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Murcia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 90-82
25-24 22-22 20-19 23-17
Position#9
Record11-16
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game84.1
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#8
Record14-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game83.3
SpainACBRound 28
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Murcia v Valencia
21 May 2027
MUR v VAL
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
MUR92
VAL80
15 Dec 2024
MUR88
VAL96
22 May 2024
MUR72
VAL83
10 Dec 2023
MUR77
VAL85
19 Apr 2023
MUR90
VAL82
27 Mar 2022
MUR71
VAL72
30 Apr 2021
MUR66
VAL80
07 Oct 2018
MUR68
VAL81
22 Oct 2017
MUR91
VAL93
08 Jan 2017
MUR75
VAL78
01 May 2016
MUR80
VAL62
05 Oct 2014
MUR85
VAL76
08 Mar 2014
MUR76
VAL85
07 Oct 2012
MUR77
VAL78
20 Nov 2011
MUR83
VAL86
04 Apr 2010
MUR92
VAL96
07 Dec 2008
MUR68
VAL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 69
H12/03
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
82-67
82
67
+15
no box
H15/03
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
L
89-107
89
107
-18
no box
A18/03
ACB
Bilbao
#26
W
71-67
71
67
+4
60avg 69
A21/03
Champions League
Granada
#16
L
67-88
67
88
-21
52avg 69
A25/03
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
102-79
102
79
+23
no box
H02/04
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
67-83
67
83
-16
59avg 69
A04/04
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
79-81
79
81
-2
66avg 69
A08/04
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
74-96
74
96
-22
61avg 69
H12/04
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H16/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
18-14
23-23
18-24
27-18
22-14
18-10
15-25
27-27
10-30
23-18
29-32
22-17
13-11
12-17
24-22
16-26
17-23
22-25
12-14
26-20
21-26
30-14
25-19
10-23
17-22
18-23
22-15
15-20
13-19
28-19
23-23
20-16
20-24
20-29
14-27
17-8
13-15
18-25
31-26
161.7Avg total
79.5Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.984.1164.0-4.241%
Season at home (14)83.980.8164.6+3.157%
Season away (13)75.787.7163.4-12.023%
Last 10 (10)79.582.2161.7-2.750%
Last 5 (5)80.282.6162.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.586.1163.6-8.629%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.881.6165.4+2.258%
vs Weaker (4)87.085.2172.2+1.875%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Granada
#16
W
80-72
80
72
+8
72avg 75
H19/03
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
69avg 75
A24/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
63avg 75
A26/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
73-92
73
92
-19
71avg 75
A29/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
74-95
74
95
-21
69avg 75
A31/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 75
H02/04
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 75
H06/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
70-85
70
85
-15
57avg 75
A09/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A14/04
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
87-81
87
81
+6
68avg 75
H16/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
18-16
24-18
18-20
22-22
19-26
23-23
15-19
22-24
14-14
19-20
20-28
21-20
20-26
21-23
11-23
16-21
24-31
15-25
19-18
18-14
17-23
20-19
26-29
17-19
23-19
18-19
21-11
17-21
15-16
21-19
17-29
21-24
25-27
15-21
10-13
16-21
22-19
32-16
17-25
160.8Avg total
76.9Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.683.3166.9+0.352%
Season at home (13)85.881.2167.1+4.669%
Season away (14)81.685.2166.8-3.636%
Last 10 (10)76.983.9160.8-7.030%
Last 5 (5)77.680.8158.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.987.8169.8-5.931%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.383.1164.4-1.858%
vs Weaker (4)87.280.0167.2+7.2100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -4.1-4.1
MurciaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H12/03
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H15/03
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A18/03
ACB
Bilbao
#26
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A21/03
Champions League
Granada
#16
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A25/03
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H02/04
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A04/04
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A08/04
ACB
Unicaja
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H12/04
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H16/04
ACB
76.2Avg total
37.0Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.577.4-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.036.477.4+4.657%-
