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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 121-116
35-25 29-24 28-26 29-41
Position#17
Record20-22
FormWWWWL
Points / game114.8
Allowed / game115.5
vs
Position#9
Record21-22
FormLLLWL
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game111.4
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns
31 Jan 2027
MIN v PHX
upcoming
21 Dec 2026
MIN v PHX
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
MIN116
PHX104
08 Dec 2025
MIN105
PHX108
28 Mar 2025
MIN124
PHX109
17 Nov 2024
MIN120
PHX117
23 Apr 2024
MIN105
PHX93
20 Apr 2024
MIN120
PHX95
14 Apr 2024
MIN106
PHX125
13 Jan 2023
MIN121
PHX116
09 Nov 2022
MIN117
PHX129
23 Mar 2022
MIN116
PHX125
15 Nov 2021
MIN96
PHX99
28 Feb 2021
MIN99
PHX118
07 Apr 2020
MIN v PHX
upcoming
23 Nov 2019
MIN98
PHX100
20 Jan 2019
MIN116
PHX114
16 Dec 2017
MIN106
PHX108
26 Nov 2017
MIN119
PHX108
19 Dec 2016
MIN115
PHX108
28 Mar 2016
MIN121
PHX116
17 Jan 2016
MIN117
PHX87
20 Feb 2015
MIN111
PHX109
07 Jan 2015
MIN111
PHX113
23 Mar 2014
MIN120
PHX127
08 Jan 2014
MIN103
PHX104
13 Apr 2013
MIN105
PHX93
29 Dec 2012
MIN111
PHX107
09 Apr 2012
MIN90
PHX114
06 Apr 2011
MIN98
PHX108
28 Mar 2010
MIN105
PHX111
27 Nov 2009
MIN95
PHX120
11 Apr 2009
MIN97
PHX110
26 Nov 2008
MIN102
PHX110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
109-121
109
121
-12
101avg 110
A24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
110-113
110
113
-3
114avg 110
A27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
118-119
118
119
-1
104avg 110
A29/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
114-123
114
123
-9
93avg 110
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
104-116
104
116
-12
90avg 110
H01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
124-111
124
111
+13
120avg 110
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
113-106
113
106
+7
105avg 110
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
128-115
128
115
+13
129avg 110
H07/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
104-96
104
96
+8
100avg 110
A09/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
118-135
118
135
-17
105avg 110
A12/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
27-32
30-34
23-33
31-33
25-26
30-34
24-20
28-24
27-25
33-37
30-33
34-33
27-17
22-39
31-34
39-28
25-22
24-38
16-28
23-23
36-30
31-32
34-26
29-24
31-29
29-32
24-21
37-33
31-21
32-25
28-36
24-33
34-29
19-19
27-15
34-31
30-34
23-36
31-34
229.7Avg total
114.2Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)114.8115.5230.3-0.748%
Season at home (21)117.0115.9232.9+1.257%
Season away (21)112.5115.1227.6-2.738%
Last 10 (10)114.2115.5229.7-1.340%
Last 5 (5)117.4112.6230.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)120.7118.7239.3+2.067%
vs Similar ◀ (23)115.5115.2230.7+0.352%
vs Weaker (4)108.5114.2222.8-5.825%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
125-128 OT
125
128
-3
119avg 108
A26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
125-108
125
108
+17
122avg 108
A28/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
102-127
102
127
-25
87avg 108
A29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
104-113
104
113
-9
106avg 108
A31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 108
A02/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
88-90
88
90
-2
84avg 108
A05/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
96-104
96
104
-8
88avg 108
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
98-112
98
112
-14
87avg 108
H09/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
125-113
125
113
+12
124avg 108
A11/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
97-126
97
126
-29
90avg 108
A12/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
33-23
27-30
29-32
23-22
42-27
32-31
28-28
21-36
34-28
29-29
18-34
24-33
27-20
28-33
25-27
11-23
20-31
27-25
25-23
14-15
29-18
21-26
24-31
23-30
23-21
27-27
23-26
26-35
28-22
25-23
19-32
31-26
28-19
39-34
27-34
28-34
26-36
21-30
22-26
216.6Avg total
104.3Scored
112.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)112.7111.4224.0+1.349%
Season at home (21)114.2109.1223.3+5.067%
Season away (22)111.2113.5224.7-2.432%
Last 10 (10)104.3112.3216.6-8.020%
Last 5 (5)100.8109.0209.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.0125.0223.0-27.00%
vs Similar ◀ (25)113.0114.2227.2-1.244%
vs Weaker (4)114.8107.5222.2+7.250%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.3-5.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.3-5.3
Minnesota TimberwolvesPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A29/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H07/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A09/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A12/01
NBA
115.0Avg total
60.1Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.356.2115.5+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.256.5114.7+1.767%-
Last 30 away (18)60.155.9116.1+4.267%-
