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Neptunas vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 105-74
22-19 30-15 23-20 30-20
Position#2
Record1-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#10
Record3-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game81.2
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Svyturio arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Juventus
12 May 2027
NEP v JUV
upcoming
23 Sep 2026
NEP99
JUV84
01 Jun 2026
NEP102
JUV84
27 May 2026
NEP83
JUV96
06 Apr 2026
NEP95
JUV89
08 Nov 2025
NEP85
JUV72
17 May 2025
NEP100
JUV88
30 Nov 2024
NEP63
JUV74
30 Oct 2024
NEP105
JUV74
07 Jan 2024
NEP78
JUV91
18 Oct 2023
NEP92
JUV90
13 Feb 2023
NEP98
JUV97
30 Nov 2022
NEP99
JUV86
06 Nov 2021
NEP79
JUV88
14 Apr 2021
NEP89
JUV91
14 Feb 2021
NEP69
JUV86
14 Oct 2020
NEP88
JUV97
08 Feb 2020
NEP115
JUV89
21 Sep 2019
NEP80
JUV67
25 Apr 2019
NEP101
JUV87
21 Oct 2018
NEP81
JUV70
31 Mar 2018
NEP87
JUV91
10 Dec 2017
NEP109
JUV78
04 May 2017
NEP87
JUV69
29 Apr 2017
NEP93
JUV75
11 Feb 2017
NEP70
JUV79
16 Oct 2016
NEP75
JUV60
24 Jan 2016
NEP101
JUV74
23 Dec 2015
NEP82
JUV65
10 Jun 2015
NEP69
JUV84
04 Jun 2015
NEP64
JUV75
29 May 2015
NEP88
JUV75
31 Mar 2015
NEP69
JUV71
02 Dec 2014
NEP84
JUV73
09 Feb 2014
NEP87
JUV85
03 Jan 2013
NEP96
JUV83
24 Mar 2012
NEP88
JUV69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#2
L
59-95
59
95
-36
46avg 82
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Jonava
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
91avg 82
H29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
82-102
82
102
-20
73avg 82
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
99-92
99
92
+7
87avg 82
A06/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
106-71
106
71
+35
114avg 82
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 82
H12/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 82
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
100avg 82
A19/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
86-88
86
88
-2
86avg 82
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
96-107
96
107
-11
92avg 82
A27/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
12-29
15-26
8-22
24-22
27-24
19-22
20-19
17-18
26-20
23-29
16-35
32-17
24-29
21-27
22-19
25-19
27-15
32-24
22-13
25-23
18-19
29-15
17-17
27-25
24-19
11-28
22-16
19-26
34-14
19-22
22-32
22-17
23-22
25-25
16-24
22-28
20-20
25-29
29-30
180.6Avg total
89.4Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.587.2176.8+2.225%
Season at home (2)96.079.5175.5+16.550%
Season away (2)83.095.0178.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)89.491.2180.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)91.693.0184.6-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.887.4171.2-3.546%
vs Similar (6)89.887.5177.3+2.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.791.0179.7-2.327%
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
80avg 79
A25/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
64avg 79
H28/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
82avg 79
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
92-99
92
99
-7
83avg 79
H06/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
82avg 79
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
91-46
91
46
+45
90avg 79
A13/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
74avg 79
A16/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
72-67
72
67
+5
58avg 79
A19/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
94-91
94
91
+3
95avg 79
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
62avg 79
H26/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
21-14
15-16
21-25
21-28
17-26
20-17
20-15
28-15
19-27
20-17
19-14
17-32
29-24
27-21
19-22
24-19
22-20
17-18
24-17
21-17
21-17
26-6
23-6
17-24
20-21
28-17
18-25
15-18
20-16
23-19
14-14
22-21
29-18
19-19
24-33
21-17
16-25
23-11
10-26
160.7Avg total
83.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.581.2168.8+6.275%
Season at home (2)90.582.5173.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)84.580.0164.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)83.177.6160.7+5.560%
Last 5 (5)82.074.0156.0+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.086.5166.5-6.533%
vs Similar (7)81.982.6164.4-0.743%
vs Weaker (16)89.983.4173.3+6.462%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
NeptunasJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Jonava
#5
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A06/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A19/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A27/10
LKL
89.6Avg total
47.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.184.4+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.340.784.0+2.671%-
Last 30 away (16)43.341.484.7+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)47.242.489.6+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.689.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.140.380.4-0.246%-
vs Similar (6)47.541.789.2+5.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.841.686.5+3.273%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A25/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H28/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H06/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A13/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A16/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A19/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H26/10
LKL
83.9Avg total
42.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.386.0-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.444.388.7+0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)41.542.583.9-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.883.9+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.879.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.343.784.0-3.333%-
vs Similar (7)41.042.083.0-1.057%-
vs Weaker (16)44.843.688.3+1.250%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.921.7
58.8%
55.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.6
35.8%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.716.0
70.5%
74.4%16.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.8
57.0%
55.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.4
33.6%
36.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.615.9
70.4%
74.4%15.9
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLLLWWWLWL
Juventus
LWWLWWLWLW
#2
League position
#10
-2.9
Net rating
+8.2
116.1
Offensive rating
110.6
119.0
Defensive rating
102.5
56.7%
Effective FG%
54.3%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.8%
3-point %
33.6%
65.5%
Assist %
56.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 110.6Defence119.0 · 102.5Shooting56.7% · 54.3%3-point %35.8% · 33.6%Ball care17.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds32.4% · 26.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Neptunas   ■ Juventus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas wins
5
Juventus wins
DateGameScore
06/10/24Juventus v Neptunas92-99
25/03/24Juventus v Neptunas83-96
07/01/24Neptunas v Juventus78-91
23/11/23Juventus v Neptunas92-78
18/10/23Neptunas v Juventus92-90
02/10/23Juventus v Neptunas112-102 OT
02/05/23Juventus v Neptunas85-83
13/02/23Neptunas v Juventus98-97
30/11/22Neptunas v Juventus99-86
27/10/22Juventus v Neptunas95-86
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24AMazeikiai96-107
23/10/24HNevezis86-88
19/10/24ASiauliai103-108 OT
15/10/24AJonava84-88
12/10/24HBC Wolves89-74
09/10/24HMazeikiai106-71
06/10/24AJuventus99-92
02/10/24ASiauliai82-102
29/09/24HJonava90-87
27/09/24ABilbao59-95
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24HLietkabelis70-79
23/10/24HJonava94-91
19/10/24ABC Wolves72-67
16/10/24ASiauliai83-87
13/10/24AMazeikiai91-46
09/10/24HNevezis87-74
06/10/24HNeptunas92-99
02/10/24AMazeikiai86-73
28/09/24HRytas78-86
25/09/24ANevezis78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game89.596.083.0
Allowed / game87.279.595.0
Point differential+2.2+16.5-12.0
Avg total176.8175.5178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Juventus
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game87.590.584.5
Allowed / game81.282.580.0
Point differential+6.2+8.0+4.5
Avg total168.8173.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siauliai54180%94.488.2+6.2
2 Juventus43175%87.581.2+6.2
3 Jonava43175%89.885.5+4.2
4 Nevezis52340%87.089.0-2.0
5 Neptunas41325%89.587.2+2.2
6 Mazeikiai4040%75.093.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas22302330105
Juventus1915202074
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