Last 30 away (16)35.142.277.4-7.125%-
Last 10 (10)37.039.276.2-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.438.673.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.240.476.6-4.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.936.575.4+2.458%-
vs Weaker (4)40.545.285.8-4.825%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/03
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A24/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A29/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A31/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/04
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H06/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A09/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A14/04
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H16/04
ACB
80.8Avg total
38.7Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.382.2-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.338.378.7+2.067%-
Last 30 away (15)41.644.285.8-2.627%-
Last 10 (10)38.742.180.8-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.678.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.742.684.3-0.946%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.840.581.2+0.250%-
vs Weaker (4)41.039.280.2+1.850%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.8
46.9%
52.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.9
34.7%
34.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.515.2
77.9%
73.9%15.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.4
53.0%
52.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.9
32.2%
34.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.912.4
78.0%
73.9%12.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLLLWLWLWW
Valencia
WLLWLLLLLW
#9
League position
#8
-3.6
Net rating
-10.5
104.2
Offensive rating
104.6
107.8
Defensive rating
115.1
49.2%
Effective FG%
51.0%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.7%
3-point %
32.2%
60.7%
Assist %
61.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 104.6Defence107.8 · 115.1Shooting49.2% · 51.0%3-point %34.7% · 32.2%Ball care17.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.9% · 26.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Murcia   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murcia wins
6
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
16/10/22Valencia v Murcia74-75
27/03/22Murcia v Valencia71-72
18/02/22Valencia v Murcia83-86
26/09/21Valencia v Murcia86-91
30/04/21Murcia v Valencia66-80
20/12/20Valencia v Murcia89-78
10/03/19Valencia v Murcia89-65
07/10/18Murcia v Valencia68-81
01/04/18Valencia v Murcia73-84
22/10/17Murcia v Valencia91-93
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/23HBasket Zaragoza79-74
12/04/23HUnicaja74-96
08/04/23AObradoiro CAB79-81
04/04/23AUnicaja67-83
02/04/23HBasquet Girona102-79
25/03/23AGranada67-88
21/03/23ABilbao71-67
18/03/23AGran Canaria89-107
15/03/23HTenerife82-67
12/03/23HUnicaja85-80
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/23HReal Betis87-81
14/04/23ABarcelona71-85
09/04/23AJoventut Badalona70-85
06/04/23HVirtus Bologna79-68
02/04/23HBaskonia81-85
31/03/23AZalgiris Kaunas74-95
29/03/23ACrvena zvezda73-92
26/03/23ABasket Zaragoza75-86
24/03/23AMonaco79-90
19/03/23HGranada80-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW41%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %41%57%23%
Points / game79.983.975.7
Allowed / game84.180.887.7
Point differential-4.2+3.1-12.0
Avg total164.0164.6163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%69%36%
Points / game83.685.881.6
Allowed / game83.381.285.2
Point differential+0.3+4.6-3.6
Avg total166.9167.1166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)50% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %7%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baskonia2823582%91.982.6+9.3
2 Barcelona2722581%84.573.9+10.6
3 Real Madrid2822679%88.277.3+10.9
4 Tenerife2719870%82.473.7+8.7
5 Unicaja2718967%87.577.5+10.0
6 Joventut Badalona28181064%82.577.4+5.1
7 Gran Canaria28171161%83.778.3+5.4
8 Valencia27141352%83.683.3+0.3
9 Breogan27131448%78.479.1-0.8
10 Bilbao27121544%76.780.0-3.2
11 Obradoiro CAB28121643%78.582.8-4.3
12 Murcia27111641%79.984.1-4.2
13 Basket Zaragoza27101737%78.180.2-2.1
14 Basquet Girona2891932%76.081.5-5.5
15 Manresa2781930%82.789.9-7.2
16 Granada2781930%77.287.8-10.6
17 Real Betis2762122%76.985.2-8.4
18 Fuenlabrada2742315%76.491.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2522202390
Valencia2422191782
← all games of the day
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