PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Neptunas vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 63-74
19-15 13-22 20-16 11-21
Position#7
Record6-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game89.3
vs
Position#6
Record4-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game78.1
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Juventus
12 May 2027
NEP v JUV
upcoming
23 Sep 2026
NEP99
JUV84
01 Jun 2026
NEP102
JUV84
27 May 2026
NEP83
JUV96
06 Apr 2026
NEP95
JUV89
08 Nov 2025
NEP85
JUV72
17 May 2025
NEP100
JUV88
30 Nov 2024
NEP63
JUV74
30 Oct 2024
NEP105
JUV74
07 Jan 2024
NEP78
JUV91
18 Oct 2023
NEP92
JUV90
13 Feb 2023
NEP98
JUV97
30 Nov 2022
NEP99
JUV86
06 Nov 2021
NEP79
JUV88
14 Apr 2021
NEP89
JUV91
14 Feb 2021
NEP69
JUV86
14 Oct 2020
NEP88
JUV97
08 Feb 2020
NEP115
JUV89
21 Sep 2019
NEP80
JUV67
25 Apr 2019
NEP101
JUV87
21 Oct 2018
NEP81
JUV70
31 Mar 2018
NEP87
JUV91
10 Dec 2017
NEP109
JUV78
04 May 2017
NEP87
JUV69
29 Apr 2017
NEP93
JUV75
11 Feb 2017
NEP70
JUV79
16 Oct 2016
NEP75
JUV60
24 Jan 2016
NEP101
JUV74
23 Dec 2015
NEP82
JUV65
10 Jun 2015
NEP69
JUV84
04 Jun 2015
NEP64
JUV75
29 May 2015
NEP88
JUV75
31 Mar 2015
NEP69
JUV71
02 Dec 2014
NEP84
JUV73
09 Feb 2014
NEP87
JUV85
03 Jan 2013
NEP96
JUV83
24 Mar 2012
NEP88
JUV69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
100avg 81
A19/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
86-88
86
88
-2
86avg 81
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
96-107
96
107
-11
92avg 81
A27/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
105-74
105
74
+31
107avg 81
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 81
A02/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
91-70
91
70
+21
92avg 81
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
62avg 81
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
111-110 OT
111
110
+1
94avg 81
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 81
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
94avg 81
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
34-14
19-22
22-32
22-17
23-22
25-25
16-24
22-28
20-20
25-29
29-30
22-19
30-15
23-20
30-20
23-18
20-14
21-21
25-28
27-13
25-20
16-20
23-17
19-28
19-25
12-23
20-21
24-23
21-20
13-19
27-23
18-18
31-26
16-16
18-14
22-22
22-23
30-24
17-22
184.8Avg total
93.5Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.989.3179.2+0.667%
Season at home (3)83.086.0169.0-3.067%
Season away (6)93.391.0184.3+2.367%
Last 10 (10)93.591.3184.8+2.250%
Last 5 (5)91.291.0182.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.786.2169.9-2.650%
vs Similar ◀ (5)92.289.8182.0+2.480%
vs Weaker (13)92.891.3184.2+1.538%
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
W
72-67
72
67
+5
58avg 80
A19/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
94-91
94
91
+3
95avg 80
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
62avg 80
H26/10
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
74-105
74
105
-31
68avg 80
A30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
54avg 80
A03/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
110-114 OT
110
114
-4
96avg 80
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
79-80
79
80
-1
66avg 80
H10/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
89-93
89
93
-4
87avg 80
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
101-88
101
88
+13
103avg 80
H16/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
83avg 80
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
20-16
23-19
14-14
22-21
29-18
19-19
24-33
21-17
16-25
23-11
10-26
19-22
15-30
20-23
20-30
9-20
22-20
10-21
26-23
26-29
28-21
30-22
18-30
24-22
27-19
17-23
11-16
29-22
14-26
23-21
23-24
27-17
25-22
24-28
25-21
18-16
25-21
24-30
20-23
173.4Avg total
84.3Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.978.1159.0+2.844%
Season at home (5)84.086.4170.4-2.420%
Season away (4)77.067.8144.8+9.275%
Last 10 (10)84.389.1173.4-4.830%
Last 5 (5)93.293.0186.2+0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.588.1165.6-10.625%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.586.6173.2-0.136%
vs Weaker (10)87.780.3168.0+7.470%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
NeptunasJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A19/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A27/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A02/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
