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Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 108-113
34-44 24-22 21-28 29-19
Position#5
Record3-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game115.2
Milwaukee Bucks
USA
vs
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
Position#12
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game100.7
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves
23 Dec 2026
MIL v MIN
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MIL106
MIN139
08 Apr 2025
MIL110
MIN103
08 Feb 2024
MIL105
MIN129
30 Dec 2022
MIL123
MIN114
27 Oct 2021
MIL108
MIN113
23 Feb 2021
MIL139
MIN112
01 Jan 2020
MIL106
MIN104
23 Feb 2019
MIL140
MIN128
28 Dec 2017
MIL102
MIN96
11 Mar 2017
MIL102
MIN95
04 Mar 2016
MIL116
MIN101
09 Jan 2015
MIL98
MIN84
28 Dec 2013
MIL95
MIN117
03 Apr 2013
MIL98
MIN107
27 Dec 2011
MIL98
MIN95
21 Dec 2011
MIL84
MIN85
22 Feb 2011
MIL94
MIN88
23 Jan 2010
MIL127
MIN94
26 Jan 2009
MIL83
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
105-118
105
118
-13
95avg 110
A07/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
108-118
108
118
-10
94avg 110
A09/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
120-100
120
100
+20
115avg 110
H12/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
109-103
109
103
+6
94avg 110
H15/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
123-119
123
119
+4
116avg 110
A18/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
105-98
105
98
+7
101avg 110
H21/07
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
127-104
127
104
+23
116avg 110
H19/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
95-137
95
137
-42
77avg 110
A22/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
121-111
121
111
+10
116avg 110
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
119-109
119
109
+10
112avg 110
A25/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
23-27
27-35
29-26
29-26
16-30
33-32
30-30
25-28
35-17
38-31
22-24
20-23
32-29
24-30
33-21
21-37
43-24
36-29
23-29
29-16
13-31
35-30
28-21
37-25
29-34
31-26
30-19
17-40
26-32
26-33
26-32
32-32
24-20
29-29
36-30
34-30
32-27
35-29
18-23
224.9Avg total
113.2Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)115.5115.2230.8+0.275%
Season at home (1)127.0104.0231.0+23.0100%
Season away (3)111.7119.0230.7-7.367%
Last 10 (10)113.2111.7224.9+1.570%
Last 5 (5)113.4111.8225.2+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)109.4108.1217.5+1.264%
vs Weaker (8)121.1107.5228.6+13.688%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
135-139
135
139
-4
130avg 102
H06/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
112-121
112
121
-9
104avg 102
A08/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
128-96
128
96
+32
126avg 102
A09/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
119-100
119
100
+19
109avg 102
A11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
103-114
103
114
-11
91avg 102
H14/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
108-124
108
124
-16
94avg 102
H15/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
136-121
136
121
+15
134avg 102
H17/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
124-106
124
106
+18
118avg 102
H21/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
96-89
96
89
+7
82avg 102
H24/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
98-107
98
107
-9
80avg 102
H26/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
34-40
40-34
32-32
32-28
22-31
24-30
34-32
34-19
40-25
33-25
21-27
30-20
32-20
24-25
33-35
26-35
26-28
37-29
14-22
26-37
21-29
27-23
34-35
38-22
38-38
37-35
23-26
32-21
40-24
27-26
25-35
28-27
26-14
15-26
27-22
19-25
24-29
30-26
25-27
227.6Avg total
115.9Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)106.0100.7206.7+5.367%
Season at home (3)106.0100.7206.7+5.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)115.9111.7227.6+4.250%
Last 5 (5)112.4109.4221.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)115.6121.2236.8-5.635%
vs Similar ◀ (9)115.2109.1224.3+6.167%
vs Weaker (1)124.0106.0230.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
Milwaukee BucksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A07/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A09/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H12/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H15/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A18/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H21/07
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H19/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
43-72
43
72
-29
A22/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A25/10
NBA
110.1Avg total
54.3Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.053.3109.3+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.949.8109.8+10.185%-
Last 30 away (17)53.055.9108.9-2.941%-
Last 10 (10)54.355.8110.1-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)54.657.4112.0-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)53.853.1106.9+0.755%-
vs Weaker (8)62.053.8115.8+8.275%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H06/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A08/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
