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Murcia vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 89-84
26-21 23-17 19-24 21-22
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game77.0
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#3
Record2-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game95.7
SpainACBRound 4· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Murcia v Baskonia
14 Mar 2027
MUR v BAS
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
MUR89
BAS84
12 Apr 2025
MUR82
BAS91
27 Sep 2023
MUR88
BAS76
29 Jan 2023
MUR80
BAS87
24 Oct 2021
MUR80
BAS79
11 Apr 2021
MUR92
BAS87
07 Apr 2019
MUR75
BAS86
31 Dec 2017
MUR78
BAS67
22 Jan 2017
MUR71
BAS92
31 Jan 2016
MUR68
BAS66
21 Dec 2014
MUR93
BAS88
06 Apr 2014
MUR89
BAS80
05 May 2013
MUR95
BAS98
11 Dec 2011
MUR67
BAS75
11 Oct 2009
MUR66
BAS88
29 Mar 2009
MUR85
BAS94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
105-93
105
93
+12
96avg 74
H24/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
73avg 74
A30/05
ACB
Lublin
#51
W
100-84
100
84
+16
92avg 74
H20/09
Champions League
Juventus
#18
W
81-71
81
71
+10
75avg 74
A22/09
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
88-96
88
96
-8
75avg 74
H24/09
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
95-64
95
64
+31
102avg 74
H05/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
93-71
93
71
+22
81avg 74
A11/10
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
77-63
77
63
+14
70avg 74
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#8
L
80-96
80
96
-16
66avg 74
A18/10
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
L
72-87
72
87
-15
60avg 74
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-27
21-22
27-25
23-19
17-23
20-9
21-16
18-21
27-17
21-25
28-21
24-21
16-14
23-15
19-16
23-26
26-29
21-20
18-27
23-20
16-12
32-17
29-18
18-17
10-12
26-18
23-22
34-19
19-9
10-19
21-21
27-14
22-26
10-21
25-27
23-22
17-22
21-26
14-21
20-18
166.1Avg total
86.7Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.377.0166.3+12.367%
Season at home (1)95.064.0159.0+31.0100%
Season away (2)86.583.5170.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)86.779.4166.1+7.370%
Last 5 (5)83.476.2159.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.575.5156.0+5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.482.2163.5-0.846%
vs Weaker (14)85.178.1163.3+7.064%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
103-112
103
112
-9
91avg 79
H06/06
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
96-102
96
102
-6
90avg 79
H30/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
95-102
95
102
-7
95avg 79
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
88-107
88
107
-19
79avg 79
A05/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
84-86
84
86
-2
72avg 79
H09/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
105-100
105
100
+5
101avg 79
H12/10
ACB
Paris
#16
L
87-105
87
105
-18
80avg 79
A15/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 79
H17/10
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
83-80
83
80
+3
76avg 79
A19/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
72-90
72
90
-18
62avg 79
A23/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-27
23-27
25-34
22-24
20-27
28-22
22-24
26-29
33-26
12-22
21-29
29-25
20-23
14-25
26-24
28-35
14-20
22-22
20-29
28-15
18-34
31-24
28-23
28-19
21-30
26-21
24-28
16-26
20-22
20-26
24-18
15-25
30-21
15-18
17-21
21-20
20-21
23-19
15-32
14-18
186.7Avg total
89.2Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.095.7187.7-3.767%
Season at home (1)105.0100.0205.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)85.593.5179.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)89.297.5186.7-8.320%
Last 5 (5)85.293.2178.4-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)90.095.2185.2-5.220%
vs Similar ◀ (14)92.491.6184.0+0.757%
vs Weaker (6)90.091.5181.5-1.550%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
MurciaBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H24/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A30/05
ACB
Lublin
#51
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H20/09
Champions League
Juventus
#18
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A22/09
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H24/09
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H05/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A11/10
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A18/10
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
