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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 122-118
30-27 25-33 33-35 34-23
Position#2
Record31-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game113.1
vs
Position#17
Record22-23
FormWLWWL
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game115.4
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
124-119
124
119
+5
129avg 114
H31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
123-111
123
111
+12
124avg 114
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
111-124
111
124
-13
104avg 114
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
122-91
122
91
+31
125avg 114
H06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
121-108
121
108
+13
124avg 114
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
122-109
122
109
+13
118avg 114
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
126-97
126
97
+29
123avg 114
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
115-103
115
103
+12
110avg 114
A14/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
119-116
119
116
+3
115avg 114
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
122-113
122
113
+9
119avg 114
H18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
37-38
25-33
39-29
37-28
25-26
36-31
25-26
23-23
30-36
32-31
26-34
32-15
34-17
36-27
20-32
26-28
36-30
32-24
27-26
29-23
33-25
32-31
28-30
34-28
36-26
30-21
26-22
32-34
25-24
29-23
29-22
31-25
38-29
25-34
25-28
34-31
39-36
28-22
21-24
229.6Avg total
120.5Scored
109.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)117.2113.1230.2+4.170%
Season at home (23)119.9108.8228.7+11.087%
Season away (21)114.2117.7231.9-3.552%
Last 10 (10)120.5109.1229.6+11.490%
Last 5 (5)120.8107.6228.4+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)119.0113.4232.4+5.673%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)116.9112.1229.0+4.874%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
114-123
114
123
-9
93avg 110
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
104-116
104
116
-12
90avg 110
H01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
124-111
124
111
+13
120avg 110
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
113-106
113
106
+7
105avg 110
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
128-115
128
115
+13
129avg 110
H07/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
104-96
104
96
+8
100avg 110
A09/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
118-135
118
135
-17
105avg 110
A12/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
121-116
121
116
+5
111avg 110
H14/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
110-102
110
102
+8
101avg 110
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
125-126
125
126
-1
112avg 110
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-33
27-17
22-39
31-34
39-28
25-22
24-38
16-28
23-23
36-30
31-32
34-26
29-24
31-29
29-32
24-21
37-33
31-21
32-25
28-36
24-33
34-29
19-19
27-15
34-31
30-34
23-36
31-34
35-25
29-24
28-26
29-41
27-25
22-29
28-26
33-22
27-27
31-25
37-35
30-39
230.7Avg total
116.1Scored
114.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)115.0115.4230.5-0.449%
Season at home (24)117.2115.7233.0+1.558%
Season away (21)112.5115.1227.6-2.738%
Last 10 (10)116.1114.6230.7+1.560%
Last 5 (5)115.6115.0230.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)114.3111.3225.7+3.067%
vs Similar (23)116.2116.0232.3+0.252%
vs Weaker (4)108.5114.2222.8-5.825%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
66-32
66
32
+34
H06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A14/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H18/01
NBA
117.5Avg total
63.4Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.557.3118.8+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (18)63.155.2118.2+7.978%-
Last 30 away (12)59.160.5119.6-1.442%-
Last 10 (10)63.454.1117.5+9.380%-
Last 5 (5)66.256.2122.4+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)61.655.9117.5+5.782%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)61.458.1119.5+3.353%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H07/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A09/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A12/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H14/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H16/01
NBA
114.7Avg total
60.5Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.255.6113.9+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.955.5113.5+2.467%-
Last 30 away (15)58.555.7114.3+2.867%-
Last 10 (10)60.554.2114.7+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)58.656.4115.0+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)54.753.7108.3+1.067%-
vs Similar (23)58.055.6113.7+2.470%-
vs Weaker (4)62.057.2119.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 120.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.130.3
58.2%
54.5%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.814.4
42.6%
35.8%43.2
🏀 Free throws21.416.7
78.0%
78.1%16.7
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.130.9
57.1%
54.5%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.6
36.6%
35.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws24.819.5
78.6%
78.1%19.5
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWWLWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWLWWWWLL
#2
League position
#17
+11.5
Net rating
+1.5
121.6
Offensive rating
114.9
110.1
Defensive rating
113.5
60.4%
Effective FG%
56.3%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.3%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
42.6%
3-point %
36.6%
66.0%
Assist %
55.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.6 · 114.9Defence110.1 · 113.5Shooting60.4% · 56.3%3-point %42.6% · 36.6%Ball care13.6% · 13.3%Off. rebounds25.6% · 22.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers122-113
16/01/23HOrlando Magic119-116
14/01/23ALos Angeles Clippers115-103
12/01/23HPhoenix Suns126-97
10/01/23HLos Angeles Lakers122-109
07/01/23HCleveland Cavaliers121-108
06/01/23HLos Angeles Clippers122-91
03/01/23AMinnesota Timberwolves111-124
02/01/23HBoston Celtics123-111
31/12/22HMiami Heat124-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/23HUtah Jazz125-126
15/01/23HCleveland Cavaliers110-102
14/01/23HPhoenix Suns121-116
12/01/23ADetroit Pistons118-135
09/01/23AHouston Rockets104-96
07/01/23HLos Angeles Clippers128-115
05/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers113-106
03/01/23HDenver Nuggets124-111
01/01/23HDetroit Pistons104-116
31/12/22AMilwaukee Bucks114-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLWLLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %70%87%52%
Points / game117.2119.9114.2
Allowed / game113.1108.8117.7
Point differential+4.1+11.0-3.5
Avg total230.2228.7231.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%57%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (15)67% (9)83% (6)
Overtime %5%4%5%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL49%
HomeWWWWL58%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452421
Win %49%58%38%
Points / game115.0117.2112.5
Allowed / game115.4115.7115.1
Point differential-0.4+1.5-2.7
Avg total230.5233.0227.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics45331273%118.8112.3+6.5
2 Memphis Grizzlies44311370%117.5111.7+5.8
3 Denver Nuggets44311370%117.2113.1+4.1
4 Milwaukee Bucks45291664%112.6111.3+1.3
5 Philadelphia 76ers44281664%113.9110.2+3.8
6 Brooklyn Nets43271663%113.5110.5+3.0
7 Cleveland Cavaliers46281861%111.6107.1+4.5
8 New Orleans Pelicans45261958%116.6113.5+3.1
9 Sacramento Kings42241857%120.0117.0+3.0
10 New York Knicks46252154%114.1111.4+2.6
11 Miami Heat46252154%109.2108.6+0.7
12 Dallas Mavericks46242252%112.9112.7+0.2
13 Atlanta Hawks45232251%115.4116.0-0.6
14 Utah Jazz48242450%117.8116.6+1.2
15 Golden State Warriors44222250%117.5117.9-0.4
16 Indiana Pacers46232350%115.3116.5-1.2
17 Los Angeles Clippers47232449%109.2110.5-1.2
18 Oklahoma City Thunder45222349%117.0115.8+1.2
19 Minnesota Timberwolves45222349%115.0115.4-0.4
20 Portland Trail Blazers44212348%113.3112.8+0.5
21 Phoenix Suns45212447%112.6112.2+0.4
22 Chicago Bulls44202445%114.5115.2-0.6
23 Los Angeles Lakers44202445%117.0118.1-1.0
24 Toronto Raptors45202544%112.2112.1+0.1
25 Washington Wizards45192642%111.9113.2-1.3
26 Orlando Magic44162836%110.5114.3-3.8
27 San Antonio Spurs45143131%112.5121.2-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets46123426%112.4118.9-6.5
29 Detroit Pistons47123526%112.1119.5-7.4
30 Houston Rockets45103522%109.8117.6-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets30253334122
Minnesota Timberwolves27333523118
← all games of the day
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