Neptunas vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Apr 2017

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 93-75

24-17 22-14 30-13 17-31

Position#4

Record21-15

FormLLWWW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game72.9

Neptunas 🏆

Juventus

Position#5

Record19-17

FormWLWWL

Points / game81.7

Allowed / game81.0

LKLLKL - Quarter-finals

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Neptunas v Juventus

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Juventus winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siauliai

#10

100-65

100

+35

A18/03

LKL

Juventus

98-83

+15

A26/03

LKL

Lietkabelis

61-74

-13

A01/04

LKL

Rytas

62-82

-20

A08/04

LKL

Nevezis

90-53

+37

H12/04

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

77-81

-4

H15/04

LKL

Skycop

89-96

-7

A17/04

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

93-81

+12

A20/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

69-60

H23/04

LKL

Siauliai

#10

85-78

H26/04

LKL

32-12

21-17

30-13

17-23

24-16

26-21

32-17

16-29

13-16

25-15

6-22

17-21

9-19

29-20

9-25

15-18

32-7

25-17

14-14

19-15

16-24

20-17

17-21

24-19

27-22

26-21

20-26

16-27

27-16

30-25

21-22

15-18

13-19

16-18

25-14

15-9

27-29

28-24

16-15

14-10

157.7Avg total

82.4Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	77.5	72.9	150.4	+4.6	58%
Season at home (18)	74.5	69.0	143.5	+5.5	67%
Season away (18)	80.5	76.7	157.2	+3.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	75.3	157.7	+7.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	79.2	161.8	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	74.0	80.5	154.5	-6.5	33%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	72.3	72.1	144.4	+0.2	36%
vs Weaker (13)	78.3	67.6	145.9	+10.7	85%

This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Juventus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

71-73

-2

H19/03

LKL

Neptunas

83-98

-15

H26/03

LKL

Siauliai

#10

86-78

A02/04

LKL

Skycop

87-95

-8

A08/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

90-94

-4

A12/04

LKL

Rytas

76-75

A15/04

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

91-97

-6

H17/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

87-66

+21

H20/04

LKL

Nevezis

98-79

+19

H23/04

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

76-90

-14

A26/04

LKL

22-14

18-20

19-16

12-23

16-24

21-26

17-32

29-16

23-24

30-22

9-22

24-10

15-22

24-27

26-26

22-20

24-21

20-25

25-17

21-31

12-15

19-22

17-15

28-23

21-26

24-27

25-17

21-27

27-17

24-20

14-14

22-15

27-19

28-22

20-22

23-16

25-18

10-15

18-28

23-29

169.0Avg total

84.5Scored

84.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	81.7	81.0	162.7	+0.7	53%
Season at home (18)	82.8	80.1	162.9	+2.8	56%
Season away (18)	80.6	81.9	162.4	-1.3	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	84.5	169.0	+0.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	81.4	167.0	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	73.2	81.4	154.5	-8.2	18%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	82.3	83.0	165.3	-0.7	50%
vs Weaker (9)	86.0	72.4	158.4	+13.6	100%

This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NeptunasJuventus

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	15.9	34.5	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	15.2	33.7	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.5	16.5	35.1	+2.0	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	18.5	35.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	16.7	15.4	32.1	+1.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.8	15.2	36.0	+5.5	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.7	40.1	-3.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.0	41.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.6	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.8	22.7	41.5	-3.9	10%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.3	21.1	42.4	+0.2	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.9	38.2	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	16.3	35.8	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	19.1	40.1	+2.0	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	19.5	44.1	+5.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.8	17.7	39.5	+4.2	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.0	16.9	36.9	+3.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	18.7	40.2	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.6	44.4	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.1	18.4	42.6	+5.7	89%	-

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siauliai

#10

53-29

+24

A18/03

LKL

Juventus

50-37

+13

A26/03

LKL

Lietkabelis

38-31

A01/04

LKL

Rytas

38-39

-1

A08/04

LKL

Nevezis

57-24

+33

H12/04

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

36-41

-5

H15/04

LKL

Skycop

53-43

+10

A17/04

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

57-41

+16

A20/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

29-37

-8

H23/04

LKL

Siauliai

#10

55-53

H26/04

LKL

84.1Avg total

46.6Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	33.8	72.7	+5.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.0	31.5	69.5	+6.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.6	35.6	75.2	+4.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	37.5	84.1	+9.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	43.0	89.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.8	36.2	75.0	+2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	36.7	32.3	69.0	+4.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (13)	40.8	34.0	74.8	+6.8	62%	-