79.2Avg total
40.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.177.3+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.540.081.5+1.557%-
Last 30 away (16)37.236.473.6+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.379.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.473.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.338.277.5+1.254%-
vs Weaker (14)38.138.176.3+0.050%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H06/06
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H30/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H09/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H12/10
ACB
Paris
#16
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A15/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H17/10
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A19/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
92.0Avg total
44.3Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.146.290.3-2.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.345.893.1+1.557%-
Last 30 away (16)41.246.687.9-5.444%-
Last 10 (10)44.347.792.0-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)44.847.292.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)44.544.488.9+0.160%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.347.491.7-3.143%-
vs Weaker (6)42.846.589.3-3.750%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.6
57.5%
50.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.2
30.3%
42.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.016.9
73.5%
74.7%16.9
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.220.5
59.9%
50.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.2
33.6%
42.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.817.1
78.4%
74.7%17.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LLWWWLWWWW
Baskonia
LWLLWLLLLL
#4
League position
#3
+10.0
Net rating
-10.5
117.2
Offensive rating
117.0
107.2
Defensive rating
127.5
52.0%
Effective FG%
55.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.2%
37.0%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.3%
3-point %
33.6%
58.1%
Assist %
61.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 117.0Defence107.2 · 127.5Shooting52.0% · 55.4%3-point %30.3% · 33.6%Ball care15.1% · 16.2%Off. rebounds37.0% · 30.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Murcia   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murcia wins
6
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
12/04/25Murcia v Baskonia82-91
12/10/24Baskonia v Murcia95-92 OT
10/05/24Baskonia v Murcia94-79
27/09/23Murcia v Baskonia88-76
29/01/23Murcia v Baskonia80-87
04/12/22Baskonia v Murcia102-73
13/04/22Baskonia v Murcia93-83
24/10/21Murcia v Baskonia80-79
11/04/21Murcia v Baskonia92-87 OT
04/10/20Baskonia v Murcia75-83
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/25AKK Bosna72-87
18/10/25ATenerife80-96
15/10/25HRilski Sportist77-63
11/10/25ABasquet Girona93-71
05/10/25HMoraBanc Andorra95-64
24/09/25HChalon/Saone88-96
22/09/25AJuventus81-71
20/09/25HLublin100-84
30/05/25AGran Canaria76-69
24/05/25HLeyma Coruna105-93
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25ACrvena zvezda72-90
19/10/25AGranada83-80
17/10/25HPartizan79-91
15/10/25AParis87-105
12/10/25HReal Madrid105-100
09/10/25HPanathinaikos84-86
05/10/25ABasket Zaragoza88-107
03/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne95-102
30/09/25HOlympiacos96-102
06/06/25HReal Madrid103-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game89.395.086.5
Allowed / game77.064.083.5
Point differential+12.3+31.0+3.0
Avg total166.3159.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game92.0105.085.5
Allowed / game95.7100.093.5
Point differential-3.7+5.0-8.0
Avg total187.7205.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife440100%97.879.0+18.8
2 Valencia330100%101.783.0+18.7
3 Joventut Badalona330100%92.376.7+15.7
4 Forca Lleida43175%88.885.8+3.0
5 Murcia32167%89.377.0+12.3
6 Real Madrid32167%90.385.3+5.0
7 Baskonia32167%92.095.7-3.7
8 Basket Zaragoza42250%94.888.5+6.2
9 Unicaja42250%80.879.5+1.2
10 Barcelona42250%87.586.5+1.0
11 Manresa31233%85.386.3-1.0
12 Bilbao31233%77.390.7-13.3
13 MoraBanc Andorra31233%81.0101.3-20.3
14 San Pablo Burgos41325%87.891.5-3.8
15 Gran Canaria41325%77.881.8-4.0
16 Basquet Girona41325%87.096.5-9.5
17 Breogan41325%82.896.0-13.2
18 Granada4040%78.288.0-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2623192189
Baskonia2117242284
← all games of the day
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