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Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 130-122
44-34 23-40 38-23 25-25
Position#1
Record28-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game112.2
Allowed / game111.1
vs
Position#18
Record20-24
FormWWWLW
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game111.7
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors
06 Nov 2026
MIL107
TOR121
22 Feb 2026
MIL94
TOR122
18 Dec 2025
MIL105
TOR111
17 Jan 2025
MIL130
TOR112
12 Nov 2024
MIL99
TOR85
05 Apr 2024
MIL111
TOR117
19 Mar 2023
MIL118
TOR111
17 Jan 2023
MIL130
TOR122
15 Jan 2022
MIL96
TOR103
05 Jan 2022
MIL111
TOR117
18 Feb 2021
MIL96
TOR110
16 Feb 2021
MIL113
TOR124
10 Aug 2020
MIL106
TOR114
02 Nov 2019
MIL115
TOR105
23 May 2019
MIL v TOR
upcoming
17 May 2019
MIL125
TOR103
15 May 2019
MIL108
TOR100
05 Jan 2019
MIL116
TOR123
29 Oct 2018
MIL124
TOR109
05 Jan 2018
MIL110
TOR129
27 Apr 2017
MIL89
TOR92
22 Apr 2017
MIL76
TOR87
20 Apr 2017
MIL104
TOR77
04 Mar 2017
MIL101
TOR94
25 Nov 2016
MIL99
TOR105
15 Mar 2016
MIL89
TOR107
26 Dec 2015
MIL90
TOR111
19 Jan 2015
MIL89
TOR92
05 Apr 2014
MIL98
TOR102
02 Nov 2013
MIL90
TOR97
06 Apr 2013
MIL100
TOR83
02 Mar 2013
MIL122
TOR114
23 Apr 2012
MIL92
TOR86
11 Apr 2011
MIL93
TOR86
08 Feb 2011
MIL92
TOR74
20 Jan 2010
MIL113
TOR107
09 Dec 2009
MIL117
TOR95
05 Jan 2009
MIL107
TOR97
01 Nov 2008
MIL87
TOR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
123-114
123
114
+9
123avg 106
H31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
95-118
95
118
-23
78avg 106
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
123-113
123
113
+10
115avg 106
H04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
108avg 106
A05/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
109-138
109
138
-29
99avg 106
H07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
111-107
111
107
+4
106avg 106
A10/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
114-105
114
105
+9
110avg 106
A12/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
102-108
102
108
-6
87avg 106
A13/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
95-111
95
111
-16
82avg 106
A14/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
132-119
132
119
+13
130avg 106
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-34
17-27
39-22
34-31
17-34
33-34
20-20
25-30
32-28
29-21
29-36
33-28
13-12
26-26
24-21
34-38
28-51
32-33
27-28
22-26
22-22
24-29
27-27
38-29
39-19
28-27
22-36
25-23
23-14
22-31
28-33
29-30
20-28
25-25
26-24
24-34
32-38
33-38
28-22
39-21
224.2Avg total
110.8Scored
113.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)112.2111.1223.3+1.264%
Season at home (22)117.8111.0228.7+6.877%
Season away (22)106.7111.2217.9-4.550%
Last 10 (10)110.8113.4224.2-2.660%
Last 5 (5)110.8110.0220.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)112.8114.6227.4-1.852%
vs Weaker (9)111.9110.1222.0+1.867%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
106-119
106
119
-13
90avg 100
H30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
113-104
113
104
+9
100avg 100
H31/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
114-122
114
122
-8
101avg 100
A03/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
72avg 100
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
108-112
108
112
-4
100avg 100
H07/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
117-105
117
105
+12
106avg 100
H08/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
132-120
132
120
+12
131avg 100
H11/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
124-114
124
114
+10
117avg 100
H13/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
103-114
103
114
-11
89avg 100
H15/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
123-121 OT
123
121
+2
108avg 100
A16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
23-27
32-36
31-26
33-24
20-27
33-28
27-25
33-29
24-37
33-25
24-31
12-13
26-26
21-24
38-34
26-30
21-27
31-24
30-31
34-27
24-26
31-21
28-31
35-34
37-32
24-28
36-26
38-29
31-26
28-33
27-26
25-34
32-35
22-27
24-18
29-25
27-34
25-28
29-23
227.6Avg total
114.1Scored
113.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)112.0111.7223.8+0.345%
Season at home (25)112.9111.0223.9+2.056%
Season away (19)110.8112.7223.6-1.932%
Last 10 (10)114.1113.5227.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)119.8114.8234.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)110.0116.0226.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (24)110.5112.4222.9-1.838%
vs Weaker (5)120.4114.4234.8+6.080%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
Milwaukee BucksToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A05/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
60-84
60
84
-24
H07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A10/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
67-46
67
46
+21
A12/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A14/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H16/01
NBA
109.9Avg total
52.8Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.256.7112.0-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.262.4122.5-2.254%-
Last 30 away (17)51.552.4103.9-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)52.857.1109.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)53.654.2107.8-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)54.456.0110.4-1.748%-
