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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 124-111
23-23 36-30 31-32 34-26
Position#17
Record16-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game115.9
vs
Position#2
Record24-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game116.6
Allowed / game114.3
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
88-99
88
99
-11
77avg 110
A15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
112-110
112
110
+2
102avg 110
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
150-126
150
126
+24
157avg 110
H19/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
116-106
116
106
+10
104avg 110
H20/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
99-104
99
104
-5
91avg 110
H22/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
109-121
109
121
-12
101avg 110
A24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
110-113
110
113
-3
114avg 110
A27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
118-119
118
119
-1
104avg 110
A29/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
114-123
114
123
-9
93avg 110
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
104-116
104
116
-12
90avg 110
H01/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
22-19
22-29
23-32
30-28
33-22
25-41
24-19
32-34
39-31
42-32
37-29
21-30
36-14
37-30
22-32
31-29
21-22
22-24
25-29
29-22
27-32
30-34
23-33
31-33
25-26
30-34
24-20
28-24
27-25
33-37
30-33
34-33
27-17
22-39
31-34
39-28
25-22
24-38
16-28
225.7Avg total
112.0Scored
113.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)114.4115.9230.3-1.543%
Season at home (18)116.3116.7233.0-0.450%
Season away (19)112.6115.1227.7-2.537%
Last 10 (10)112.0113.7225.7-1.730%
Last 5 (5)111.0118.4229.4-7.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)119.0122.5241.5-3.550%
vs Similar (25)113.9116.3230.2-2.440%
vs Weaker (3)113.7114.3228.0-0.733%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
W
141-128
141
128
+13
146avg 113
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
108-126
108
126
-18
101avg 113
A17/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
119-115
119
115
+4
116avg 113
H19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
105-91
105
91
+14
98avg 113
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
120-107
120
107
+13
119avg 113
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
121avg 113
H26/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
113-106
113
106
+7
112avg 113
A28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
126-127
126
127
-1
124avg 113
A29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
124-119
124
119
+5
129avg 113
H31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
123-111
123
111
+12
124avg 113
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-31
34-36
30-28
39-33
32-33
33-31
23-29
20-33
20-25
35-27
39-28
25-35
35-14
20-26
29-31
21-20
32-27
26-37
35-16
27-27
28-24
23-33
30-27
32-29
20-32
27-24
32-27
34-23
40-24
35-38
30-32
21-33
23-19
37-38
25-33
39-29
37-28
25-26
36-31
25-26
236.2Avg total
120.7Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)116.6114.3230.9+2.367%
Season at home (17)119.1109.9229.1+9.282%
Season away (19)114.3118.2232.5-3.853%
Last 10 (10)120.7115.5236.2+5.280%
Last 5 (5)122.8117.6240.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)116.4115.7232.1+0.754%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)117.4112.5229.8+4.976%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H19/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H20/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H22/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A29/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H01/01
NBA
108.8Avg total
57.8Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.156.9115.0+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.659.5116.1-2.846%-
Last 30 away (17)59.254.9114.2+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)57.851.0108.8+6.890%-
Last 5 (5)58.452.4110.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)61.552.0113.5+9.5100%-
vs Similar (25)57.058.1115.1-1.052%-
vs Weaker (3)64.750.3115.0+14.3100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A17/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H26/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H02/01
NBA
117.3Avg total
60.0Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.658.4119.0+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.256.1117.4+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)60.160.4120.4-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)60.057.3117.3+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)59.057.2116.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)59.956.5116.5+3.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)61.159.8120.9+1.353%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.030.8
57.0%
54.5%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.2
36.1%
35.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws22.616.8
74.3%
78.1%16.8
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 120.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.633.2
58.7%
54.5%66.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.6
41.1%
35.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws26.119.5
74.7%
78.1%19.5
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLLLLWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWWWWLW
#17
League position
#2
-1.7
Net rating
+5.0
110.4
Offensive rating
117.1
112.1
Defensive rating
112.1
56.0%
Effective FG%
59.7%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.8%
18.7%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.1%
3-point %
41.1%
54.0%
Assist %
68.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 117.1Defence112.1 · 112.1Shooting56.0% · 59.7%3-point %36.1% · 41.1%Ball care13.9% · 14.8%Off. rebounds18.7% · 21.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/23HDetroit Pistons104-116
31/12/22AMilwaukee Bucks114-123
29/12/22ANew Orleans Pelicans118-119
27/12/22AMiami Heat110-113
24/12/22ABoston Celtics109-121
22/12/22HDallas Mavericks99-104
20/12/22HDallas Mavericks116-106
19/12/22HChicago Bulls150-126
17/12/22AOklahoma City Thunder112-110
15/12/22ALos Angeles Clippers88-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/23HBoston Celtics123-111
31/12/22HMiami Heat124-119
29/12/22ASacramento Kings126-127
28/12/22ASacramento Kings113-106
26/12/22HPhoenix Suns128-125 OT
24/12/22HPortland Trail Blazers120-107
21/12/22HMemphis Grizzlies105-91
19/12/22HCharlotte Hornets119-115
17/12/22ALos Angeles Lakers108-126
15/12/22HWashington Wizards141-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL43%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWLLLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %43%50%37%
Points / game114.4116.3112.6
Allowed / game115.9116.7115.1
Point differential-1.5-0.4-2.5
Avg total230.3233.0227.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%22%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %67%82%53%
Points / game116.6119.1114.3
Allowed / game114.3109.9118.2
Point differential+2.3+9.2-3.8
Avg total230.9229.1232.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%53%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)62% (8)83% (6)
Overtime %6%6%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics37261170%118.6112.4+6.3
2 Brooklyn Nets37251268%115.2110.8+4.4
3 Denver Nuggets36241267%116.6114.3+2.3
4 Memphis Grizzlies36231364%115.4111.1+4.3
5 Milwaukee Bucks36231364%112.4110.7+1.8
6 Cleveland Cavaliers38241463%112.1106.9+5.2
7 New Orleans Pelicans37231462%117.4113.0+4.5
8 Philadelphia 76ers36221461%112.1108.2+3.9
9 Dallas Mavericks37211657%112.6110.4+2.2
10 Los Angeles Clippers38211755%109.7109.4+0.3
11 Indiana Pacers38211755%115.6115.8-0.2
12 Sacramento Kings35191654%118.0116.7+1.3
13 New York Knicks38201853%114.1111.3+2.8
14 Phoenix Suns38201853%114.2111.7+2.5
15 Portland Trail Blazers35181751%112.3112.2+0.1
16 Golden State Warriors37191851%116.4116.8-0.4
17 Miami Heat37191851%109.0109.6-0.6
18 Utah Jazz39192049%117.3116.6+0.7
19 Atlanta Hawks36171947%114.5115.5-1.0
20 Washington Wizards38172145%112.1112.4-0.3
21 Toronto Raptors37162143%111.4111.5-0.1
22 Chicago Bulls37162143%114.3115.6-1.3
23 Minnesota Timberwolves37162143%114.4115.9-1.5
24 Los Angeles Lakers37162143%116.1117.6-1.5
25 Oklahoma City Thunder36152142%115.2116.8-1.6
26 Orlando Magic37132435%109.8113.9-4.2
27 San Antonio Spurs37122532%111.6121.0-9.4
28 Houston Rockets36102628%109.4115.8-6.4
29 Charlotte Hornets38102826%111.4118.1-6.7
30 Detroit Pistons39102926%111.7118.5-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves23363134124
Denver Nuggets23303226111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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