87.4Avg total
46.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.085.2+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.241.185.4+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)44.240.885.0+3.464%-
Last 10 (10)46.341.187.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.643.689.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.540.781.2-0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)47.242.289.4+5.080%-
vs Weaker (13)46.540.887.3+5.877%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A19/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H26/10
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A03/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H10/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H16/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
85.3Avg total
43.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.685.0-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.443.889.2+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)40.041.781.7-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.285.3+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)48.643.091.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.442.981.2-4.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.342.987.2+1.464%-
vs Weaker (10)43.941.985.8+2.050%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.7
60.1%
55.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.7
35.4%
35.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws23.317.0
73.0%
75.0%17.0
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.7
55.8%
55.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.3
35.5%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.415.2
71.0%
75.0%15.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWLWWWLLL
Juventus
LWLLLLLLWW
#7
League position
#6
+2.8
Net rating
-6.1
117.8
Offensive rating
109.9
115.0
Defensive rating
115.9
56.9%
Effective FG%
54.8%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.4%
3-point %
35.5%
65.7%
Assist %
62.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 109.9Defence115.0 · 115.9Shooting56.9% · 54.8%3-point %35.4% · 35.5%Ball care17.3% · 18.1%Off. rebounds32.9% · 27.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Neptunas   ■ Juventus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Neptunas wins
4
Juventus wins
DateGameScore
30/10/24Neptunas v Juventus105-74
06/10/24Juventus v Neptunas92-99
25/03/24Juventus v Neptunas83-96
07/01/24Neptunas v Juventus78-91
23/11/23Juventus v Neptunas92-78
18/10/23Neptunas v Juventus92-90
02/10/23Juventus v Neptunas112-102 OT
02/05/23Juventus v Neptunas85-83
13/02/23Neptunas v Juventus98-97
30/11/22Neptunas v Juventus99-86
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24HSiauliai101-104 OT
16/11/24ANevezis83-74
13/11/24HJonava111-110 OT
10/11/24HZalgiris Kaunas70-97
06/11/24AMazeikiai91-70
02/11/24ALietkabelis89-81
30/10/24HJuventus105-74
27/10/24AMazeikiai96-107
23/10/24HNevezis86-88
19/10/24ASiauliai103-108 OT
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24AJonava87-90
16/11/24HSiauliai101-88
13/11/24ANevezis89-93
10/11/24HJonava79-80
06/11/24HSiauliai110-114 OT
03/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas67-84
30/10/24ANeptunas74-105
26/10/24HLietkabelis70-79
23/10/24HJonava94-91
19/10/24ABC Wolves72-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game89.983.093.3
Allowed / game89.386.091.0
Point differential+0.6-3.0+2.3
Avg total179.2169.0184.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%17%
Juventus
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW44%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%20%75%
Points / game80.984.077.0
Allowed / game78.186.467.8
Point differential+2.8-2.4+9.2
Avg total159.0170.4144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas108280%92.385.2+7.1
2 Zalgiris Kaunas97278%88.772.3+16.3
3 BC Wolves96367%88.383.4+4.9
4 Neptunas96367%89.989.3+0.6
5 Jonava95456%88.890.0-1.2
6 Juventus94544%80.978.1+2.8
7 Lietkabelis94544%79.781.4-1.8
8 Siauliai94544%93.399.6-6.2
9 Nevezis91811%83.688.3-4.8
10 Mazeikiai101910%79.796.3-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1913201163
Juventus1522162174
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.