74-44
74
44
+30
A09/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
62-40
62
40
+22
A11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H14/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
47-66
47
66
-19
H15/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H17/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
72-45
72
45
+27
H21/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H24/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H26/10
NBA
114.2Avg total
59.7Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.159.9118.0-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.358.9115.2-2.635%-
Last 30 away (13)60.561.1121.6-0.531%-
Last 10 (10)59.754.5114.2+5.250%-
Last 5 (5)58.453.2111.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)57.262.5119.7-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)58.755.8114.4+2.944%-
vs Weaker (1)72.045.0117.0+27.0100%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.329.5
53.3%
53.1%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.1
35.5%
35.3%36.3
🏀 Free throws24.017.9
74.6%
77.4%17.9
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.927.6
55.3%
53.1%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.314.0
33.9%
35.3%42.0
🏀 Free throws25.618.7
73.0%
77.4%18.7
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLWWWWWLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWLLWWLL
#5
League position
#12
+1.5
Net rating
+4.0
112.3
Offensive rating
110.7
110.8
Defensive rating
106.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
53.3%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
11.9%
Turnover %
13.4%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.5%
3-point %
33.9%
54.6%
Assist %
63.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 110.7Defence110.8 · 106.7Shooting53.3% · 53.3%3-point %35.5% · 33.9%Ball care11.9% · 13.4%Off. rebounds24.6% · 25.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Milwaukee Bucks wins
2
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
DateGameScore
14/04/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks105-130
24/02/21Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves139-112
02/01/20Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves106-104
05/11/19Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks106-134
24/02/19Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves140-128
27/10/18Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks95-125
02/02/18Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks108-89
29/12/17Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves102-96
12/03/17Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves102-95
31/12/16Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks116-99
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/21AIndiana Pacers119-109
24/10/21ASan Antonio Spurs121-111
22/10/21AMiami Heat95-137
19/10/21HBrooklyn Nets127-104
21/07/21HPhoenix Suns105-98
18/07/21APhoenix Suns123-119
15/07/21HPhoenix Suns109-103
12/07/21HPhoenix Suns120-100
09/07/21APhoenix Suns108-118
07/07/21APhoenix Suns105-118
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/21HNew Orleans Pelicans98-107
24/10/21HNew Orleans Pelicans96-89
21/10/21HHouston Rockets124-106
17/05/21HDallas Mavericks136-121
15/05/21HBoston Celtics108-124
14/05/21HDenver Nuggets103-114
11/05/21ADetroit Pistons119-100
09/05/21AOrlando Magic128-96
08/05/21AMiami Heat112-121
06/05/21HMemphis Grizzlies135-139

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game115.5127.0111.7
Allowed / game115.2104.0119.0
Point differential+0.2+23.0-7.3
Avg total230.8231.0230.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game106.0106.0-
Allowed / game100.7100.7-
Point differential+5.3+5.3-
Avg total206.7206.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz330100%113.099.0+14.0
2 Chicago Bulls440100%107.597.5+10.0
3 Golden State Warriors440100%115.2108.0+7.2
4 Charlotte Hornets54180%121.2116.0+5.2
5 Miami Heat43175%110.295.0+15.2
6 Atlanta Hawks43175%108.097.8+10.2
7 New York Knicks43175%118.8109.8+9.0
8 Washington Wizards43175%109.8107.0+2.8
9 Milwaukee Bucks43175%115.5115.2+0.2
10 Minnesota Timberwolves32167%106.0100.7+5.3
11 Memphis Grizzlies32167%123.3118.7+4.7
12 Dallas Mavericks32167%102.0104.7-2.7
13 Philadelphia 76ers42250%110.0106.5+3.5
14 Cleveland Cavaliers42250%108.2109.2-1.0
15 Denver Nuggets42250%102.2103.8-1.5
16 Los Angeles Lakers42250%116.2118.8-2.5
17 Toronto Raptors52340%103.899.0+4.8
18 Boston Celtics52340%114.2119.0-4.8
19 Brooklyn Nets52340%102.0108.6-6.6
20 Los Angeles Clippers31233%114.3107.0+7.3
21 Portland Trail Blazers31233%113.7115.0-1.3
22 Sacramento Kings31233%110.7116.7-6.0
23 Phoenix Suns31233%106.0116.3-10.3
24 San Antonio Spurs41325%112.8111.2+1.5
25 Houston Rockets41325%108.2109.5-1.2
26 Indiana Pacers51420%113.4117.2-3.8
27 New Orleans Pelicans51420%100.8108.2-7.4
28 Orlando Magic51420%100.8115.0-14.2
29 Detroit Pistons3030%91.3104.3-13.0
30 Oklahoma City Thunder4040%94.5113.0-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks34242129108
Minnesota Timberwolves44222819113
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