Neptunas vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 87-91 (OT)

18-27 27-22 17-16 20-17 5-9

Position#3

Record21-6

FormWWLWW

Points / game85.1

Allowed / game77.4

Neptunas

Juventus 🏆

Position#7

Record9-18

FormLLLLL

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game83.5

LKL

Domestic2017-18

Meetings · Neptunas v Juventus

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Juventus winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tenerife

67-83

-16

H06/02

Champions League

Alytaus Dzukija

81-63

+18

A10/02

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

77-85

-8

H13/02

LKF Cup

Siauliai

71-78

-7

H01/03

LKL

Nevezis

81-64

+17

H04/03

LKL

Strasbourg

#16

73-68

H07/03

Champions League

Skycop

#10

73-65

H10/03

LKL

Strasbourg

#16

78-88 OT

-10

A14/03

Champions League

Rytas

99-86

+13

A18/03

LKL

Juventus

90-81

A24/03

LKL

16-24

22-19

14-20

15-20

27-14

23-5

13-19

18-25

17-19

15-20

25-20

20-26

24-16

9-19

14-16

24-27

15-11

18-24

24-16

24-13

22-12

16-22

20-22

15-12

24-7

16-15

15-21

18-22

19-13

24-17

14-21

13-24

32-30

21-18

13-17

33-21

24-25

15-10

24-30

27-16

155.1Avg total

79.0Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	85.1	77.4	162.6	+7.7	78%
Season at home (14)	86.2	74.7	160.9	+11.5	86%
Season away (13)	84.0	80.3	164.3	+3.7	69%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	76.1	155.1	+2.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	77.6	160.2	+5.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	76.7	84.2	160.8	-7.5	33%
vs Similar (5)	76.8	80.4	157.2	-3.6	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	88.1	75.4	163.4	+12.7	83%

This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Juventus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

63-75

-12

A10/02

LKL

Rytas

88-91 OT

-3

A14/02

LKF Cup

Siauliai

84-120

120

-36

A04/03

LKL

Alba Fehervar

87-74

+13

H07/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Rytas

92-104

104

-12

H10/03

LKL

Alba Fehervar

76-78

-2

A13/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Lietkabelis

83-88

-5

A17/03

LKL

Avellino

#21

77-77

H21/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Neptunas

81-90

-9

H24/03

LKL

Avellino

#21

68-85

-17

A28/03

FIBA Europe Cup

10-14

16-21

16-26

21-14

11-19

21-18

25-17

20-23

28-27

24-32

19-27

13-34

29-6

25-28

15-20

18-20

24-34

20-25

17-22

31-23

21-25

19-21

18-17

18-15

20-24

22-24

20-27

21-13

21-14

15-24

24-22

17-17

25-24

10-15

30-24

16-27

15-19

8-31

23-15

22-20

168.1Avg total

79.9Scored

88.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	81.0	83.5	164.5	-2.5	33%
Season at home (14)	81.7	79.4	161.1	+2.4	36%
Season away (13)	80.2	87.9	168.2	-7.7	31%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	88.2	168.1	-8.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	83.6	160.6	-6.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	80.5	84.5	165.0	-4.1	18%
vs Similar (9)	83.9	85.2	169.1	-1.3	56%
vs Weaker (3)	84.3	78.7	163.0	+5.7	67%

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NeptunasJuventus

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	17.6	40.2	+5.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.1	42.3	+0.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.1	39.1	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	17.4	41.6	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.3	23.3	44.7	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.4	16.4	37.8	+5.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.6	18.7	41.3	+3.9	61%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	18.7	41.5	+4.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	21.9	42.6	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	21.6	21.4	42.9	+0.2	47%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.9	17.3	40.2	+5.6	89%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	22.3	46.0	+1.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.7	39.2	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	16.9	34.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.4	34.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	24.4	43.4	-5.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.3	17.6	37.9	+2.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.6	41.4	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	21.1	40.6	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	23.9	41.9	-5.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	23.0	37.8	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.3	22.0	40.3	-3.7	24%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	18.3	40.3	+3.7	100%	-

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tenerife

38-43

-5

H06/02

Champions League

Alytaus Dzukija

50-19

+31

A10/02

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

32-39

-7

H13/02

LKF Cup

Siauliai

33-35

-2

H01/03

LKL

Nevezis

33-35

-2

H04/03

LKL

Strasbourg

#16

38-34

H07/03

Champions League

Skycop

#10

40-22

+18

H10/03

LKL

Strasbourg

#16

43-30

+13

A14/03

Champions League

Rytas

53-48

A18/03

LKL

Juventus

39-35

A24/03

LKL

73.9Avg total

39.9Scored

34.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	38.9	80.4	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	38.0	80.1	+4.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	39.9	80.9	+1.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	34.0	73.9	+5.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	33.8	76.4	+8.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.8	45.3	85.2	-5.5	17%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.4	40.8	81.2	-0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.9	36.2	79.2	+6.7	67%	-

