Neptunas vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 May 2015

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 88-75

21-16 21-14 23-19 23-26

Position#3

Record35-13

FormWLWLL

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game75.1

Neptunas 🏆

Juventus

Position#5

Record27-21

FormLWLLL

Points / game73.6

Allowed / game74.2

LKLLKL - 3rd place

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Neptunas v Juventus

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Juventus winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Juventus

71-77

-6

A20/04

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

68-64

A22/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

88-59

+29

H29/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

56-65

-9

A03/05

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

71-47

+24

H06/05

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

69-55

+14

A09/05

LKL

Rytas

79-88

-9

A14/05

LKL

Rytas

107-101 OT

107

101

H18/05

LKL

Rytas

89-96

-7

A20/05

LKL

Rytas

87-92

-5

H23/05

LKL

23-16

17-23

15-22

16-16

19-16

21-15

14-14

14-19

29-11

24-14

17-21

18-13

14-12

20-7

13-22

9-24

22-12

9-12

21-14

19-9

15-11

17-15

19-11

18-18

23-28

21-8

15-22

20-30

24-18

24-29

16-23

30-24

20-27

22-18

21-26

26-25

18-14

8-32

27-21

34-25

152.9Avg total

78.5Scored

74.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (48)	84.6	75.1	159.7	+9.5	73%
Season at home (24)	88.3	75.3	163.6	+13.0	71%
Season away (24)	80.9	74.8	155.8	+6.1	75%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	74.4	152.9	+4.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	86.4	172.6	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	83.6	87.0	170.6	-3.4	27%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	79.6	69.2	148.8	+10.5	74%

This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Juventus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mazeikiai

#11

75-77

-2

H23/04

LKL

Nevezis

#10

87-82

A25/04

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

77-71

A29/04

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

74-84

-10

H02/05

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

63-51

+12

A05/05

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

80-83

-3

H08/05

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

69-61

A10/05

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

53-81

-28

A13/05

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

58-91

-33

H16/05

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

49-96

-47

A19/05

LKL

21-20

17-20

17-18

20-19

22-16

26-17

21-33

18-16

17-16

18-20

24-10

18-25

16-22

20-23

21-20

17-19

14-12

12-20

12-15

25-4

29-12

18-20

19-29

14-22

20-17

11-9

24-22

14-13

15-18

5-24

14-18

19-21

15-19

10-25

18-24

15-23

18-24

12-26

9-26

10-20

146.2Avg total

68.5Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (48)	73.6	74.2	147.8	-0.5	56%
Season at home (23)	73.1	73.8	146.9	-0.7	48%
Season away (25)	74.2	74.5	148.6	-0.3	64%
Last 10 (10)	68.5	77.7	146.2	-9.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	61.8	82.4	144.2	-20.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	63.5	79.4	142.9	-15.9	25%
vs Similar (12)	70.1	69.5	139.6	+0.6	42%
vs Weaker (10)	75.3	67.4	142.7	+7.9	80%

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NeptunasJuventus

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	18.6	40.9	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	18.0	41.2	+5.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	19.1	40.6	+2.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	16.5	37.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	55%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.0	17.1	40.1	+5.9	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.0	35.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	16.3	34.3	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.6	36.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	15.8	19.4	35.1	-3.6	12%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.1	17.0	34.1	+0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.6	15.1	36.7	+6.5	90%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.3	35.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.5	21.6	41.2	-2.1	45%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.9	16.4	36.3	+3.5	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	17.8	34.2	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.2	17.1	34.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.7	18.4	34.1	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.9	20.4	35.3	-5.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	11.2	20.8	32.0	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	13.4	21.6	35.0	-8.2	12%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.7	16.9	34.6	+0.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (10)	17.5	15.7	33.2	+1.8	40%	-

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Juventus

40-39

A20/04

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

40-31

A22/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

53-25

+28

H29/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

34-19

+15

A03/05

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

31-24

H06/05

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

32-26

A09/05

LKL

Rytas

44-36

A14/05

LKL

Rytas

48-47

H18/05

LKL

Rytas

42-45

-3

A20/05

LKL

Rytas

26-46

-20

H23/05

LKL

72.8Avg total

39.0Scored

33.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	36.9	79.0	+5.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	36.7	80.1	+6.7	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	37.0	77.9	+3.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	33.8	72.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	40.0	78.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	40.7	42.7	83.5	-2.0	45%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	42.9	33.5	76.4	+9.4	89%	-

