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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 102-115
26-34 28-27 30-34 18-20
Position#17
Record4-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game114.1
Allowed / game113.5
vs
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game102.0
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks
02 Nov 2026
MIN112
MIL100
21 Dec 2025
MIN103
MIL100
12 Feb 2025
MIN101
MIL103
23 Feb 2024
MIN107
MIL112
04 Nov 2022
MIN102
MIL115
19 Mar 2022
MIN138
MIL119
14 Apr 2021
MIN105
MIL130
04 Nov 2019
MIN106
MIL134
26 Oct 2018
MIN95
MIL125
01 Feb 2018
MIN108
MIL89
30 Dec 2016
MIN116
MIL99
02 Jan 2016
MIN85
MIL95
26 Nov 2014
MIN86
MIL103
11 Mar 2014
MIN112
MIL101
30 Nov 2012
MIN95
MIL85
17 Dec 2011
MIN117
MIL96
29 Oct 2010
MIN96
MIL85
06 Nov 2009
MIN72
MIL87
10 Jan 2009
MIN106
MIL104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
109-111
109
111
-2
102avg 107
A26/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
106-114
106
114
-8
93avg 107
H30/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
115-108
115
108
+7
107avg 107
H20/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
126-132 OT
126
132
-6
113avg 107
H22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
116-106
116
106
+10
113avg 107
A24/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
106-115
106
115
-9
102avg 107
H25/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
134-122
134
122
+12
137avg 107
H27/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
111-102
111
102
+9
98avg 107
H29/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
98-107
98
107
-9
80avg 107
A30/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
107-116
107
116
-9
97avg 107
A02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-28
24-25
30-21
24-37
29-28
23-21
32-25
22-40
35-22
30-30
22-35
28-21
41-26
23-29
23-33
33-32
31-18
22-26
29-30
34-32
28-39
29-28
14-36
35-12
39-28
29-25
34-41
32-28
28-25
24-27
26-23
33-27
23-26
24-31
23-28
28-22
20-24
27-30
26-30
34-32
226.1Avg total
112.8Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)114.1113.5227.6+0.650%
Season at home (5)118.4115.8234.2+2.660%
Season away (3)107.0109.7216.7-2.733%
Last 10 (10)112.8113.3226.1-0.540%
Last 5 (5)111.2112.4223.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)114.0129.5243.5-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (21)116.6115.4232.0+1.257%
vs Weaker (7)117.9118.6236.4-0.743%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
W
110-107
110
107
+3
100avg 106
A11/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
95-108
95
108
-13
82avg 106
H13/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
81-109
81
109
-28
71avg 106
A15/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
90-88
90
88
+2
84avg 106
A20/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
125-105
125
105
+20
125avg 106
H23/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
110-99
110
99
+11
103avg 106
H26/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
119-108
119
108
+11
104avg 106
H29/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
123-115
123
115
+8
114avg 106
H30/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
110-108
110
108
+2
101avg 106
H01/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
116-91
116
91
+25
110avg 106
H03/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
19-28
30-32
33-21
26-28
17-25
27-29
25-26
26-20
17-28
21-31
17-30
30-24
17-21
26-18
17-25
41-23
26-25
31-31
27-26
25-20
18-35
35-21
32-23
26-24
33-29
37-32
23-23
32-30
27-21
32-33
32-31
34-23
26-29
28-25
22-31
31-26
25-21
29-21
31-23
211.7Avg total
107.9Scored
103.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)113.3102.0215.3+11.3100%
Season at home (6)117.2104.3221.5+12.8100%
Season away (1)90.088.0178.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)107.9103.8211.7+4.180%
Last 5 (5)115.6104.2219.8+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)107.7113.1220.8-5.456%
vs Weaker (12)116.598.9215.4+17.692%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A26/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H30/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H20/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A24/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H25/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H27/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H29/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A30/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A02/11
NBA
109.6Avg total
56.0Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.457.8117.2+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.954.8114.7+5.275%-
