)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.9
59.2%
49.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
31.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
71.3%17.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.7
52.5%
49.8%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.1
31.5%
31.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
71.3%11.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWWWWLL
Botafogo
LWLWLLLLLL
#1
League position
#14
+13.2
Net rating
-6.7
100.9
Offensive rating
91.9
87.7
Defensive rating
98.6
55.9%
Effective FG%
50.5%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
16.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.6%
3-point %
31.5%
71.6%
Assist %
66.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 91.9Defence87.7 · 98.6Shooting55.9% · 50.5%3-point %34.6% · 31.5%Ball care16.7% · 14.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Minas   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Minas wins
2
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
09/04/26Botafogo v Minas71-106
18/12/25Minas v Botafogo95-88
09/04/25Minas v Botafogo97-59
02/12/24Botafogo v Minas68-95
08/01/24Minas v Botafogo89-52
21/10/23Botafogo v Minas76-96
28/01/20Botafogo v Minas84-86
14/10/19Minas v Botafogo84-85
06/03/19Botafogo v Minas79-62
04/12/18Minas v Botafogo85-77
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCearense77-63
11/11/26HUnifacisa88-57
05/11/26ABauru77-64
03/11/26AFranca87-76
29/10/26HBrasilia100-61
27/10/26HPato86-65
22/10/26AUniao Corinthians88-71
20/10/26ACaxias do Sul78-66
12/05/26HCorinthians Paulista81-92
09/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-103
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HFranca60-83
02/11/26ABrasilia77-76
30/10/26HUniao Corinthians80-87
28/10/26HCaxias do Sul84-82
24/10/26APato88-89
20/10/26AFlamengo71-81
28/04/26HFranca78-82
25/04/26HFranca79-89
22/04/26AFranca68-94
18/04/26AVasco86-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.187.882.5
Allowed / game65.461.569.2
Point differential+19.8+26.2+13.2
Avg total150.5149.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game76.774.778.7
Allowed / game83.084.082.0
Point differential-6.3-9.3-3.3
Avg total159.7158.7160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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