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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 138-119
34-28 34-28 38-26 32-37
Position#12
Record41-30
FormWLWWW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game111.9
vs
Position#5
Record44-26
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game110.9
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks
02 Nov 2026
MIN112
MIL100
21 Dec 2025
MIN103
MIL100
12 Feb 2025
MIN101
MIL103
23 Feb 2024
MIN107
MIL112
04 Nov 2022
MIN102
MIL115
19 Mar 2022
MIN138
MIL119
14 Apr 2021
MIN105
MIL130
04 Nov 2019
MIN106
MIL134
26 Oct 2018
MIN95
MIL125
01 Feb 2018
MIN108
MIL89
30 Dec 2016
MIN116
MIL99
02 Jan 2016
MIN85
MIL95
26 Nov 2014
MIN86
MIL103
11 Mar 2014
MIN112
MIL101
30 Nov 2012
MIN95
MIL85
17 Dec 2011
MIN117
MIL96
29 Oct 2010
MIN96
MIL85
06 Nov 2009
MIN72
MIL87
10 Jan 2009
MIN106
MIL104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
127-122
127
122
+5
120avg 106
A01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
129-114
129
114
+15
124avg 106
H02/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
138-101
138
101
+37
138avg 106
A05/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
135-121
135
121
+14
139avg 106
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
124-81
124
81
+43
119avg 106
H08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
132-102
132
102
+30
135avg 106
H10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
110-118
110
118
-8
99avg 106
A12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
113-104
113
104
+9
105avg 106
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
149-139
149
139
+10
145avg 106
A15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
124-104
124
104
+20
116avg 106
H17/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-37
38-24
37-27
26-34
34-27
34-29
28-31
33-27
32-34
45-26
31-27
30-14
32-34
31-30
46-37
26-20
31-15
30-19
29-26
34-21
32-21
42-26
27-32
31-23
36-24
29-36
28-37
17-21
30-25
25-42
34-19
24-18
40-32
35-41
46-33
28-33
31-17
36-29
19-31
38-27
238.7Avg total
128.1Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)115.2111.9227.1+3.358%
Season at home (35)112.0106.5218.5+5.566%
Season away (36)118.3117.1235.4+1.250%
Last 10 (10)128.1110.6238.7+17.590%
Last 5 (5)125.6113.4239.0+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)124.0134.0258.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)120.4118.4238.7+2.065%
vs Weaker (12)125.0110.2235.2+14.883%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
123-126
123
126
-3
118avg 107
H27/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
130-106
130
106
+24
129avg 107
H01/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
120-119
120
119
+1
113avg 107
H03/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
118-112
118
112
+6
108avg 107
A05/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
132-122
132
122
+10
133avg 107
H06/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
142-115
142
115
+27
143avg 107
A09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
124-115
124
115
+9
117avg 107
H10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
109-122
109
122
-13
95avg 107
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
117-111
117
111
+6
107avg 107
A15/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
135-126
135
126
+9
126avg 107
A17/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-25
27-28
34-43
30-30
32-32
44-21
32-23
22-30
36-28
28-38
29-31
27-22
25-25
32-28
24-35
37-24
30-33
30-30
31-27
41-32
39-34
37-31
29-28
37-22
37-26
31-28
25-32
31-29
28-28
30-39
26-36
25-19
37-39
31-20
21-34
28-18
28-31
40-30
33-31
34-34
242.4Avg total
125.0Scored
117.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)114.9110.9225.8+4.063%
Season at home (36)114.7110.1224.8+4.667%
Season away (34)115.0111.8226.8+3.359%
Last 10 (10)125.0117.4242.4+7.680%
Last 5 (5)125.4117.8243.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)116.0115.5231.6+0.550%
vs Weaker (10)123.7113.3237.0+10.490%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +5.2+5.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +5.2+5.2
Minnesota TimberwolvesMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H02/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A05/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H17/03
NBA
123.7Avg total
66.9Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.058.3121.3+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.153.0113.1+7.164%-
Last 30 away (16)65.462.9128.4+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)66.956.8123.7+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)67.258.6125.8+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)60.657.5118.1+3.171%-
