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Neptunas vs Juventus Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 12 May 2027
Tip-off: 15:30
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
3.2/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record3-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game87.2
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Neptunas v Juventus
12 May 2027
NEP v JUV
upcoming
23 Sep 2026
NEP99
JUV84
01 Jun 2026
NEP102
JUV84
27 May 2026
NEP83
JUV96
06 Apr 2026
NEP95
JUV89
08 Nov 2025
NEP85
JUV72
17 May 2025
NEP100
JUV88
30 Nov 2024
NEP63
JUV74
30 Oct 2024
NEP105
JUV74
07 Jan 2024
NEP78
JUV91
18 Oct 2023
NEP92
JUV90
13 Feb 2023
NEP98
JUV97
30 Nov 2022
NEP99
JUV86
06 Nov 2021
NEP79
JUV88
14 Apr 2021
NEP89
JUV91
14 Feb 2021
NEP69
JUV86
14 Oct 2020
NEP88
JUV97
08 Feb 2020
NEP115
JUV89
21 Sep 2019
NEP80
JUV67
25 Apr 2019
NEP101
JUV87
21 Oct 2018
NEP81
JUV70
31 Mar 2018
NEP87
JUV91
10 Dec 2017
NEP109
JUV78
04 May 2017
NEP87
JUV69
29 Apr 2017
NEP93
JUV75
11 Feb 2017
NEP70
JUV79
16 Oct 2016
NEP75
JUV60
24 Jan 2016
NEP101
JUV74
23 Dec 2015
NEP82
JUV65
10 Jun 2015
NEP69
JUV84
04 Jun 2015
NEP64
JUV75
29 May 2015
NEP88
JUV75
31 Mar 2015
NEP69
JUV71
02 Dec 2014
NEP84
JUV73
09 Feb 2014
NEP87
JUV85
03 Jan 2013
NEP96
JUV83
24 Mar 2012
NEP88
JUV69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
92avg 80
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#7
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 80
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 80
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#23
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 80
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 80
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#12
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 80
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
110-88
110
88
+22
108avg 80
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 80
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
79-99
79
99
-20
78avg 80
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-10
21-12
14-19
20-21
15-31
24-26
27-18
18-18
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
33-19
20-29
11-25
15-26
29-19
20-24
10-24
20-27
176.1Avg total
86.9Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.685.2170.9+0.450%
Season at home (4)91.881.8173.5+10.075%
Season away (4)79.588.8168.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)86.989.2176.1-2.340%
Last 5 (5)88.495.8184.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.795.2177.8-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.983.3165.2-1.446%
vs Weaker (11)92.586.7179.3+5.855%
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
L
84-99
84
99
-15
74avg 77
A23/09
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
85avg 77
H27/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
86avg 77
H04/10
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
66-105
66
105
-39
51avg 77
H07/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#8
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 77
A11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
100-90
100
90
+10
100avg 77
H18/10
LKL
Reggiana
#31
W
76-75
76
75
+1
70avg 77
A21/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
63avg 77
H25/10
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
82-94
82
94
-12
74avg 77
A31/10
LKL
Pardubice
#49
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
H03/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
20-31
20-28
28-22
28-24
24-14
17-22
25-17
18-20
23-16
26-17
26-24
8-20
21-24
19-34
18-27
25-23
28-18
15-21
3-21
31-25
26-26
20-19
23-20
22-25
25-25
14-20
15-5
25-30
17-21
10-20
24-23
27-16
15-29
25-24
15-25
21-21
19-25
35-23
14-20
172.9Avg total
84.0Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.287.2172.5-2.038%
Season at home (4)90.884.5175.2+6.275%
Season away (4)79.890.0169.8-10.20%
Last 10 (10)84.088.9172.9-4.950%
Last 5 (5)86.489.6176.0-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)84.494.1178.5-9.841%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.891.2179.0-3.538%
vs Weaker (5)93.085.0178.0+8.080%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
NeptunasJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#7
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#23
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#12
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A03/11
Eurocup
91.4Avg total
47.3Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.043.088.0+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.442.188.4+4.356%-
Last 30 away (14)43.444.187.5-0.657%-
Last 10 (10)47.344.191.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.046.894.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.249.592.7-6.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.739.584.2+5.269%-
vs Weaker (11)46.443.589.9+2.864%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A23/09
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H27/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/10
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H07/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H18/10
LKL
Reggiana
#31
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A21/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H25/10
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A31/10
LKL
Pardubice
#49
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H03/11
Champions League
89.0Avg total
43.9Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.944.588.4-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.543.487.9+1.164%-
Last 30 away (16)43.445.488.8-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.189.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.648.694.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)43.147.490.5-4.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.642.688.2+3.062%-
vs Weaker (5)43.837.681.4+6.280%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.1
53.4%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.620.2
82.1%
70.8%20.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.5
53.1%
55.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.4
34.6%
35.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.014.2
71.0%
70.8%14.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLLWLWWLLW
Juventus
WLLWWLLWWL
#5
League position
#7
-1.7
Net rating
-6.3
98.4
Offensive rating
96.0
100.1
Defensive rating
102.3
51.8%
Effective FG%
52.6%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.8%
3-point %
34.6%
64.0%
Assist %
50.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 96.0Defence100.1 · 102.3Shooting51.8% · 52.6%3-point %32.8% · 34.6%Ball care15.6% · 15.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Neptunas   ■ Juventus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Neptunas wins
4
Juventus wins
DateGameScore
23/09/26Neptunas v Juventus99-84
03/06/26Juventus v Neptunas103-90
01/06/26Neptunas v Juventus102-84
29/05/26Juventus v Neptunas86-83
27/05/26Neptunas v Juventus83-96
02/05/26Juventus v Neptunas102-91
06/04/26Neptunas v Juventus95-89
15/11/25Juventus v Neptunas90-97
08/11/25Neptunas v Juventus85-72
17/05/25Neptunas v Juventus100-88
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ATofas79-94
31/10/26ALietkabelis79-99
28/10/26HBasket Napoli85-94
25/10/26HSiauliai110-88
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
10/10/26ARytas77-86
07/10/26AChemnitz84-93
03/10/26HNevezis89-62
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HPardubice98-95 OT
31/10/26AJonava82-94
25/10/26HRytas76-94
21/10/26AReggiana76-75
18/10/26HGargzdai100-90
11/10/26ASiauliai71-83
07/10/26HUnicaja66-105
04/10/26HTaurage93-77
27/09/26HNevezis94-77
23/09/26ANeptunas84-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game85.691.879.5
Allowed / game85.281.888.8
Point differential+0.4+10.0-9.2
Avg total170.9173.5168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Juventus
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game85.290.879.8
Allowed / game87.284.590.0
Point differential-2.0+6.2-10.2
Avg total172.5175.2169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas880100%93.175.0+18.1
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai85362%88.888.2+0.5
4 Lietkabelis95456%79.681.1-1.6
5 Neptunas84450%85.685.2+0.4
6 Jonava83538%79.580.9-1.4
7 Juventus83538%85.287.2-2.0
8 Siauliai83538%83.287.2-4.0
9 Taurage83538%81.487.8-6.4
10 Nevezis71614%73.682.4-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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