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Neptunas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 77-88
27-24 18-19 10-15 22-30
Position#6
Record16-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#11
Record5-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game93.8
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena (Klaipeda)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes
27 Apr 2024
NEP77
PZV88
15 Oct 2023
NEP112
PZV87
03 Oct 2022
NEP91
PZV92
12 Apr 2022
NEP91
PZV95
26 Sep 2021
NEP75
PZV71
06 Feb 2021
NEP99
PZV93
14 Nov 2020
NEP80
PZV74
23 Dec 2019
NEP93
PZV70
02 Feb 2019
NEP89
PZV103
12 Jan 2019
NEP77
PZV80
19 May 2018
NEP92
PZV82
11 May 2018
NEP91
PZV81
07 Apr 2018
NEP90
PZV71
28 Oct 2017
NEP97
PZV91
26 Feb 2017
NEP59
PZV54
28 Sep 2016
NEP55
PZV61
12 Mar 2016
NEP95
PZV91
03 Jan 2016
NEP90
PZV79
25 Feb 2015
NEP89
PZV97
20 Oct 2014
NEP110
PZV84
06 Feb 2014
NEP84
PZV83
16 Apr 2013
NEP85
PZV71
18 Dec 2012
NEP89
PZV72
03 Feb 2012
NEP77
PZV79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pieno Zvaigzdes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
72avg 82
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 82
A04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
88avg 82
H11/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
72avg 82
A16/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
96-83
96
83
+13
90avg 82
A25/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 82
H01/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 82
A08/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
88-84
88
84
+4
87avg 82
H13/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
114-112 OT
114
112
+2
112avg 82
H17/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
80avg 82
H22/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
22-24
20-27
20-20
23-21
26-18
15-25
14-12
19-17
23-22
24-22
19-15
18-11
27-16
17-30
22-26
22-16
29-21
18-30
27-16
21-21
15-20
32-22
23-26
18-20
15-18
14-22
34-18
20-27
23-14
31-22
14-21
19-19
19-21
23-11
26-36
26-24
20-21
12-20
21-27
173.9Avg total
87.1Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.385.6170.8-0.355%
Season at home (15)86.685.9172.5+0.760%
Season away (14)83.985.2169.1-1.450%
Last 10 (10)87.186.8173.9+0.380%
Last 5 (5)90.691.0181.6-0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.789.1172.8-5.444%
vs Similar (6)78.580.3158.8-1.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.782.3171.0+6.567%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZvaigzdes
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
68avg 73
A03/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 73
H03/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
78-119
78
119
-41
63avg 73
A10/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-97
77
97
-20
62avg 73
A17/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
74-76
74
76
-2
67avg 73
H23/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 73
A27/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
89-98
89
98
-9
78avg 73
A07/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
83-89
83
89
-6
75avg 73
H13/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
63-90
63
90
-27
48avg 73
A16/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
79-111
79
111
-32
65avg 73
A20/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
24-21
20-21
18-21
28-23
19-28
23-22
21-28
17-26
25-37
14-29
22-27
14-25
20-28
23-23
20-21
14-28
20-16
19-20
21-12
22-17
13-25
22-24
16-13
26-28
25-19
15-25
23-26
15-22
20-20
28-19
20-28
19-20
18-26
12-19
14-25
13-30
31-30
22-24
13-27
174.0Avg total
78.6Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.893.8176.6-11.018%
Season at home (13)84.291.0175.2-6.815%
Season away (15)81.696.3177.9-14.720%
Last 10 (10)78.695.4174.0-16.80%
Last 5 (5)77.493.4170.8-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)82.294.7176.9-12.417%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)103.076.0179.0+27.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -4.0-4.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -4.0-4.0
NeptunasPieno Zvaigzdes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A25/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H01/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A08/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H13/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H22/04
LKL
81.3Avg total
41.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.682.8+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.142.383.5-1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)43.138.982.1+4.260%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.581.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.080.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.041.382.3-0.333%-
vs Similar (6)41.238.079.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.241.384.5+1.953%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A03/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H03/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A10/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A17/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H23/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A27/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A07/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H13/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A16/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A20/04
LKL
90.0Avg total
40.0Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.947.689.5-5.720%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.045.287.2-3.220%-
Last 30 away (15)41.750.091.7-8.320%-
Last 10 (10)40.050.090.0-10.010%-
Last 5 (5)40.447.487.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)41.547.989.4-6.317%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)52.040.092.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.022.2
58.4%
55.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.9
31.1%
34.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.018.4
76.7%
73.2%18.4
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pieno Zvaigzdes: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.0
48.8%
55.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.6
33.2%
34.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.714.6
67.3%
73.2%14.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWWWWWWWL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LLLLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#11
+0.8
Net rating
-22.7
114.1
Offensive rating
98.6
113.3
Defensive rating
121.3
53.7%
Effective FG%
49.1%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.1%
3-point %
33.2%
75.4%
Assist %
54.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 98.6Defence113.3 · 121.3Shooting53.7% · 49.1%3-point %31.1% · 33.2%Ball care16.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds29.3% · 23.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 0%
■ Neptunas   ■ Pieno Zvaigzdes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Neptunas wins
3
Pieno Zvaigzdes wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/24HNevezis79-92
17/04/24HZalgiris Kaunas114-112 OT
13/04/24HLietkabelis88-84
08/04/24AJonava81-78
01/04/24HMazeikiai91-89
25/03/24AJuventus96-83
16/03/24ARytas84-83
11/03/24HSiauliai85-76
04/03/24ALietkabelis78-76
12/02/24HZalgiris Kaunas75-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24ABC Wolves79-111
16/04/24ALietkabelis63-90
13/04/24HJuventus83-89
07/04/24ASiauliai89-98
27/03/24AMazeikiai73-79
23/03/24HNevezis74-76
17/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas77-97
10/03/24AJuventus78-119
03/03/24HNevezis91-101
03/02/24ABC Wolves79-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game85.386.683.9
Allowed / game85.685.985.2
Point differential-0.3+0.7-1.4
Avg total170.8172.5169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)80% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %10%7%14%
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLLLLL15%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %18%15%20%
Points / game82.884.281.6
Allowed / game93.891.096.3
Point differential-11.0-6.8-14.7
Avg total176.6175.2177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2724389%87.973.3+14.6
2 Rytas2924583%93.179.6+13.4
3 BC Wolves2820871%87.279.4+7.9
4 Juventus27161159%88.681.7+6.9
5 Lietkabelis27151256%84.383.5+0.9
6 Neptunas29161355%85.385.6-0.3
7 Mazeikiai29131645%78.482.8-4.4
8 Jonava29111838%81.185.7-4.6
9 Nevezis2992031%84.091.3-7.3
10 Siauliai2982128%82.187.3-5.2
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2852318%82.893.8-11.0
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2718102277
Pieno Zvaigzdes2419153088
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