vs Weaker (12)66.158.1124.2+8.058%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H27/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H01/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H03/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A05/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H06/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A15/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A17/03
NBA
124.8Avg total
65.4Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.455.9117.3+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.455.6116.9+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)61.456.3117.6+5.171%-
Last 10 (10)65.459.4124.8+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)67.661.2128.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)60.555.8116.2+4.760%-
vs Weaker (10)63.256.1119.3+7.190%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 128.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.827.2
59.4%
53.1%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.317.0
40.2%
35.3%51.0
🏀 Free throws27.222.7
83.5%
77.4%22.7
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 125.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.928.5
53.9%
53.1%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.715.2
41.4%
35.3%45.6
🏀 Free throws29.122.4
77.0%
77.4%22.4
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWLWWWWWW
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLWWWWWWL
#12
League position
#5
+16.6
Net rating
+7.4
121.2
Offensive rating
121.2
104.7
Defensive rating
113.8
59.8%
Effective FG%
57.3%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
13.7%
Turnover %
11.1%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.2%
3-point %
41.4%
62.9%
Assist %
57.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence121.2 · 121.2Defence104.7 · 113.8Shooting59.8% · 57.3%3-point %40.2% · 41.4%Ball care13.7% · 11.1%Off. rebounds21.5% · 24.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/22HLos Angeles Lakers124-104
15/03/22ASan Antonio Spurs149-139
13/03/22AMiami Heat113-104
12/03/22AOrlando Magic110-118
10/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder132-102
08/03/22HPortland Trail Blazers124-81
06/03/22HPortland Trail Blazers135-121
05/03/22AOklahoma City Thunder138-101
02/03/22HGolden State Warriors129-114
01/03/22ACleveland Cavaliers127-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/22ASacramento Kings135-126
15/03/22AUtah Jazz117-111
13/03/22AGolden State Warriors109-122
10/03/22HAtlanta Hawks124-115
09/03/22AOklahoma City Thunder142-115
06/03/22HPhoenix Suns132-122
05/03/22AChicago Bulls118-112
03/03/22HMiami Heat120-119
01/03/22HCharlotte Hornets130-106
27/02/22HBrooklyn Nets123-126

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeWWWWW66%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713536
Win %58%66%50%
Points / game115.2112.0118.3
Allowed / game111.9106.5117.1
Point differential+3.3+5.5+1.2
Avg total227.1218.5235.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%46%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)60% (5)67% (9)
Overtime %4%3%6%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW63%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703634
Win %63%67%59%
Points / game114.9114.7115.0
Allowed / game110.9110.1111.8
Point differential+4.0+4.6+3.3
Avg total225.8224.8226.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%36%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)57% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns71571480%114.7106.2+8.5
2 Memphis Grizzlies71482368%114.6109.5+5.1
3 Golden State Warriors70472367%111.2105.1+6.2
4 Miami Heat71472466%109.5104.8+4.7
5 Utah Jazz70442663%114.1107.4+6.7
6 Milwaukee Bucks70442663%114.9110.9+4.0
7 Philadelphia 76ers69432662%108.7106.7+2.0
8 Dallas Mavericks70432761%106.6103.8+2.9
9 Boston Celtics71432861%109.7103.6+6.1
10 Denver Nuggets71422959%111.4108.7+2.8
11 Chicago Bulls70412959%112.0111.2+0.8
12 Minnesota Timberwolves71413058%115.2111.9+3.3
13 Cleveland Cavaliers70403057%107.1104.2+3.0
14 Toronto Raptors70393156%109.0107.5+1.5
15 Brooklyn Nets71373452%112.1111.8+0.3
16 Atlanta Hawks70353550%112.9112.1+0.9
17 Charlotte Hornets70353550%114.9114.8+0.1
18 Los Angeles Clippers73363749%106.7107.9-1.2
19 New York Knicks70304043%106.2106.8-0.6
20 Los Angeles Lakers70304043%111.1113.8-2.7
21 Washington Wizards69294042%108.2111.4-3.3
22 New Orleans Pelicans70294141%108.5109.9-1.4
23 San Antonio Spurs71274438%112.7113.7-1.0
24 Portland Trail Blazers69264338%107.3114.0-6.6
25 Sacramento Kings72254735%110.3115.7-5.4
26 Indiana Pacers71244734%110.7113.4-2.7
27 Oklahoma City Thunder70205029%103.1111.0-7.9
28 Detroit Pistons70195127%103.9112.4-8.5
29 Orlando Magic71185325%104.5112.5-8.0
30 Houston Rockets70175324%109.0118.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves34343832138
Milwaukee Bucks28282637119
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