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Minas vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 97-59
22-21 21-5 31-22 23-11
Position#1
Record27-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game71.5
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Botafogo
Brazil
Position#18
Record9-22
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game81.6
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Botafogo
29 Dec 2026
MINA v BOTA
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
MINA95
BOTA88
09 Apr 2025
MINA97
BOTA59
08 Jan 2024
MINA89
BOTA52
14 Oct 2019
MINA84
BOTA85
04 Dec 2018
MINA85
BOTA77
25 Nov 2017
MINA74
BOTA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
79-77
79
77
+2
69avg 77
A03/03
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
60-67
60
67
-7
47avg 77
A08/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
70avg 77
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 77
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#3
W
94-70
94
70
+24
94avg 77
H19/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
88-70
88
70
+18
88avg 77
H26/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 77
H29/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 77
A01/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 77
A03/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
76-69
76
69
+7
66avg 77
H07/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
16-13
25-14
16-21
17-17
16-20
19-14
8-16
28-23
11-16
20-14
20-17
21-32
19-10
10-23
24-14
27-23
20-15
22-21
25-11
28-17
22-18
18-17
20-18
24-23
22-17
27-20
19-21
20-25
29-13
11-9
17-16
21-15
12-17
17-20
25-20
22-15
19-23
16-19
19-12
151.2Avg total
79.4Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.571.5153.9+11.087%
Season at home (16)83.669.6153.2+14.194%
Season away (15)81.273.5154.7+7.780%
Last 10 (10)79.471.8151.2+7.680%
Last 5 (5)81.671.0152.6+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar (3)82.367.0149.3+15.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)79.572.8152.3+6.780%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 65
H20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
67-78
67
78
-11
59avg 65
A06/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-90
77
90
-13
69avg 65
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
91-76
91
76
+15
86avg 65
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
71-68
71
68
+3
61avg 65
H03/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
66-80
66
80
-14
54avg 65
A13/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
71-94
71
94
-23
66avg 65
A17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
85-92
85
92
-7
79avg 65
H29/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
64-85
64
85
-21
50avg 65
H03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
86-85
86
85
+1
82avg 65
H05/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
17-18
19-21
18-27
11-24
21-19
19-12
16-23
27-24
20-18
10-32
20-16
26-29
24-27
19-13
22-7
18-27
17-14
15-16
21-11
20-18
13-23
19-19
14-20
14-24
18-22
22-24
17-24
26-20
21-21
15-22
23-29
12-16
15-28
19-20
18-21
25-19
27-25
16-22
18-19
158.3Avg total
75.2Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.581.6155.1-8.029%
Season at home (17)74.581.6156.1-7.135%
Season away (14)72.481.6153.9-9.221%
Last 10 (10)75.283.1158.3-7.930%
Last 5 (5)74.487.2161.6-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)72.984.2157.1-11.421%
vs Similar (6)75.072.8147.8+2.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
MinasBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/03
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H19/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A01/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A03/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H07/04
NBB
79.7Avg total
41.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.377.3+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.037.378.3+3.763%-
Last 30 away (11)38.437.375.6+1.145%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.179.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.680.4+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.025.055.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (3)44.332.777.0+11.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.138.378.4+1.852%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#14
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A13/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H29/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H05/04
NBB
82.5Avg total
39.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.741.276.9-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.841.278.0-4.435%-
Last 30 away (13)34.241.375.5-7.215%-
Last 10 (10)39.243.382.5-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.281.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.343.278.6-7.917%-
vs Similar (6)37.033.270.2+3.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.7
51.5%
50.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.9
33.4%
33.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.011.5
71.9%
72.7%11.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.1
49.8%
50.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.6
33.5%
33.0%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.512.6
61.5%
72.7%12.6
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWWLWLW
Botafogo
WLLLLWWLLL
#1
League position
#18
+11.2
Net rating
-10.0
109.6
Offensive rating
98.2
98.4
Defensive rating
108.2
50.9%
Effective FG%
49.9%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
19.5%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.4%
3-point %
33.5%
58.4%
Assist %
60.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 98.2Defence98.4 · 108.2Shooting50.9% · 49.9%3-point %33.4% · 33.5%Ball care17.0% · 19.5%Off. rebounds35.1% · 27.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Minas   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Minas wins
2
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
02/12/24Botafogo v Minas68-95
08/01/24Minas v Botafogo89-52
21/10/23Botafogo v Minas76-96
28/01/20Botafogo v Minas84-86
14/10/19Minas v Botafogo84-85
06/03/19Botafogo v Minas79-62
04/12/18Minas v Botafogo85-77
20/02/18Botafogo v Minas70-76
25/11/17Minas v Botafogo74-56
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/25HVasco76-69
03/04/25APato75-72
01/04/25ABrasilia77-63
29/03/25HUniao Corinthians92-81
26/03/25HCaxias do Sul88-70
19/03/25HFlamengo94-70
13/03/25HInstituto de Cordoba74-79
12/03/25HInstituto de Cordoba79-70
08/03/25AInstituto de Cordoba60-67
03/03/25AUnifacisa79-77
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HSao Paulo86-85
03/04/25HPaulistano64-85
29/03/25HFlamengo85-92
17/03/25ABrasilia71-94
13/03/25AVasco66-80
03/03/25HSao Jose71-68
16/02/25HPato91-76
08/02/25AUniao Corinthians77-90
06/02/25ACaxias do Sul67-78
20/01/25HCearense74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %87%94%80%
Points / game82.583.681.2
Allowed / game71.569.673.5
Point differential+11.0+14.1+7.7
Avg total153.9153.2154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%69%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWWLLW35%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %29%35%21%
Points / game73.574.572.4
Allowed / game81.681.681.6
Point differential-8.0-7.1-9.2
Avg total155.1156.1153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3127487%82.571.5+11.0
2 Flamengo3225778%84.475.2+9.2
3 Franca3122971%84.275.9+8.3
4 Brasilia32191359%81.680.1+1.5
5 Bauru31181358%78.578.3+0.3
6 Vasco32181456%77.075.7+1.3
7 Uniao Corinthians30161453%78.279.4-1.2
8 Pinheiros31161552%76.275.7+0.5
9 Sao Jose31161552%78.378.0+0.4
10 Unifacisa32161650%75.475.0+0.4
11 Corinthians Paulista31141745%80.079.2+0.7
12 Paulistano32141844%78.176.5+1.6
13 Pato32122038%81.483.3-1.9
14 Sao Paulo32112134%76.280.1-4.0
15 Caxias do Sul30102033%73.780.7-7.1
16 Mogi31102132%73.880.8-7.0
17 Botafogo3192229%73.581.6-8.0
18 Cearense3292328%71.878.0-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2221312397
Botafogo215221159
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