Neptunas vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 84-73

27-16 19-20 19-18 19-19

Position#3

Record11-2

FormWWWWL

Points / game86.6

Allowed / game74.7

Neptunas 🏆

Juventus

Position#5

Record11-3

FormWLWWW

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game73.6

LKL

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Neptunas v Juventus

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Juventus winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siauliai

70-68

H28/10

LKL

Olympiacos

81-85 OT

-4

H31/10

Euroleague

Zalgiris Kaunas

48-86

-38

A02/11

LKL

Galatasaray

#23

68-94

-26

A07/11

Euroleague

Mazeikiai

#11

81-69

+12

A10/11

LKL

Valencia

#21

94-87

H13/11

Euroleague

Lietkabelis

98-86

+12

H16/11

LKL

Baskonia

#13

80-79

H20/11

Euroleague

Alytaus Dzukija

91-75

+16

A23/11

LKL

Crvena zvezda

#15

62-79

-17

A27/11

Euroleague

19-13

16-8

24-21

11-26

15-17

15-21

25-17

21-21

13-22

10-33

11-10

14-21

15-23

17-23

12-31

24-17

19-18

22-13

17-18

23-20

24-17

29-25

20-21

21-24

21-21

25-22

28-19

24-24

20-15

21-18

20-21

19-25

24-9

18-24

22-16

27-26

14-22

23-13

10-27

15-17

158.1Avg total

77.3Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	86.6	74.7	161.3	+11.9	85%
Season at home (7)	92.9	74.7	167.6	+18.1	86%
Season away (6)	79.3	74.7	154.0	+4.7	83%
Last 10 (10)	77.3	80.8	158.1	-3.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	81.2	166.2	+3.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	74.7	83.6	158.3	-8.9	38%
vs Similar (3)	73.7	81.7	155.3	-8.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	92.1	73.8	165.9	+18.3	100%

This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Juventus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nevezis

#10

75-63

+12

H20/10

LKL

Lietkabelis

84-79

A27/10

LKL

Rapla

#17

88-67

+21

H29/10

Baltic League

Skycop

91-56

+35

A09/11

LKL

Rakvere Tarvas

#13

91-63

+28

H12/11

Baltic League

Mazeikiai

#11

84-73

+11

A16/11

LKL

BK Liepaja

71-74

-3

A19/11

Baltic League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

91-89 OT

A23/11

LKL

Siauliai

86-84 OT

H26/11

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

59-57

A29/11

LKL

14-20

22-17

19-15

20-11

22-19

20-20

18-16

24-24

27-12

21-19

24-12

16-24

17-22

23-10

27-18

24-6

18-17

29-9

19-18

25-19

18-10

20-22

21-23

25-18

15-22

13-22

26-17

17-13

25-20

20-19

17-17

10-16

21-20

18-13

14-18

20-22

10-5

19-20

15-14

15-18

152.5Avg total

82.0Scored

70.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	77.6	73.6	151.2	+3.9	79%
Season at home (7)	74.3	73.1	147.4	+1.1	71%
Season away (7)	80.9	74.1	155.0	+6.7	86%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	70.5	152.5	+11.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	75.4	153.6	+2.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	78.2	90.2	168.4	-12.0	20%
vs Similar (10)	76.6	80.2	156.8	-3.6	40%
vs Weaker (15)	83.8	66.3	150.1	+17.5	93%

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NeptunasJuventus

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	19.6	41.9	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.8	37.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.2	22.1	40.3	-3.8	31%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	24.5	17.5	42.0	+7.1	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	17.3	37.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	16.7	35.4	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	15.4	33.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.1	20.3	37.4	-3.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.1	15.7	35.8	+4.3	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	17.8	39.6	+4.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.4	43.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.4	20.3	39.8	-0.9	44%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.0	19.7	35.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.4	17.5	39.8	+4.9	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.5	37.2	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.7	42.5	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	17.1	37.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	22.0	24.8	46.8	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.7	53%	-

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siauliai

35-21

+14

H28/10

LKL

Olympiacos

30-38

-8

H31/10

Euroleague

Zalgiris Kaunas

23-55

-32

A02/11

LKL

Galatasaray

#23

32-46

-14

A07/11

Euroleague

Mazeikiai

#11

41-31

+10

A10/11

LKL

Valencia

#21

53-42

+11

H13/11

Euroleague

Lietkabelis

46-43

H16/11

LKL

Baskonia

#13

41-33

H20/11

Euroleague

Alytaus Dzukija

42-33

A23/11

LKL

Crvena zvezda

#15

37-35

A27/11

Euroleague

75.7Avg total

38.0Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	39.2	80.0	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.1	37.4	81.5	+6.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.0	41.2	78.2	-4.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	37.7	75.7	+0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	37.2	81.0	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	37.7	42.4	80.1	-4.7	44%	-
vs Similar (3)	35.0	37.7	72.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	46.9	34.9	81.8	+12.0	82%	-

