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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 115-108
35-22 30-30 22-35 28-21
Position#17
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#20
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Mar 2027
MIN v OKC
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
MIN v OKC
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
MIN123
OKC111
19 Dec 2025
MIN112
OKC107
26 May 2025
MIN126
OKC128
24 May 2025
MIN143
OKC101
23 Feb 2025
MIN123
OKC130
13 Feb 2025
MIN116
OKC101
20 Jan 2024
MIN97
OKC102
28 Nov 2023
MIN106
OKC103
14 Apr 2023
MIN120
OKC95
03 Dec 2022
MIN128
OKC135
19 Oct 2022
MIN115
OKC108
09 Mar 2022
MIN132
OKC102
05 Jan 2022
MIN98
OKC90
22 Mar 2021
MIN103
OKC112
25 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC113
13 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC117
07 Apr 2019
MIN126
OKC132
05 Mar 2019
MIN131
OKC120
10 Jan 2018
MIN104
OKC88
27 Oct 2017
MIN119
OKC116
11 Apr 2017
MIN98
OKC100
13 Jan 2017
MIN96
OKC86
27 Jan 2016
MIN123
OKC126
12 Jan 2016
MIN96
OKC101
15 Apr 2015
MIN113
OKC138
12 Dec 2014
MIN92
OKC111
04 Jan 2014
MIN111
OKC115
01 Nov 2013
MIN100
OKC81
29 Mar 2013
MIN101
OKC93
20 Dec 2012
MIN99
OKC93
14 Apr 2012
MIN110
OKC115
26 Dec 2011
MIN100
OKC104
26 Jan 2011
MIN117
OKC118
08 Dec 2010
MIN103
OKC111
21 Feb 2010
MIN107
OKC109
20 Jan 2010
MIN92
OKC94
22 Mar 2009
MIN90
OKC97
07 Jan 2009
MIN129
OKC87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
L
114-132
114
132
-18
102avg 106
H06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
127-121
127
121
+6
115avg 106
H08/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
120-124
120
124
-4
110avg 106
H11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
109-104
109
104
+5
98avg 106
H13/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
130-117
130
117
+13
129avg 106
A16/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
96-124
96
124
-28
85avg 106
A20/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
95-104
95
104
-9
82avg 106
H21/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
119-118
119
118
+1
111avg 106
H24/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
109-111
109
111
-2
102avg 106
A26/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
106-114
106
114
-8
93avg 106
H30/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-35
28-32
27-34
21-31
30-35
34-22
33-25
30-39
21-33
26-37
40-27
33-27
20-26
33-25
25-33
31-20
41-33
24-29
32-30
33-25
32-33
17-27
28-36
19-28
39-21
12-23
32-23
12-37
33-28
27-28
33-31
26-31
31-28
24-25
30-21
24-37
29-28
23-21
32-25
22-40
229.4Avg total
112.5Scored
116.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)112.5116.9229.4-4.440%
Last 5 (5)105.0114.2219.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)114.0129.5243.5-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)117.5117.1234.6+0.460%
vs Weaker (8)127.0111.4238.4+15.675%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
W
118-102
118
102
+16
113avg 94
H24/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
107-113
107
113
-6
102avg 94
A27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
134-131 OT
134
131
+3
134avg 94
A29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
118-136
118
136
-18
113avg 94
H31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
101-110
101
110
-9
96avg 94
H02/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
117-96
117
96
+21
122avg 94
H03/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
98-94
98
94
+4
86avg 94
H06/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
101-137
101
137
-36
85avg 94
A07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
101-120
101
120
-19
90avg 94
A09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
88-138
88
138
-50
64avg 94
A11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-34
34-19
24-21
34-28
25-32
24-26
27-29
31-26
34-28
24-33
23-28
34-26
24-42
34-43
31-30
29-21
20-21
32-34
14-28
35-27
20-27
32-26
32-22
33-21
29-27
19-27
19-28
31-12
31-41
27-30
27-35
16-31
28-27
24-29
30-34
19-30
18-39
33-27
16-29
21-43
226.0Avg total
108.3Scored
117.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)108.3117.7226.0-9.440%
Last 5 (5)101.0117.0218.0-16.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)108.6122.0230.6-13.317%
vs Similar ◀ (6)107.7109.7217.3-2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
Minnesota TimberwolvesOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H08/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
