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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 98-111
26-33 17-29 21-25 34-24
Position#3
Record51-22
FormWWWWL
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game109.9
vs
Position#4
Record50-22
FormWLWWW
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game106.3
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
W
142-121
142
121
+21
149avg 109
H10/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
125-119
125
119
+6
123avg 109
H12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
100-88
100
88
+12
94avg 109
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
117-106
117
106
+11
119avg 109
A16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
105-107
105
107
-2
96avg 109
A17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-112
115
112
+3
116avg 109
A20/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
113-100
113
100
+13
114avg 109
H22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
114-111
114
111
+3
105avg 109
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
128-103
128
103
+25
135avg 109
H26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
97-104
97
104
-7
86avg 109
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-22
40-22
24-44
40-33
32-34
19-34
42-30
32-21
26-19
24-25
22-27
28-17
37-18
21-31
28-30
31-27
34-30
27-28
18-26
26-23
35-28
35-27
17-29
28-28
32-30
29-26
27-20
25-24
26-22
31-25
28-36
29-28
39-24
30-20
30-32
29-27
29-29
23-30
21-24
24-21
222.7Avg total
115.6Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)114.6109.9224.5+4.770%
Season at home (36)118.4109.0227.4+9.481%
Season away (37)110.9110.8221.7+0.159%
Last 10 (10)115.6107.1222.7+8.580%
Last 5 (5)113.4106.0219.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)115.0109.0224.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (17)105.7107.1212.8-1.453%
vs Weaker (12)122.2109.8231.9+12.4100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
113-111
113
111
+2
101avg 108
A08/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
104-113 OT
104
113
-9
92avg 108
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
109-120
109
120
-11
95avg 108
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
118-100
118
100
+18
112avg 108
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
119-100
119
100
+19
114avg 108
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
114-104
114
104
+10
104avg 108
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
112-115
112
115
-3
100avg 108
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
100avg 108
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
114-110
114
110
+4
112avg 108
H24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
106-91
106
91
+15
103avg 108
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
27-26
23-34
30-28
23-25
27-29
30-25
17-18
28-32
40-37
24-22
17-29
21-34
34-29
29-15
34-22
19-19
29-29
34-24
37-28
25-37
28-22
30-24
31-21
28-35
27-35
29-17
28-28
25-20
21-29
26-17
32-25
18-27
28-27
32-27
36-29
30-25
17-20
31-21
28-25
216.8Avg total
111.3Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)113.1106.3219.4+6.769%
Season at home (35)111.4102.9214.3+8.574%
Season away (37)114.6109.6224.2+5.165%
Last 10 (10)111.3105.5216.8+5.870%
Last 5 (5)110.0102.2212.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)112.4103.5215.8+8.964%
vs Weaker (19)113.4105.8219.2+7.668%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
W
78-44
78
44
+34
H10/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
51-68
51
68
-17
H12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A20/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H28/03
NBA
113.1Avg total
60.7Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.555.0113.4+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.554.8115.3+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)56.455.1111.5+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)60.752.4113.1+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)61.852.2114.0+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.054.0116.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)55.656.5112.2-0.953%-
vs Weaker (12)62.252.8115.0+9.375%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A08/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
55-70
55
70
-15
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H28/03
NBA
108.8Avg total
52.8Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.352.7108.0+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.651.8104.4+0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)58.053.5111.5+4.553%-
Last 10 (10)52.856.0108.8-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)49.455.4104.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)53.753.7107.5+0.055%-
vs Weaker (19)56.252.1108.3+4.253%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.733.2
57.5%
54.4%66.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.5
39.7%
36.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.614.7
79.0%
78.2%14.7
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.229.1
52.7%
54.4%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.413.6
38.4%
36.3%40.8
🏀 Free throws16.812.3
73.2%
78.2%12.3
They take 90.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWLWWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWLWWWLLW
#3
League position
#4
+8.8
Net rating
+5.9
119.4
Offensive rating
114.1
110.6
Defensive rating
108.2
58.2%
Effective FG%
54.6%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
11.6%
Turnover %
10.5%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.19
39.7%
3-point %
38.4%
68.7%
Assist %
63.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 114.1Defence110.6 · 108.2Shooting58.2% · 54.6%3-point %39.7% · 38.4%Ball care11.6% · 10.5%Off. rebounds24.4% · 23.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24HPhoenix Suns97-104
26/03/24HMemphis Grizzlies128-103
24/03/24APortland Trail Blazers114-111
22/03/24HNew York Knicks113-100
20/03/24AMinnesota Timberwolves115-112
17/03/24ADallas Mavericks105-107
16/03/24ASan Antonio Spurs117-106
13/03/24AMiami Heat100-88
12/03/24HToronto Raptors125-119
10/03/24HUtah Jazz142-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24HDetroit Pistons106-91
24/03/24HGolden State Warriors114-110
23/03/24HCleveland Cavaliers104-91
20/03/24HDenver Nuggets112-115
19/03/24AUtah Jazz114-104
17/03/24AUtah Jazz119-100
13/03/24ALos Angeles Clippers118-100
11/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers109-120
09/03/24ACleveland Cavaliers104-113 OT
08/03/24AIndiana Pacers113-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWWWWL81%
AwayWWLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733637
Win %70%81%59%
Points / game114.6118.4110.9
Allowed / game109.9109.0110.8
Point differential+4.7+9.4+0.1
Avg total224.5227.4221.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)40% (5)57% (14)
Overtime %1%3%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeWLWWW74%
AwayLLWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723537
Win %69%74%65%
Points / game113.1111.4114.6
Allowed / game106.3102.9109.6
Point differential+6.7+8.5+5.1
Avg total219.4214.3224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%43%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)46% (13)71% (7)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics72571579%121.2109.6+11.7
2 Oklahoma City Thunder73512270%120.5113.0+7.5
3 Denver Nuggets73512270%114.6109.9+4.7
4 Minnesota Timberwolves72502269%113.1106.3+6.7
5 Milwaukee Bucks71452663%120.0116.7+3.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers73462763%116.1112.6+3.5
7 New Orleans Pelicans71442762%115.8110.0+5.8
8 New York Knicks72442861%112.5107.3+5.1
9 Cleveland Cavaliers74452961%112.7109.4+3.3
10 Dallas Mavericks72432960%118.8116.6+2.2
11 Sacramento Kings71422959%117.3116.1+1.2
12 Phoenix Suns73433059%116.9114.2+2.7
13 Orlando Magic73423158%110.4108.5+1.9
14 Indiana Pacers73403355%122.7120.7+2.0
15 Miami Heat73403355%109.8108.5+1.2
16 Los Angeles Lakers72393354%117.7118.3-0.6
17 Golden State Warriors73393453%118.0115.9+2.1
18 Philadelphia 76ers74393553%114.1112.1+2.0
19 Houston Rockets72373551%114.4112.6+1.9
20 Chicago Bulls74353947%112.1113.7-1.6
21 Atlanta Hawks73343947%119.2120.5-1.3
22 Utah Jazz73294440%116.5120.8-4.2
23 Brooklyn Nets74294539%111.2113.5-2.2
24 Memphis Grizzlies73244933%106.1113.1-7.0
25 Toronto Raptors73235032%112.6118.1-5.5
26 Portland Trail Blazers74195526%107.2116.2-9.0
27 Charlotte Hornets73185525%106.2116.7-10.5
28 San Antonio Spurs74185624%112.2119.3-7.1
29 Washington Wizards74146019%113.4123.0-9.6
30 Detroit Pistons74136118%110.6119.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2617213498
Minnesota Timberwolves33292524111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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