PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mornar Bar vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 76-81
13-15 23-28 18-21 22-17
Position#17
Record1-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#11
Record5-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game83.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 11· Topolica Sport Hall
Domestic2024
Meetings · Mornar Bar v FMP Beograd
08 Dec 2024
MBA76
FBE81
23 Dec 2023
MBA75
FBE77
03 Jan 2023
MBA102
FBE113
22 Jan 2022
MBA82
FBE78
20 Dec 2020
MBA84
FBE74
10 Mar 2019
MBA79
FBE69
14 Oct 2017
MBA73
FBE81
14 Oct 2016
MBA82
FBE66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
51-98
51
98
-47
31avg 69
H21/09
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
72-91
72
91
-19
69avg 69
A28/09
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
66avg 69
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
L
59-84
59
84
-25
44avg 69
A13/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
90-98 OT
90
98
-8
74avg 69
H19/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
64-85
64
85
-21
50avg 69
A27/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
92-85
92
85
+7
81avg 69
H04/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
91-99
91
99
-8
84avg 69
A11/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
78-105
78
105
-27
66avg 69
H17/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
90-103
90
103
-13
76avg 69
A29/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
8-26
10-25
13-23
14-22
27-23
17-22
14-24
23-25
20-21
18-27
21-19
14-23
13-21
21-19
11-21
20-17
18-26
23-21
26-23
14-27
21-20
13-15
16-23
34-24
19-19
11-25
28-17
17-23
15-25
30-27
29-24
16-28
14-21
26-29
22-27
15-25
20-31
34-25
21-22
170.9Avg total
76.9Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.994.0170.9-17.110%
Season at home (5)78.695.6174.2-17.020%
Season away (5)75.292.4167.6-17.20%
Last 10 (10)76.994.0170.9-17.110%
Last 5 (5)83.095.4178.4-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.592.6172.1-13.021%
vs Similar (1)72.079.0151.0-7.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
86-93
86
93
-7
78avg 78
A14/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
89-84
89
84
+5
89avg 78
H18/10
ABA League
Murcia
#7
L
50-86
50
86
-36
30avg 78
A22/10
Champions League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
73avg 78
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
64-91
64
91
-27
43avg 78
H04/11
ABA League
Murcia
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
62avg 78
H06/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
109-106 OT
109
106
+3
99avg 78
A11/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
67-83
67
83
-16
56avg 78
H17/11
ABA League
Dubai
#4
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 78
H29/11
ABA League
Peristeri
#36
L
66-72
66
72
-6
58avg 78
A03/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
21-29
21-20
25-18
27-28
17-24
23-15
22-17
10-27
14-16
13-28
13-15
16-21
28-19
19-20
13-22
17-29
11-26
20-15
16-21
22-21
21-12
17-24
18-26
28-21
24-20
13-19
21-26
14-17
21-27
13-15
19-24
23-17
16-25
23-19
24-23
21-27
20-15
6-14
19-16
163.5Avg total
77.1Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.683.5164.1-2.950%
Season at home (6)75.878.5154.3-2.767%
Season away (4)87.891.0178.8-3.225%
Last 10 (10)77.186.4163.5-9.330%
Last 5 (5)81.285.6166.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.383.5158.8-8.228%
vs Similar (7)89.181.1170.3+8.086%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)92.577.8170.2+14.8100%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
Mornar BarFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H21/09
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A28/09
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A13/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H19/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A27/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H04/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A11/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H17/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A29/11
ABA League
83.3Avg total
36.2Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.746.085.7-6.323%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.143.884.9-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)38.348.286.5-9.97%-
Last 10 (10)36.247.183.3-10.910%-
Last 5 (5)37.048.685.6-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)40.146.286.2-6.125%-
vs Similar (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A14/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H18/10
ABA League
Murcia
#7
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A22/10
Champions League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
28-55
28
55
-27
H04/11
ABA League
Murcia
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H06/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A11/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H17/11
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H29/11
ABA League
Peristeri
#36
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/12
Champions League
83.7Avg total
39.0Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.781.8-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.141.881.9-1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)40.141.681.7-1.436%-
Last 10 (10)39.044.783.7-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.482.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.342.278.4-5.917%-
vs Similar (7)47.439.687.0+7.9100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.843.589.2+2.250%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.6
49.5%
54.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.2
31.8%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.714.3
69.1%
75.6%14.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.816.9
44.7%
54.0%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.1
31.4%
35.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.617.8
75.4%
75.6%17.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLWLLLLLL
FMP Beograd
LWLWLLLLWL
#17
League position
#11
-21.7
Net rating
-12.7
96.8
Offensive rating
101.8
118.5
Defensive rating
114.5
48.7%
Effective FG%
45.7%
59.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.2%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.8%
3-point %
31.4%
58.2%
Assist %
62.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 101.8Defence118.5 · 114.5Shooting48.7% · 45.7%3-point %31.8% · 31.4%Ball care17.3% · 16.2%Off. rebounds22.2% · 30.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mornar Bar wins
6
FMP Beograd wins
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24AKK Krka Novo mesto90-103
17/11/24HPartizan78-105
11/11/24AStudentski Centar91-99
04/11/24HCibona92-85
27/10/24ASpartak Subotica64-85
19/10/24HBorac Mozzart90-98 OT
13/10/24AMega Basket59-84
05/10/24HCedevita Olimpija82-92
28/09/24ACrvena zvezda72-91
21/09/24HBuducnost51-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/24APeristeri66-72
29/11/24HDubai86-84
17/11/24HZadar67-83
11/11/24AKK Krka Novo mesto109-106 OT
06/11/24HMurcia78-83
04/11/24HPartizan64-91
28/10/24AStudentski Centar76-82
22/10/24AMurcia50-86
18/10/24HCibona89-84
14/10/24ASpartak Subotica86-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL10%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %10%20%0%
Points / game76.978.675.2
Allowed / game94.095.692.4
Point differential-17.1-17.0-17.2
Avg total170.9174.2167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %10%20%0%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game80.675.887.8
Allowed / game83.578.591.0
Point differential-2.9-2.7-3.2
Avg total164.1154.3178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan11110100%94.969.5+25.4
2 Buducnost119282%87.471.6+15.7
3 Crvena zvezda108280%87.579.5+8.0
4 Dubai118373%83.779.2+4.5
5 Spartak Subotica116555%84.281.5+2.7
6 Igokea116555%80.782.9-2.2
7 Mega Basket105550%76.976.8+0.1
8 FMP Beograd105550%80.683.5-2.9
9 Cedevita Olimpija115645%81.883.3-1.5
10 Split104640%76.582.9-6.4
11 Studentski Centar114736%83.985.8-1.9
12 Zadar114736%72.876.0-3.2
13 KK Krka Novo mesto103730%82.788.1-5.4
14 Borac Mozzart103730%76.685.0-8.4
15 Cibona102820%77.288.7-11.5
16 Mornar Bar101910%76.994.0-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1323182276
FMP Beograd1528211781
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.