This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nevezis

#10

36-37

-1

H20/10

LKL

Lietkabelis

42-39

A27/10

LKL

Rapla

#17

48-31

+17

H29/10

Baltic League

Skycop

40-32

A09/11

LKL

Rakvere Tarvas

#13

47-26

+21

H12/11

Baltic League

Mazeikiai

#11

38-32

A16/11

LKL

BK Liepaja

28-44

-16

A19/11

Baltic League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

45-39

A23/11

LKL

Siauliai

39-33

H26/11

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

29-25

A29/11

LKL

73.0Avg total

39.2Scored

33.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.0	77.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	34.9	74.9	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	41.1	79.5	-2.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	33.8	73.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	34.6	70.4	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	41.8	47.2	89.0	-5.4	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.5	39.7	75.2	-4.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.9	33.8	74.7	+7.1	80%	-

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	18.9	41.4	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	21.7	38.6	-4.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	31%	-
vs Similar (3)	14.3	25.7	40.0	-11.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	24.4	18.4	42.7	+6.0	91%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.1	37.1	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	16.1	35.3	+3.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.8	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.3	17.2	36.5	+2.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.3	15.9	37.3	+5.4	87%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	20.9	40.6	-1.3	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.1	42.0	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.4	31%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.3	18.3	42.7	+6.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.8	20.5	41.4	+0.3	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.9	39.0	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.1	36.7	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.4	34.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.8	22.6	41.4	-3.8	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	20%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.6	16.6	38.2	+5.0	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	40.4	80.4	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	39.8	81.9	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	41.0	78.6	-3.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	42.2	81.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	44.0	85.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	36.7	40.7	77.4	-4.0	19%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.7	44.0	82.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	45.2	38.9	84.1	+6.3	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	36.0	76.2	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	35.3	75.5	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	36.7	76.9	+3.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	33.9	73.5	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	35.2	71.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	36.4	43.0	79.4	-6.6	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.9	37.7	75.6	+0.2	30%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.9	32.5	75.5	+10.4	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Neptunas wins

Juventus wins

Date	Game	Score
09/02/14	Neptunas v Juventus	87-85
21/12/13	Juventus v Neptunas	76-79 OT
03/01/13	Neptunas v Juventus	96-83
29/09/12	Juventus v Neptunas	93-88
24/03/12	Neptunas v Juventus	88-69
19/11/11	Juventus v Neptunas	85-71

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/11/14	A	Crvena zvezda	62-79
23/11/14	A	Alytaus Dzukija	91-75
20/11/14	H	Baskonia	80-79
16/11/14	H	Lietkabelis	98-86
13/11/14	H	Valencia	94-87
10/11/14	A	Mazeikiai	81-69
07/11/14	A	Galatasaray	68-94
02/11/14	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	48-86
31/10/14	H	Olympiacos	81-85 OT
28/10/14	H	Siauliai	70-68

Juventuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/11/14	A	Alytaus Dzukija	59-57
26/11/14	H	Siauliai	86-84 OT
23/11/14	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	91-89 OT
19/11/14	A	BK Liepaja	71-74
16/11/14	A	Mazeikiai	84-73
12/11/14	H	Rakvere Tarvas	91-63
09/11/14	A	Skycop	91-56
29/10/14	H	Rapla	88-67
27/10/14	A	Lietkabelis	84-79
20/10/14	H	Nevezis	75-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas

LKL 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	85%
Home	WWLWW	86%
Away	WWLWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	85%	86%	83%
Points / game	86.6	92.9	79.3
Allowed / game	74.7	74.7	74.7
Point differential	+11.9	+18.1	+4.7
Avg total	161.3	167.6	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	77%	71%	83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Juventus

LKL 2014-15

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	79%
Home	WWLWW	71%
Away	WWWWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	79%	71%	86%
Points / game	77.6	74.3	80.9
Allowed / game	73.6	73.1	74.1
Point differential	+3.9	+1.1	+6.7
Avg total	151.2	147.4	155.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	14%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (1)	100% (4)
Overtime %	14%	14%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	13	12	1	92%	86.2	68.5	+17.7
2	Rytas	14	12	2	86%	88.4	70.3	+18.1
3	Neptunas	13	11	2	85%	86.6	74.7	+11.9
4	Juventus	14	11	3	79%	77.6	73.6	+3.9
5	Siauliai	14	7	7	50%	84.7	83.4	+1.3
6	Alytaus Dzukija	15	7	8	47%	76.9	74.9	+1.9
7	Pieno Zvaigzdes	14	6	8	43%	84.0	85.3	-1.3
8	Skycop	15	6	9	40%	73.1	80.5	-7.4
9	Lietkabelis	16	5	11	31%	79.1	82.1	-2.9
10	Nevezis	15	2	13	13%	66.1	89.5	-23.3
11	Mazeikiai	15	0	15	0%	69.2	83.5	-14.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Neptunas	27	19	19	19	84
Juventus	16	20	18	19	73

← all games of the day

Neptunas vs Juventus Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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