47-70
47
70
-23
H11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H13/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A16/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A20/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H21/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H24/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A26/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H30/04
NBA
113.1Avg total
56.2Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.358.1119.4+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.154.1114.1+6.071%-
Last 30 away (13)62.963.3126.2-0.462%-
Last 10 (10)56.256.9113.1-0.770%-
Last 5 (5)53.452.4105.8+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.561.5118.0-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)58.658.6117.3+0.065%-
vs Weaker (8)69.155.8124.9+13.475%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H24/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
58-85
58
85
-27
H31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H02/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H03/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H06/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A11/04
NBA
115.0Avg total
53.8Scored
61.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.961.5115.3-7.610%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.262.5116.8-8.26%-
Last 30 away (14)53.460.3113.7-6.914%-
Last 10 (10)53.861.2115.0-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)52.260.0112.2-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)54.063.2117.2-9.28%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)53.354.5107.8-1.217%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.924.0
50.1%
54.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.414.2
38.0%
35.8%42.6
🏀 Free throws28.321.9
77.4%
78.1%21.9
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 108.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.126.2
52.3%
54.5%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.6
37.1%
35.8%40.8
🏀 Free throws21.215.1
71.2%
78.1%15.1
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLLWWLWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLLWWLLWLW
#17
League position
#20
-4.2
Net rating
-9.3
108.0
Offensive rating
107.3
112.2
Defensive rating
116.6
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.7%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
13.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
19.1%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.0%
3-point %
37.1%
62.3%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 107.3Defence112.2 · 116.6Shooting53.1% · 53.7%3-point %38.0% · 37.1%Ball care13.8% · 14.3%Off. rebounds19.1% · 22.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/22HMemphis Grizzlies106-114
26/04/22AMemphis Grizzlies109-111
24/04/22HMemphis Grizzlies119-118
21/04/22HMemphis Grizzlies95-104
20/04/22AMemphis Grizzlies96-124
16/04/22AMemphis Grizzlies130-117
13/04/22HLos Angeles Clippers109-104
11/04/22HChicago Bulls120-124
08/04/22HSan Antonio Spurs127-121
06/04/22HWashington Wizards114-132
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/22ALos Angeles Clippers88-138
09/04/22ALos Angeles Lakers101-120
07/04/22AUtah Jazz101-137
06/04/22HPortland Trail Blazers98-94
03/04/22HPhoenix Suns117-96
02/04/22HDetroit Pistons101-110
31/03/22HAtlanta Hawks118-136
29/03/22APortland Trail Blazers134-131 OT
27/03/22ADenver Nuggets107-113
24/03/22HOrlando Magic118-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Orleans Pelicans110100%130.0108.0+22.0
2 Golden State Warriors110100%123.0109.0+14.0
3 Atlanta Hawks110100%117.0107.0+10.0
4 Boston Celtics110100%126.0117.0+9.0
5 Chicago Bulls110100%116.0108.0+8.0
6 Washington Wizards110100%114.0107.0+7.0
7 Detroit Pistons110100%113.0109.0+4.0
8 Memphis Grizzlies110100%115.0112.0+3.0
9 Toronto Raptors110100%108.0105.0+3.0
10 Cleveland Cavaliers1010%105.0108.0-3.0
11 New York Knicks1010%112.0115.0-3.0
12 Orlando Magic1010%109.0113.0-4.0
13 Indiana Pacers1010%107.0114.0-7.0
14 Miami Heat1010%108.0116.0-8.0
15 Philadelphia 76ers1010%117.0126.0-9.0
16 Houston Rockets1010%107.0117.0-10.0
17 Los Angeles Lakers1010%109.0123.0-14.0
18 Brooklyn Nets1010%108.0130.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves35302228115
Oklahoma City Thunder22303521108
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