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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 105-130
19-24 25-37 35-45 26-24
Position#25
Record15-43
FormWLLWL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game117.9
vs
Position#5
Record33-23
FormWLLLW
Points / game118.5
Allowed / game113.4
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks
02 Nov 2026
MIN112
MIL100
21 Dec 2025
MIN103
MIL100
12 Feb 2025
MIN101
MIL103
23 Feb 2024
MIN107
MIL112
04 Nov 2022
MIN102
MIL115
19 Mar 2022
MIN138
MIL119
14 Apr 2021
MIN105
MIL130
04 Nov 2019
MIN106
MIL134
26 Oct 2018
MIN95
MIL125
01 Feb 2018
MIN108
MIL89
30 Dec 2016
MIN116
MIL99
02 Jan 2016
MIN85
MIL95
26 Nov 2014
MIN86
MIL103
11 Mar 2014
MIN112
MIL101
30 Nov 2012
MIN95
MIL85
17 Dec 2011
MIN117
MIL96
29 Oct 2010
MIN96
MIL85
06 Nov 2009
MIN72
MIL87
10 Jan 2009
MIN106
MIL104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
L
107-129
107
129
-22
98avg 99
H28/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
107-112
107
112
-5
91avg 99
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
102-101
102
101
+1
92avg 99
H01/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
108-120
108
120
-12
97avg 99
A03/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
113-122
113
122
-9
no box
A04/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
116-106
116
106
+10
106avg 99
H05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
137-141
137
141
-4
131avg 99
A07/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
136-145 OT
136
145
-9
126avg 99
A09/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
121-117
121
117
+4
117avg 99
H12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
97-127
97
127
-30
78avg 99
H13/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-41
19-33
30-24
29-31
25-37
27-24
25-26
30-25
19-26
31-25
20-30
32-20
28-30
38-38
18-24
24-28
29-26
31-38
23-33
30-25
26-29
29-26
27-27
34-24
31-35
25-42
38-32
43-32
39-25
27-32
31-35
27-32
29-26
37-29
25-32
30-30
25-33
27-40
22-31
23-23
236.4Avg total
114.4Scored
122.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)110.3117.9228.3-7.626%
Season at home (29)107.0114.6221.6-7.631%
Season away (29)113.7121.3235.0-7.621%
Last 10 (10)114.4122.0236.4-7.630%
Last 5 (5)121.4127.2248.6-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)113.4120.0233.5-6.626%
vs Similar (6)109.7119.8229.5-10.233%
vs Weaker (1)103.0112.0215.0-9.00%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
L
114-122
114
122
-8
102avg 111
H26/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
96-102
96
102
-6
86avg 111
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
105-129
105
129
-24
91avg 111
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
112-97
112
97
+15
109avg 111
A01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
127-109
127
109
+18
125avg 111
A03/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
129-128
129
128
+1
no box
A04/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
121-122
121
122
-1
115avg 111
A07/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
101-116
101
116
-15
82avg 111
A09/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
119-127
119
127
-8
106avg 111
H10/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
124-87
124
87
+37
123avg 111
A11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
29-28
34-43
25-19
25-32
29-25
23-24
19-21
38-26
17-31
31-39
19-33
24-30
33-19
32-26
23-22
34-21
26-32
37-20
30-36
31-28
30-29
38-34
30-37
26-28
24-25
38-30
33-39
31-29
25-26
28-25
17-36
27-32
28-34
26-34
38-27
32-19
25-19
28-29
39-20
228.7Avg total
114.8Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)118.5113.4231.8+5.159%
Season at home (28)118.2112.0230.2+6.364%
Season away (28)118.7114.8233.5+3.954%
Last 10 (10)114.8113.9228.7+0.940%
Last 5 (5)118.8116.0234.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)111.2113.1224.3-1.945%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)120.9114.6235.5+6.368%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
Minnesota TimberwolvesMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
L
48-74
48
74
-26
H28/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H01/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A03/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A04/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A07/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A09/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
52-73
52
73
-21
H13/04
NBA
120.6Avg total
57.1Scored
63.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.061.5117.5-5.513%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.559.0112.5-5.513%-
Last 30 away (15)58.664.0122.6-5.413%-
Last 10 (10)57.163.5120.6-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)59.063.4122.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)56.861.7118.6-4.917%-
vs Similar (6)54.061.3115.3-7.30%-
