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Valencia vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 90-64
19-21 22-16 27-12 22-15
Position#3
Record7-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game87.6
vs
Position#14
Record5-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13· Roig Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Valencia v Bayern
12 Nov 2026
VAL102
BAY87
25 Nov 2025
VAL90
BAY64
20 Mar 2024
VAL70
BAY68
31 Jan 2023
VAL82
BAY73
25 Mar 2021
VAL83
BAY76
04 Mar 2015
VAL80
BAY58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
W
94-79
94
79
+15
80avg 90
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 90
H30/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
100-82
100
82
+18
99avg 90
H02/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
64avg 90
A07/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
L
79-85
79
85
-6
60avg 90
A09/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
89-76
89
76
+13
80avg 90
H11/11
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 90
A13/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
96-79
96
79
+17
95avg 90
H16/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
76-73
76
73
+3
68avg 90
H21/11
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
98-72
98
72
+26
96avg 90
H23/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
24-22
25-21
18-23
23-20
15-21
22-23
20-14
32-21
23-14
16-22
29-25
17-18
18-20
23-23
19-25
17-28
19-15
17-21
26-21
22-21
23-17
22-22
22-16
14-15
35-22
22-30
15-23
25-28
17-15
24-15
30-21
26-26
23-13
11-21
16-13
26-16
21-15
28-21
23-20
167.5Avg total
87.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.987.6176.5+1.358%
Season at home (6)89.283.3172.5+5.883%
Season away (6)88.791.8180.5-3.233%
Last 10 (10)87.580.0167.5+7.570%
Last 5 (5)89.078.0167.0+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)85.187.5172.5-2.436%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)96.283.7179.9+12.689%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 79
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
86-70
86
70
+16
84avg 79
H30/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#18
W
93-81
93
81
+12
86avg 79
H03/11
BBL
Paris
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 79
A06/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
68avg 79
A09/11
BBL
Barcelona
#8
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 79
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 79
A14/11
Euroleague
Trier
#5
W
96-80
96
80
+16
92avg 79
A16/11
German Cup
Baskonia
#18
L
73-95
73
95
-22
62avg 79
A21/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
74avg 79
A23/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
17-32
25-10
21-17
18-15
23-23
20-17
25-15
32-14
31-21
16-22
14-24
22-19
31-23
11-26
22-14
19-22
19-19
24-18
15-15
15-20
17-23
25-18
17-14
14-19
20-23
13-18
25-14
23-17
28-20
22-22
23-21
26-14
15-28
18-25
14-28
15-19
23-17
14-15
16-17
162.0Avg total
82.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.982.5160.4-4.642%
Season at home (7)78.980.6159.4-1.757%
Season away (5)76.685.2161.8-8.620%
Last 10 (10)82.879.2162.0+3.670%
Last 5 (5)79.280.2159.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.690.6167.2-14.020%
vs Similar (12)77.174.4151.5+2.758%
vs Weaker (12)88.876.8165.6+11.983%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
ValenciaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H02/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A09/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/11
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H16/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H21/11
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H23/11
ACB
82.7Avg total
44.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.041.486.4+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.639.185.7+7.573%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.787.1-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)44.738.082.7+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.437.684.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)42.542.585.0+0.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.640.687.2+5.967%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H30/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#18
W
63-35
63
35
+28
H03/11
BBL
Paris
#16
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A06/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A09/11
BBL
Barcelona
#8
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A14/11
Euroleague
Trier
#5
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A16/11
German Cup
Baskonia
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A21/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A23/11
BBL
84.8Avg total
43.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.181.5+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.141.484.5+1.865%-
Last 30 away (13)39.138.577.5+0.646%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.384.8+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.079.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.846.682.4-10.80%-
vs Similar (12)39.639.779.2-0.150%-
vs Weaker (12)45.138.984.0+6.283%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.0
54.0%
60.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.711.7
35.8%
35.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws20.614.0
68.0%
78.2%14.0
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.0
52.2%
60.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.7
35.0%
35.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.214.0
81.4%
78.2%14.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWLWLLWWW
Bayern
WLWLLWWWWW
#3
League position
#14
+10.9
Net rating
+4.9
112.0
Offensive rating
109.5
101.1
Defensive rating
104.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.8%
3-point %
35.0%
63.8%
Assist %
61.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 109.5Defence101.1 · 104.6Shooting53.8% · 52.3%3-point %35.8% · 35.0%Ball care17.5% · 16.8%Off. rebounds32.5% · 29.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
3
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
20/03/24Valencia v Bayern70-68
28/12/23Bayern v Valencia85-84
31/01/23Valencia v Bayern82-73
15/12/22Bayern v Valencia97-92
25/03/21Valencia v Bayern83-76
13/11/20Bayern v Valencia90-79
11/03/15Bayern v Valencia60-94
04/03/15Valencia v Bayern80-58
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HBasquet Girona98-72
21/11/25HCrvena zvezda76-73
16/11/25HTenerife96-79
13/11/25AParis86-90
11/11/25HReal Madrid89-76
09/11/25AGranada79-85
07/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas77-86
02/11/25HSan Pablo Burgos100-82
30/10/25HDubai80-78
28/10/25HFenerbahce94-79
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25AUlm81-77 OT
21/11/25ABaskonia73-95
16/11/25ATrier96-80
14/11/25AAnadolu Efes72-74
12/11/25HBarcelona74-75
09/11/25AVechta77-74
06/11/25AParis86-82
03/11/25HHeidelberg93-81
30/10/25HVirtus Bologna86-70
28/10/25HReal Madrid90-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game88.989.288.7
Allowed / game87.683.391.8
Point differential+1.3+5.8-3.2
Avg total176.5172.5180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL42%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %42%57%20%
Points / game77.978.976.6
Allowed / game82.580.685.2
Point differential-4.6-1.7-8.6
Avg total160.4159.4161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv139469%90.784.1+6.6
2 Panathinaikos139469%89.585.4+4.1
3 Olympiacos128467%86.981.0+5.9
4 Crvena zvezda128467%86.581.5+5.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas138562%87.180.2+6.8
6 Fenerbahce138562%79.678.5+1.1
7 Monaco127558%87.082.8+4.2
8 Valencia127558%88.987.6+1.3
9 Barcelona127558%85.185.1+0.0
10 Real Madrid137654%84.583.1+1.4
11 Olimpia Milano126650%83.183.1+0.0
12 Virtus Bologna136746%81.583.3-1.8
13 Dubai136746%86.288.1-1.8
14 Anadolu Efes125742%81.784.8-3.1
15 Bayern125742%77.982.5-4.6
16 Paris135838%89.389.6-0.3
17 Baskonia134931%85.590.0-4.5
18 Partizan134931%81.687.4-5.8
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv123925%89.194.2-5.1
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne123925%75.685.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1922272290
Bayern2116121564
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