This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

26-35

-9

A10/02

LKL

Rytas

32-37

-5

A14/02

LKF Cup

Siauliai

52-59

-7

A04/03

LKL

Alba Fehervar

54-34

+20

H07/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Rytas

44-59

-15

H10/03

LKL

Alba Fehervar

40-46

-6

A13/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Lietkabelis

42-48

-6

A17/03

LKL

Avellino

#21

36-38

-2

H21/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Neptunas

35-39

-4

H24/03

LKL

Avellino

#21

23-50

-27

A28/03

FIBA Europe Cup

82.9Avg total

38.4Scored

44.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	41.8	83.4	-0.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	39.8	82.1	+2.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.8	44.1	84.9	-3.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	44.5	82.9	-6.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	44.2	79.4	-9.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	39.9	43.4	83.2	-3.5	24%	-
vs Similar (9)	44.4	39.8	84.2	+4.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	45.7	40.7	86.3	+5.0	33%	-

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.2	39.4	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.8	18.7	35.5	-1.8	17%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.1	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	21.6	39.4	-3.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.4	20.6	41.1	-0.2	47%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.0	22.7	39.7	-5.7	22%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	18.3	35.3	-1.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.8	40.7	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.6	18.8	42.4	+4.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.6	41.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.8	18.8	35.6	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	24.1	18.0	42.1	+6.1	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.4	47%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.4	22.8	45.2	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	19.7	41.3	+2.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	38.5	80.0	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	37.9	78.1	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.9	39.3	82.1	+3.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	40.8	79.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	41.2	79.6	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.8	38.8	75.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	34.8	37.0	71.8	-2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	44.6	38.4	83.1	+6.2	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	42.1	82.3	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	41.1	82.2	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.2	43.2	82.4	-4.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	42.3	82.7	-1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.4	81.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	40.6	41.2	81.8	-0.6	53%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.4	45.4	84.9	-6.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.7	38.0	76.7	+0.7	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	15.0	50.0%	55.4%	30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	10.0	37.0%	35.5%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	16.0	13.0	81.2%	73.8%	13.0

They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Neptunas wins

Juventus wins

Date	Game	Score
24/03/18	Juventus v Neptunas	81-90
10/12/17	Neptunas v Juventus	109-78
07/10/17	Juventus v Neptunas	72-73
04/05/17	Neptunas v Juventus	87-69
02/05/17	Juventus v Neptunas	57-78
29/04/17	Neptunas v Juventus	93-75
26/03/17	Juventus v Neptunas	83-98
11/02/17	Neptunas v Juventus	70-79
04/12/16	Juventus v Neptunas	91-97
16/10/16	Neptunas v Juventus	75-60

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/18	A	Juventus	90-81
18/03/18	A	Rytas	99-86
14/03/18	A	Strasbourg	78-88 OT
10/03/18	H	Skycop	73-65
07/03/18	H	Strasbourg	73-68
04/03/18	H	Nevezis	81-64
01/03/18	H	Siauliai	71-78
13/02/18	H	Alytaus Dzukija	77-85
10/02/18	A	Alytaus Dzukija	81-63
06/02/18	H	Tenerife	67-83

Juventuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/18	A	Avellino	68-85
24/03/18	H	Neptunas	81-90
21/03/18	H	Avellino	77-77
17/03/18	A	Lietkabelis	83-88
13/03/18	A	Alba Fehervar	76-78
10/03/18	H	Rytas	92-104
07/03/18	H	Alba Fehervar	87-74
04/03/18	A	Siauliai	84-120
14/02/18	A	Rytas	88-91 OT
10/02/18	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	63-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas

LKL 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	78%
Home	LWLWW	86%
Away	WLWWW	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	78%	86%	69%
Points / game	85.1	86.2	84.0
Allowed / game	77.4	74.7	80.3
Point differential	+7.7	+11.5	+3.7
Avg total	162.6	160.9	164.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	43%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Juventus

LKL 2017-18

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	33%
Home	LWLLL	36%
Away	WWLLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	33%	36%	31%
Points / game	81.0	81.7	80.2
Allowed / game	83.5	79.4	87.9
Point differential	-2.5	+2.4	-7.7
Avg total	164.5	161.1	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	29%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	14% (7)	0% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	27	24	3	89%	82.3	68.7	+13.6
2	Rytas	27	22	5	81%	86.9	75.3	+11.6
3	Neptunas	27	21	6	78%	85.1	77.4	+7.7
4	Lietkabelis	28	18	10	64%	83.2	80.7	+2.6
5	Pieno Zvaigzdes	27	11	16	41%	81.2	86.9	-5.7
6	Siauliai	27	10	17	37%	78.3	81.7	-3.4
7	Juventus	27	9	18	33%	81.0	83.5	-2.5
8	Alytaus Dzukija	27	9	18	33%	75.1	83.6	-8.5
9	Nevezis	27	7	20	26%	76.5	82.9	-6.4
10	Skycop	28	5	23	18%	79.1	87.9	-8.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Neptunas	18	27	17	20	5	87
Juventus	27	22	16	17	9	91

← all games of the day

Neptunas vs Juventus Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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