Last 30 away (14)58.961.2120.1-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)56.053.6109.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)54.256.6110.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.561.5118.0-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)58.156.8114.9+1.367%-
vs Weaker (7)64.359.7124.0+4.657%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A11/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H13/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A15/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A20/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
67-48
67
48
+19
H23/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H26/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H29/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H30/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H01/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H03/11
NBA
103.0Avg total
52.4Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.652.0105.6+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.651.6107.3+4.065%-
Last 30 away (13)50.952.5103.5-1.646%-
Last 10 (10)52.450.6103.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)55.451.6107.0+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)50.956.4107.3-5.533%-
vs Weaker (12)57.745.5103.2+12.292%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.030.2
53.0%
54.5%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.5
34.1%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws23.617.9
75.8%
78.1%17.9
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.828.7
52.4%
54.5%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.911.1
30.9%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.817.2
75.4%
78.1%17.2
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWWLWLWLL
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWWWWLLW
#17
League position
#1
-0.5
Net rating
+4.1
106.8
Offensive rating
107.2
107.3
Defensive rating
103.1
52.3%
Effective FG%
50.0%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
14.4%
Turnover %
12.9%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.1%
3-point %
30.9%
59.2%
Assist %
55.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 107.2Defence107.3 · 103.1Shooting52.3% · 50.0%3-point %34.1% · 30.9%Ball care14.4% · 12.9%Off. rebounds23.8% · 27.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/22APhoenix Suns107-116
30/10/22ASan Antonio Spurs98-107
29/10/22HLos Angeles Lakers111-102
27/10/22HSan Antonio Spurs134-122
25/10/22HSan Antonio Spurs106-115
24/10/22AOklahoma City Thunder116-106
22/10/22HUtah Jazz126-132 OT
20/10/22HOklahoma City Thunder115-108
30/04/22HMemphis Grizzlies106-114
26/04/22AMemphis Grizzlies109-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/22HDetroit Pistons116-91
01/11/22HDetroit Pistons110-108
30/10/22HAtlanta Hawks123-115
29/10/22HNew York Knicks119-108
26/10/22HBrooklyn Nets110-99
23/10/22HHouston Rockets125-105
20/10/22APhiladelphia 76ers90-88
15/05/22ABoston Celtics81-109
13/05/22HBoston Celtics95-108
11/05/22ABoston Celtics110-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game114.1118.4107.0
Allowed / game113.5115.8109.7
Point differential+0.6+2.6-2.7
Avg total227.6234.2216.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%20%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game113.3117.290.0
Allowed / game102.0104.388.0
Point differential+11.3+12.8+2.0
Avg total215.3221.5178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks770100%113.3102.0+11.3
2 Cleveland Cavaliers87188%116.5104.4+12.1
3 Phoenix Suns76186%118.3106.4+11.9
4 Portland Trail Blazers75271%114.0110.6+3.4
5 Utah Jazz96367%115.6112.4+3.1
6 Memphis Grizzlies96367%118.7117.2+1.4
7 New Orleans Pelicans85362%117.8111.6+6.1
8 Dallas Mavericks85362%115.1109.1+6.0
9 Boston Celtics85362%117.0115.0+2.0
10 Atlanta Hawks85362%115.5114.6+0.9
11 Denver Nuggets85362%115.1116.1-1.0
12 Toronto Raptors95456%113.4106.3+7.1
13 Los Angeles Clippers95456%102.3106.2-3.9
14 San Antonio Spurs95456%114.7120.7-6.0
15 Chicago Bulls105550%112.2110.2+2.0
16 Minnesota Timberwolves84450%114.1113.5+0.6
17 New York Knicks84450%114.0113.8+0.2
18 Oklahoma City Thunder84450%112.5112.2+0.2
19 Indiana Pacers94544%115.8117.6-1.8
20 Washington Wizards94544%108.0113.2-5.2
21 Philadelphia 76ers104640%109.8109.2+0.6
22 Miami Heat104640%108.1109.1-1.0
23 Brooklyn Nets93633%113.8115.1-1.3
24 Charlotte Hornets93633%111.8116.2-4.4
25 Golden State Warriors103730%117.4121.4-4.0
26 Sacramento Kings72529%113.3116.0-2.7
27 Los Angeles Lakers72529%107.4111.4-4.0
28 Orlando Magic92722%108.6113.0-4.4
29 Detroit Pistons102820%107.3118.9-11.6
30 Houston Rockets91811%107.0115.7-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves26283018102
Milwaukee Bucks34273420115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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