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Neptunas vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-86
28-15 23-27 27-21 21-23
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#7
Record3-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game88.4
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v Juventus
12 May 2027
NEP v JUV
upcoming
23 Sep 2026
NEP99
JUV84
01 Jun 2026
NEP102
JUV84
27 May 2026
NEP83
JUV96
06 Apr 2026
NEP95
JUV89
08 Nov 2025
NEP85
JUV72
17 May 2025
NEP100
JUV88
30 Nov 2024
NEP63
JUV74
30 Oct 2024
NEP105
JUV74
07 Jan 2024
NEP78
JUV91
18 Oct 2023
NEP92
JUV90
13 Feb 2023
NEP98
JUV97
30 Nov 2022
NEP99
JUV86
06 Nov 2021
NEP79
JUV88
14 Apr 2021
NEP89
JUV91
14 Feb 2021
NEP69
JUV86
14 Oct 2020
NEP88
JUV97
08 Feb 2020
NEP115
JUV89
21 Sep 2019
NEP80
JUV67
25 Apr 2019
NEP101
JUV87
21 Oct 2018
NEP81
JUV70
31 Mar 2018
NEP87
JUV91
10 Dec 2017
NEP109
JUV78
04 May 2017
NEP87
JUV69
29 Apr 2017
NEP93
JUV75
11 Feb 2017
NEP70
JUV79
16 Oct 2016
NEP75
JUV60
24 Jan 2016
NEP101
JUV74
23 Dec 2015
NEP82
JUV65
10 Jun 2015
NEP69
JUV84
04 Jun 2015
NEP64
JUV75
29 May 2015
NEP88
JUV75
31 Mar 2015
NEP69
JUV71
02 Dec 2014
NEP84
JUV73
09 Feb 2014
NEP87
JUV85
03 Jan 2013
NEP96
JUV83
24 Mar 2012
NEP88
JUV69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
67avg 74
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
110-89
110
89
+21
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 74
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
W
71-67
71
67
+4
65avg 74
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
105-72
105
72
+33
no box
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
68avg 74
A26/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
26-27
16-18
18-18
20-16
27-18
18-17
29-18
16-19
26-26
23-26
21-24
18-21
21-35
16-13
22-24
19-17
28-24
29-22
34-26
18-17
30-21
22-19
30-23
23-19
22-24
20-13
25-28
15-21
18-16
23-17
15-13
23-14
30-15
26-22
26-21
19-13
22-24
9-27
23-16
170.1Avg total
89.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)95.284.2179.4+11.080%
Season at home (2)97.585.0182.5+12.5100%
Season away (3)93.783.7177.3+10.067%
Last 10 (10)89.181.0170.1+8.170%
Last 5 (5)87.876.6164.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.882.8158.7-7.033%
vs Similar (9)78.280.8159.0-2.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)95.081.7176.7+13.378%
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Prienai
#11
W
107-77
107
77
+30
no box
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
W
84-82
84
82
+2
75avg 76
A22/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-109
76
109
-33
60avg 76
A30/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
85-100
85
100
-15
no box
A02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 76
A05/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
103-85
103
85
+18
no box
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
85-84
85
84
+1
78avg 76
H20/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
H24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
94-76
94
76
+18
95avg 76
H27/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
28-10
30-27
23-21
22-19
23-21
22-26
17-16
19-16
26-26
26-23
24-21
17-24
22-22
12-29
25-34
17-28
24-30
26-20
18-22
20-24
20-17
23-18
24-21
35-24
24-16
25-29
19-16
20-24
20-23
28-16
17-21
28-20
24-29
17-22
10-23
21-19
26-21
24-18
23-18
176.8Avg total
89.5Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)93.888.4182.2+5.460%
Season at home (3)92.388.3180.7+4.067%
Season away (2)96.088.5184.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)89.587.3176.8+2.270%
Last 5 (5)89.683.8173.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)83.192.9176.0-9.810%
vs Similar (11)84.284.3168.5-0.164%
vs Weaker (9)93.480.7174.1+12.878%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
NeptunasJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A26/11
LKL
85.1Avg total
44.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.281.0+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.639.582.1+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.040.979.9-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)44.640.585.1+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.880.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.540.377.8-2.833%-
vs Similar (9)40.342.682.9-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.737.783.3+8.078%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#11
W
54-29
54
29
+25
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A22/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A30/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A05/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H20/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H27/11
LKL
89.4Avg total
46.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.285.1+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.639.885.4+5.981%-
Last 30 away (14)42.042.884.8-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)46.243.289.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.643.491.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.140.880.9-0.760%-
vs Similar (11)45.044.189.1+0.964%-
vs Weaker (9)46.938.084.9+8.978%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.5
51.5%
55.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.9
34.4%
34.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.915.2
69.4%
75.0%15.2
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.424.5
55.2%
55.4%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.15.8
28.9%
34.5%17.4
🏀 Free throws23.417.6
75.2%
75.0%17.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWWWWLLWW
Juventus
WLWWWLLWWW
#4
League position
#7
-6.0
Net rating
-1.3
105.7
Offensive rating
109.7
111.7
Defensive rating
111.0
51.5%
Effective FG%
51.5%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
20.0%
Turnover %
18.5%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.4%
3-point %
28.9%
66.3%
Assist %
57.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 109.7Defence111.7 · 111.0Shooting51.5% · 51.5%3-point %34.4% · 28.9%Ball care20.0% · 18.5%Off. rebounds31.1% · 34.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Neptunas   ■ Juventus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
10
Juventus wins
DateGameScore
27/10/22Juventus v Neptunas95-86
08/10/22Juventus v Neptunas95-77
14/03/22Juventus v Neptunas82-79
27/01/22Juventus v Neptunas76-64
06/11/21Neptunas v Juventus79-88
14/04/21Neptunas v Juventus89-91
03/03/21Juventus v Neptunas98-58
14/02/21Neptunas v Juventus69-86
13/12/20Juventus v Neptunas85-84
14/10/20Neptunas v Juventus88-97
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22ALietkabelis73-80
24/11/22APrienai105-72
21/11/22ANevezis71-67
17/11/22ABC Wolves90-84
05/11/22HBC Wolves100-80
03/11/22HPrienai110-89
31/10/22HJonava77-93
27/10/22AJuventus86-95
24/10/22HGargzdai94-69
20/10/22HBC Wolves85-81
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22HPrienai94-76
24/11/22HBC Wolves79-94
20/11/22HSiauliai85-84
16/11/22HPrienai103-85
05/11/22APieno Zvaigzdes87-80
02/11/22ABC Wolves85-100
30/10/22AZalgiris Kaunas76-109
27/10/22HNeptunas95-86
22/10/22AJonava84-82
19/10/22APrienai107-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game95.297.593.7
Allowed / game84.285.083.7
Point differential+11.0+12.5+10.0
Avg total179.4182.5177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Juventus
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game93.892.396.0
Allowed / game88.488.388.5
Point differential+5.4+4.0+7.5
Avg total182.2180.7184.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Neptunas54180%95.284.2+11.0
2 Nevezis54180%96.693.6+3.0
3 BC Wolves64267%88.379.5+8.8
4 Juventus53260%93.888.4+5.4
5 Siauliai53260%86.283.8+2.4
6 Jonava53260%80.478.8+1.6
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes5050%81.688.6-7.0
8 Prienai6060%76.899.3-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2823272199
Juventus1527212386
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