vs Weaker (9)57.258.3115.6-1.156%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H31/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A03/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H07/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H08/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H11/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
69-55
69
55
+14
H13/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
57-69
57
69
-12
H15/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A16/01
NBA
112.2Avg total
55.0Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.256.6112.8-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (19)56.754.9111.7+1.858%-
Last 30 away (11)55.459.5114.8-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)55.057.2112.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)62.460.4122.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.056.0118.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)54.656.3110.9-1.742%-
vs Weaker (5)62.858.2121.0+4.680%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 110.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.722.6
50.6%
54.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.317.2
37.1%
35.8%51.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.0
73.7%
78.1%14.0
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 46.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.127.9
49.7%
54.5%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.411.6
32.8%
35.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws29.123.5
80.8%
78.1%23.5
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLLWWLWWLW
Toronto Raptors
WLWWWLLLWL
#1
League position
#18
-2.5
Net rating
+0.6
108.5
Offensive rating
113.1
111.0
Defensive rating
112.5
53.2%
Effective FG%
49.5%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
14.5%
Turnover %
9.3%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.1%
3-point %
32.8%
64.1%
Assist %
62.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 113.1Defence111.0 · 112.5Shooting53.2% · 49.5%3-point %37.1% · 32.8%Ball care14.5% · 9.3%Off. rebounds26.1% · 25.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
6
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/23HIndiana Pacers132-119
14/01/23AMiami Heat95-111
13/01/23AMiami Heat102-108
12/01/23AAtlanta Hawks114-105
10/01/23ANew York Knicks111-107
07/01/23HCharlotte Hornets109-138
05/01/23AToronto Raptors104-101 OT
04/01/23HWashington Wizards123-113
02/01/23HWashington Wizards95-118
31/12/22HMinnesota Timberwolves123-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/23ANew York Knicks123-121 OT
15/01/23HAtlanta Hawks103-114
13/01/23HCharlotte Hornets124-114
11/01/23HCharlotte Hornets132-120
08/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers117-105
07/01/23HNew York Knicks108-112
05/01/23HMilwaukee Bucks101-104 OT
03/01/23AIndiana Pacers114-122
31/12/22HPhoenix Suns113-104
30/12/22HMemphis Grizzlies106-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeWLWLW77%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %64%77%50%
Points / game112.2117.8106.7
Allowed / game111.1111.0111.2
Point differential+1.2+6.8-4.5
Avg total223.3228.7217.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%55%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)33% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW45%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayLWWLW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442519
Win %45%56%32%
Points / game112.0112.9110.8
Allowed / game111.7111.0112.7
Point differential+0.3+2.0-1.9
Avg total223.8223.9223.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%32%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)33% (6)25% (8)
Overtime %9%4%16%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics45331273%118.8112.3+6.5
2 Memphis Grizzlies43301370%117.6111.6+5.9
3 Denver Nuggets43301370%117.0113.1+4.0
4 Brooklyn Nets42271564%113.9110.6+3.3
5 Milwaukee Bucks44281664%112.2111.1+1.2
6 Philadelphia 76ers43271663%113.8110.2+3.6
7 Cleveland Cavaliers45281762%111.5106.9+4.6
8 New Orleans Pelicans44261859%117.0113.2+3.8
9 Sacramento Kings42241857%120.0117.0+3.0
10 New York Knicks45252056%114.3111.3+2.9
11 Dallas Mavericks45242153%112.7112.3+0.4
12 Miami Heat45242153%108.9108.8+0.1
13 Los Angeles Clippers45232251%109.4109.9-0.6
14 Indiana Pacers45232251%115.5116.3-0.8
15 Golden State Warriors44222250%117.5117.9-0.4
16 Atlanta Hawks44222250%115.1115.8-0.8
17 Utah Jazz47232449%117.6116.9+0.7
18 Minnesota Timberwolves45222349%115.0115.4-0.4
19 Portland Trail Blazers43212249%113.3112.6+0.7
20 Oklahoma City Thunder44212348%116.8116.0+0.8
21 Phoenix Suns45212447%112.6112.2+0.4
22 Toronto Raptors44202445%112.0111.7+0.3
23 Chicago Bulls44202445%114.5115.2-0.6
24 Los Angeles Lakers44202445%117.0118.1-1.0
25 Washington Wizards44182641%111.8113.4-1.6
26 Orlando Magic44162836%110.5114.3-3.8
27 San Antonio Spurs44133130%112.6121.7-9.1
28 Detroit Pistons47123526%112.1119.5-7.4
29 Charlotte Hornets45113424%112.2118.9-6.8
30 Houston Rockets44103423%109.6117.5-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks44233825130
Toronto Raptors34402325122
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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