vs Weaker (1)50.057.0107.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H26/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A03/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A04/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A07/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A09/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H10/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A11/04
NBA
110.5Avg total
56.0Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.656.2114.8+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.957.7118.6+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)56.354.7110.9+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)56.054.5110.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)55.853.8109.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)55.156.0111.1-0.945%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)60.656.3116.9+4.463%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.425.6
50.8%
52.8%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.013.1
34.5%
36.6%39.3
🏀 Free throws28.423.7
83.5%
77.7%23.7
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.529.0
52.3%
52.8%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.214.0
39.8%
36.6%42.0
🏀 Free throws18.114.6
80.7%
77.7%14.6
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLLWLLWLL
Milwaukee Bucks
WLLLWWWLLL
#25
League position
#5
-7.5
Net rating
+0.7
109.9
Offensive rating
111.5
117.4
Defensive rating
110.8
51.2%
Effective FG%
55.1%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
12.3%
Turnover %
14.0%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.5%
3-point %
39.8%
61.2%
Assist %
54.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 111.5Defence117.4 · 110.8Shooting51.2% · 55.1%3-point %34.5% · 39.8%Ball care12.3% · 14.0%Off. rebounds21.7% · 24.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/21HBrooklyn Nets97-127
12/04/21HChicago Bulls121-117
09/04/21ABoston Celtics136-145 OT
07/04/21AIndiana Pacers137-141
05/04/21HSacramento Kings116-106
04/04/21APhiladelphia 76ers113-122
03/04/21AMemphis Grizzlies108-120
01/04/21HNew York Knicks102-101
29/03/21ABrooklyn Nets107-112
28/03/21HHouston Rockets107-129
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/21AOrlando Magic124-87
10/04/21HCharlotte Hornets119-127
09/04/21ADallas Mavericks101-116
07/04/21AGolden State Warriors121-122
04/04/21ASacramento Kings129-128
03/04/21APortland Trail Blazers127-109
01/04/21ALos Angeles Lakers112-97
30/03/21ALos Angeles Clippers105-129
28/03/21HNew York Knicks96-102
26/03/21HBoston Celtics114-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL26%
HomeLWWWL31%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582929
Win %26%31%21%
Points / game110.3107.0113.7
Allowed / game117.9114.6121.3
Point differential-7.6-7.6-7.6
Avg total228.3221.6235.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%10%3%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (21)44% (9)42% (12)
Overtime %9%7%10%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW59%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayWWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %59%64%54%
Points / game118.5118.2118.7
Allowed / game113.4112.0114.8
Point differential+5.1+6.3+3.9
Avg total231.8230.2233.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%46%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)100% (4)33% (9)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz58441476%117.1107.2+9.9
2 Philadelphia 76ers56391770%113.6108.1+5.4
3 Brooklyn Nets56391770%118.7113.6+5.1
4 Phoenix Suns58391967%114.1108.1+6.0
5 Los Angeles Clippers59382164%114.4108.7+5.7
6 Los Angeles Lakers59382164%109.9105.4+4.5
7 Denver Nuggets57362163%115.2109.5+5.6
8 Milwaukee Bucks56332359%118.5113.4+5.1
9 Dallas Mavericks56312555%111.9109.9+2.0
10 Portland Trail Blazers58322655%114.1115.2-1.1
11 Atlanta Hawks59322754%113.2111.5+1.7
12 Memphis Grizzlies56302654%113.3111.3+2.0
13 New York Knicks59312853%105.1103.2+1.8
14 Miami Heat56292752%106.2107.2-1.1
15 Boston Celtics57292851%111.8110.4+1.3
16 Charlotte Hornets57282949%110.7111.7-1.0
17 Golden State Warriors57282949%112.2113.5-1.3
18 New Orleans Pelicans56272948%114.9114.5+0.4
19 San Antonio Spurs55262947%110.3112.3-2.0
20 Indiana Pacers56253145%113.1113.8-0.7
21 Chicago Bulls57253244%112.1113.0-0.8
22 Sacramento Kings58243441%114.0118.4-4.4
23 Toronto Raptors58233540%111.8111.4+0.3
24 Washington Wizards56213538%112.8118.0-5.2
25 Cleveland Cavaliers57213637%103.7111.1-7.4
26 Oklahoma City Thunder57213637%105.4113.6-8.2
27 Orlando Magic58193933%104.8112.4-7.6
28 Detroit Pistons58184031%106.9110.2-3.3
29 Houston Rockets58174129%108.4113.7-5.3
30 Minnesota Timberwolves58154326%110.3117.9-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves19253526105
Milwaukee Bucks24374524130
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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