This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mazeikiai

#11

38-40

-2

H23/04

LKL

Nevezis

#10

48-33

+15

A25/04

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

35-36

-1

A29/04

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

36-45

-9

H02/05

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

26-32

-6

A05/05

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

47-32

+15

H08/05

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

31-26

A10/05

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

20-42

-22

A13/05

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

25-44

-19

H16/05

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

30-50

-20

A19/05

LKL

71.6Avg total

33.6Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	34.8	69.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.2	33.4	68.6	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.2	36.1	70.3	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.6	38.0	71.6	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	38.8	69.4	-8.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	29.1	41.0	70.1	-11.9	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	34.8	33.9	68.7	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.1	30.8	69.9	+8.3	90%	-

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	18.3	36.2	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.5	21.5	40.9	-2.0	45%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	18.4	17.9	36.4	+0.5	42%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	18.8	35.7	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.2	18.9	35.1	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.5	39.4	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	23.8	40.6	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.9	19.9	36.8	-3.0	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.0	17.5	34.5	-0.5	58%	-
vs Weaker (10)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.6	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.4	39.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	24.4	50.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	22.3	22.2	44.5	+0.1	55%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	18.3	17.7	36.1	+0.6	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.7	15.9	31.7	-0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.2	35.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	19.8	34.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-1.0	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.6	16.9	34.5	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	38.6	77.2	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.7	39.0	79.7	+1.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.7	38.2	74.9	-1.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	39.9	78.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	45.0	90.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	41.7	43.6	85.4	-1.9	27%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	36.7	35.7	72.4	+1.1	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	36.2	71.3	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.8	37.9	74.7	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.3	34.5	67.9	-1.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	39.7	74.6	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	43.6	74.8	-12.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	34.4	38.4	72.8	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	34.6	34.4	69.0	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	36.2	36.6	72.8	-0.4	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Neptunas wins

Juventus wins

Date	Game	Score
20/04/15	Juventus v Neptunas	77-71
31/03/15	Neptunas v Juventus	69-71
30/12/14	Juventus v Neptunas	79-85
02/12/14	Neptunas v Juventus	84-73
09/02/14	Neptunas v Juventus	87-85
21/12/13	Juventus v Neptunas	76-79 OT
03/01/13	Neptunas v Juventus	96-83
29/09/12	Juventus v Neptunas	93-88
24/03/12	Neptunas v Juventus	88-69
19/11/11	Juventus v Neptunas	85-71

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/05/15	H	Rytas	87-92
20/05/15	A	Rytas	89-96
18/05/15	H	Rytas	107-101 OT
14/05/15	A	Rytas	79-88
09/05/15	A	Alytaus Dzukija	69-55
06/05/15	H	Alytaus Dzukija	71-47
03/05/15	A	Alytaus Dzukija	56-65
29/04/15	H	Alytaus Dzukija	88-59
22/04/15	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	68-64
20/04/15	A	Juventus	71-77

Juventuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/15	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	49-96
16/05/15	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	58-91
13/05/15	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	53-81
10/05/15	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	69-61
08/05/15	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	80-83
05/05/15	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	63-51
02/05/15	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	74-84
29/04/15	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	77-71
25/04/15	A	Nevezis	87-82
23/04/15	H	Mazeikiai	75-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas

LKL 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	73%
Home	LWWWL	71%
Away	WLWLL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	48	24	24
Win %	73%	71%	75%
Points / game	84.6	88.3	80.9
Allowed / game	75.1	75.3	74.8
Point differential	+9.5	+13.0	+6.1
Avg total	159.7	163.6	155.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	52%	58%	46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (11)	33% (6)	100% (5)
Overtime %	4%	4%	4%

Juventus

LKL 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	56%
Home	WLLLL	48%
Away	WWWLL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	48	23	25
Win %	56%	48%	64%
Points / game	73.6	73.1	74.2
Allowed / game	74.2	73.8	74.5
Point differential	-0.5	-0.7	-0.3
Avg total	147.8	146.9	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	17%	24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (16)	29% (7)	78% (9)
Overtime %	6%	4%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	47	43	4	91%	85.1	67.2	+17.9
2	Rytas	48	41	7	85%	89.9	75.5	+14.5
3	Neptunas	48	35	13	73%	84.6	75.1	+9.5
4	Pieno Zvaigzdes	45	26	19	58%	82.4	79.5	+2.8
5	Juventus	48	27	21	56%	73.6	74.2	-0.5
6	Alytaus Dzukija	44	22	22	50%	73.3	73.9	-0.6
7	Siauliai	43	18	25	42%	82.9	81.3	+1.6
8	Lietkabelis	43	11	32	26%	77.0	85.0	-7.9
9	Skycop	40	7	33	18%	69.4	84.0	-14.7
10	Nevezis	40	7	33	18%	72.6	91.3	-18.7
11	Mazeikiai	40	6	34	15%	70.2	81.9	-11.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Neptunas	21	21	23	23	88
Juventus	16	14	19	26	75

← all games of the day

Neptunas vs Juventus Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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