Last 10 (10)60.154.9115.0+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)61.857.4119.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.752.3113.0+8.3100%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)58.756.5115.2+2.265%-
vs Weaker (4)62.057.2119.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
65-49
65
49
+16
A28/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A02/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A05/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H09/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A11/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A12/01
NBA
104.2Avg total
51.5Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.054.8108.8-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.955.5109.4-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)54.154.2108.3-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)51.552.7104.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)51.251.2102.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.069.0111.0-27.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)54.254.8109.0-0.640%-
vs Weaker (4)55.851.5107.2+4.250%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.530.2
57.5%
54.5%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.4
36.2%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws25.619.6
76.6%
78.1%19.6
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 104.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.925.5
46.4%
54.5%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.412.4
40.8%
35.8%37.2
🏀 Free throws19.616.1
82.1%
78.1%16.1
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWLLLLL
Phoenix Suns
LWLLLLLLWL
#17
League position
#9
-1.3
Net rating
-8.1
112.7
Offensive rating
105.8
113.9
Defensive rating
113.9
56.3%
Effective FG%
51.7%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.2%
3-point %
40.8%
56.7%
Assist %
66.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 105.8Defence113.9 · 113.9Shooting56.3% · 51.7%3-point %36.2% · 40.8%Ball care14.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds22.4% · 24.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/23ADetroit Pistons118-135
09/01/23AHouston Rockets104-96
07/01/23HLos Angeles Clippers128-115
05/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers113-106
03/01/23HDenver Nuggets124-111
01/01/23HDetroit Pistons104-116
31/12/22AMilwaukee Bucks114-123
29/12/22ANew Orleans Pelicans118-119
27/12/22AMiami Heat110-113
24/12/22ABoston Celtics109-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/23ADenver Nuggets97-126
11/01/23AGolden State Warriors125-113
09/01/23HCleveland Cavaliers98-112
07/01/23HMiami Heat96-104
05/01/23ACleveland Cavaliers88-90
02/01/23ANew York Knicks83-102
31/12/22AToronto Raptors104-113
29/12/22AWashington Wizards102-127
28/12/22AMemphis Grizzlies125-108
26/12/22ADenver Nuggets125-128 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL48%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %48%57%38%
Points / game114.8117.0112.5
Allowed / game115.5115.9115.1
Point differential-0.7+1.2-2.7
Avg total230.3232.9227.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%29%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL49%
HomeWLLLL67%
AwayLLLWL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %49%67%32%
Points / game112.7114.2111.2
Allowed / game111.4109.1113.5
Point differential+1.3+5.0-2.4
Avg total224.0223.3224.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%43%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (13)50% (6)14% (7)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics43311272%118.4112.3+6.1
2 Memphis Grizzlies41281368%116.8111.8+5.0
3 Denver Nuggets41281368%117.0113.2+3.8
4 Brooklyn Nets41271466%114.2110.6+3.6
5 Milwaukee Bucks42271564%112.2110.9+1.3
6 Cleveland Cavaliers43271663%111.7106.9+4.8
7 Philadelphia 76ers41251661%113.7110.0+3.7
8 New Orleans Pelicans43261760%117.3113.3+4.1
9 New York Knicks43241956%114.0111.2+2.8
10 Dallas Mavericks43241956%112.3111.1+1.2
11 Sacramento Kings40221855%119.2117.0+2.1
12 Miami Heat43232053%108.8108.8-0.1
13 Indiana Pacers43232053%115.5115.6-0.1
14 Los Angeles Clippers43222151%109.2110.0-0.8
15 Golden State Warriors42212150%117.3117.6-0.3
16 Phoenix Suns43212249%112.7111.4+1.3
17 Utah Jazz44212348%117.5116.8+0.7
18 Minnesota Timberwolves42202248%114.8115.5-0.7
19 Atlanta Hawks42202248%115.0116.2-1.3
20 Portland Trail Blazers41192246%112.1112.1-0.1
21 Toronto Raptors42192345%112.0111.5+0.5
22 Oklahoma City Thunder42192345%116.7116.5+0.2
23 Chicago Bulls42192345%114.2114.9-0.7
24 Los Angeles Lakers42192345%116.6117.9-1.2
25 Washington Wizards43182542%111.7113.1-1.4
26 Orlando Magic42162638%110.4114.2-3.8
27 San Antonio Spurs43133030%112.5121.5-9.0
28 Detroit Pistons46123426%112.3119.6-7.3
29 Charlotte Hornets43113226%112.2118.6-6.4
30 Houston Rockets41103124%109.2116.3-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves35292829121
Phoenix Suns25242641116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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