This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

40-34

H19/03

LKL

Neptunas

37-50

-13

H26/03

LKL

Siauliai

#10

53-46

A02/04

LKL

Skycop

39-49

-10

A08/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

44-46

-2

A12/04

LKL

Rytas

31-37

-6

A15/04

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

45-53

-8

H17/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

51-37

+14

H20/04

LKL

Nevezis

55-41

+14

H23/04

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

35-33

A26/04

LKL

85.6Avg total

43.0Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	39.8	79.6	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	38.9	81.0	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	40.6	78.1	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	42.6	85.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	40.2	83.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.3	38.3	74.5	-2.0	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.6	41.6	80.2	-3.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (9)	45.4	39.6	85.0	+5.9	78%	-

This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.1	37.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.3	22.0	38.3	-5.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.6	19.8	37.5	-2.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.5	17.2	36.7	+2.4	54%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.9	38.7	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-1.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.3	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.4	30%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.2	17.0	35.2	+1.2	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.9	37.1	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.5	19.9	37.4	-2.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	18.9	35.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	16.6	33.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.8	22.3	41.2	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	18.0	16.5	34.5	+1.5	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.0	45.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.6	23.5	42.2	-4.9	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.6	18.3	39.9	+3.3	70%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.3	15.9	38.2	+6.4	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	38.0	74.4	-1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.7	37.2	73.8	-0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.1	38.7	74.8	-2.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	37.8	73.6	-2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	36.2	72.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.2	44.3	79.5	-9.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	35.5	39.8	75.4	-4.3	55%	-
vs Weaker (13)	37.5	33.6	71.2	+3.9	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.0	78.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	37.9	77.6	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	40.1	79.7	-0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	41.9	83.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	41.2	83.4	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.9	43.1	80.0	-6.2	9%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.9	40.0	81.9	+1.9	70%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.6	32.9	73.4	+7.7	89%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Neptunas wins

Juventus wins

Date	Game	Score
26/03/17	Juventus v Neptunas	83-98
11/02/17	Neptunas v Juventus	70-79
04/12/16	Juventus v Neptunas	91-97
16/10/16	Neptunas v Juventus	75-60
26/03/16	Juventus v Neptunas	104-89
24/01/16	Neptunas v Juventus	101-74
23/12/15	Neptunas v Juventus	82-65
08/10/15	Juventus v Neptunas	79-76
10/06/15	Neptunas v Juventus	69-84
07/06/15	Juventus v Neptunas	61-66

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/17	H	Siauliai	85-78
23/04/17	H	Alytaus Dzukija	69-60
20/04/17	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	93-81
17/04/17	A	Skycop	89-96
15/04/17	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	77-81
12/04/17	H	Nevezis	90-53
08/04/17	A	Rytas	62-82
01/04/17	A	Lietkabelis	61-74
26/03/17	A	Juventus	98-83
18/03/17	A	Siauliai	100-65

Juventuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/17	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	76-90
23/04/17	H	Nevezis	98-79
20/04/17	H	Alytaus Dzukija	87-66
17/04/17	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	91-97
15/04/17	A	Rytas	76-75
12/04/17	A	Lietkabelis	90-94
08/04/17	A	Skycop	87-95
02/04/17	A	Siauliai	86-78
26/03/17	H	Neptunas	83-98
19/03/17	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	71-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas

LKL 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	58%
Home	WWLWW	67%
Away	WLLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	58%	67%	50%
Points / game	77.5	74.5	80.5
Allowed / game	72.9	69.0	76.7
Point differential	+4.6	+5.5	+3.8
Avg total	150.4	143.5	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	28%	28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	50% (4)	40% (5)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

Juventus

LKL 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	53%
Home	LLLWW	56%
Away	WLLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	53%	56%	50%
Points / game	81.7	82.8	80.6
Allowed / game	81.0	80.1	81.9
Point differential	+0.7	+2.8	-1.3
Avg total	162.7	162.9	162.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	28%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (12)	40% (5)	57% (7)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	36	33	3	92%	84.2	67.3	+16.9
2	Rytas	36	26	10	72%	82.0	72.8	+9.1
3	Lietkabelis	36	25	11	69%	80.7	75.8	+4.9
4	Neptunas	36	21	15	58%	77.5	72.9	+4.6
5	Juventus	36	19	17	53%	81.7	81.0	+0.7
6	Skycop	36	18	18	50%	77.3	76.0	+1.3
7	Pieno Zvaigzdes	36	15	21	42%	78.1	80.5	-2.4
8	Alytaus Dzukija	36	10	26	28%	68.6	76.9	-8.3
9	Nevezis	36	7	29	19%	74.0	83.2	-9.2
10	Siauliai	36	6	30	17%	70.9	88.6	-17.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Neptunas	24	22	30	17	93
Juventus	17	14	13	31	75

← all games of the day

Neptunas vs Juventus Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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