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Juventus vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 83-96
16-22 21-29 30-18 16-27
Position#4
Record14-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#6
Record11-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game84.5
LithuaniaLKL· Utenos arena (Utena)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Juventus v Neptunas
13 Feb 2027
JUV v NEP
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
JUV v NEP
upcoming
03 Jun 2026
JUV103
NEP90
29 May 2026
JUV86
NEP83
02 May 2026
JUV102
NEP91
15 Nov 2025
JUV90
NEP97
21 Apr 2025
JUV100
NEP94
12 Dec 2024
JUV82
NEP93
06 Oct 2024
JUV92
NEP99
25 Mar 2024
JUV83
NEP96
23 Nov 2023
JUV92
NEP78
02 Oct 2023
JUV112
NEP102
02 May 2023
JUV85
NEP83
27 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP86
08 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP77
14 Mar 2022
JUV82
NEP79
27 Jan 2022
JUV76
NEP64
03 Mar 2021
JUV98
NEP58
13 Dec 2020
JUV85
NEP84
15 Apr 2020
JUV v NEP
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
JUV80
NEP76
09 Feb 2019
JUV88
NEP89
30 Dec 2018
JUV88
NEP80
24 Mar 2018
JUV81
NEP90
07 Oct 2017
JUV72
NEP73
02 May 2017
JUV57
NEP78
26 Mar 2017
JUV83
NEP98
04 Dec 2016
JUV91
NEP97
26 Mar 2016
JUV104
NEP89
08 Oct 2015
JUV79
NEP76
07 Jun 2015
JUV61
NEP66
01 Jun 2015
JUV76
NEP66
20 Apr 2015
JUV77
NEP71
30 Dec 2014
JUV79
NEP85
21 Dec 2013
JUV76
NEP79
29 Sep 2012
JUV93
NEP88
19 Nov 2011
JUV85
NEP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
L
67-104
67
104
-37
57avg 83
A20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#8
W
88-63
88
63
+25
87avg 83
H24/01
ENBL
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-95
87
95
-8
86avg 83
H26/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-101
63
101
-38
52avg 83
A05/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
86-88
86
88
-2
67avg 83
A10/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
74avg 83
A02/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
119-78
119
78
+41
119avg 83
H10/03
LKL
Liege
#9
L
84-95
84
95
-11
67avg 83
A13/03
ENBL
Nevezis
#9
W
93-88
93
88
+5
82avg 83
A18/03
LKL
Liege
#9
W
96-87
96
87
+9
84avg 83
H20/03
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
23-27
18-29
15-29
17-14
29-17
20-16
22-16
20-24
28-22
19-17
20-32
14-22
12-34
26-17
11-28
25-22
13-18
16-13
32-35
24-30
19-18
18-24
27-21
26-17
37-25
29-14
27-22
23-28
22-29
25-13
14-25
22-22
28-23
21-21
22-22
19-17
25-26
26-15
26-29
176.3Avg total
87.1Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)89.380.0169.3+9.364%
Season at home (10)95.180.0175.1+15.170%
Season away (12)84.580.0164.5+4.558%
Last 10 (10)87.189.2176.3-2.140%
Last 5 (5)96.088.2184.2+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.099.0175.0-23.00%
vs Similar (6)92.386.8179.2+5.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.078.2169.2+12.875%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 81
H03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
71avg 81
H07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
100-81
100
81
+19
111avg 81
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
69avg 81
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-92
73
92
-19
55avg 81
A27/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
no box
A04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
72avg 81
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 81
A04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
88avg 81
H11/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
72avg 81
A16/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
18-25
23-19
22-19
24-20
18-28
17-22
19-21
17-28
30-12
29-22
24-19
17-18
21-17
14-29
24-15
17-30
17-23
21-22
18-17
22-26
17-18
21-21
26-21
13-24
22-24
20-27
20-20
23-21
26-18
15-25
14-12
19-17
23-22
24-22
19-15
18-11
27-16
17-30
22-26
169.0Avg total
83.2Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.784.5168.1-0.848%
Season at home (11)84.382.8167.1+1.555%
Season away (12)83.186.0169.1-2.942%
Last 10 (10)83.285.8169.0-2.650%
Last 5 (5)82.885.2168.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.090.8169.8-11.822%
vs Similar (5)78.882.0160.8-3.260%
vs Weaker (16)90.182.2172.4+7.969%
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
JuventusNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#8
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H24/01
ENBL
Bakken Bears
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H26/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A05/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A02/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H10/03
LKL
Liege
#9
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A13/03
ENBL
Nevezis
#9
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A18/03
LKL
Liege
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H20/03
ENBL
89.1Avg total
43.7Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.985.7+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.939.587.4+8.479%-
Last 30 away (16)40.244.184.2-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)43.745.489.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)49.047.096.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.048.285.2-11.225%-
vs Similar (6)44.246.390.5-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.039.484.3+5.670%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A27/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/03
LKL
84.1Avg total
41.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.784.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.043.685.6-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)43.840.083.8+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.484.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.481.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.443.884.2-3.333%-
vs Similar (5)42.839.482.2+3.460%-
vs Weaker (16)44.441.285.6+3.256%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.9
52.8%
55.4%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.2
36.8%
34.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.317.5
75.1%
73.2%17.5
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.022.2
58.4%
55.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.6
29.6%
34.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.713.0
73.4%
73.2%13.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
WWLWLLLLWL
Neptunas
WWWLLLLWLW
#4
League position
#6
-3.3
Net rating
-3.4
112.1
Offensive rating
109.8
115.4
Defensive rating
113.2
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.8%
3-point %
29.6%
57.8%
Assist %
73.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 109.8Defence115.4 · 113.2Shooting53.6% · 52.7%3-point %36.8% · 29.6%Ball care16.2% · 16.0%Off. rebounds27.9% · 28.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Juventus   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Juventus wins
3
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Neptunas v Juventus78-91
23/11/23Juventus v Neptunas92-78
18/10/23Neptunas v Juventus92-90
02/10/23Juventus v Neptunas112-102 OT
02/05/23Juventus v Neptunas85-83
13/02/23Neptunas v Juventus98-97
30/11/22Neptunas v Juventus99-86
27/10/22Juventus v Neptunas95-86
08/10/22Juventus v Neptunas95-77
14/03/22Juventus v Neptunas82-79
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24HLiege96-87
18/03/24ANevezis93-88
13/03/24ALiege84-95
10/03/24HPieno Zvaigzdes119-78
02/03/24ARytas88-93
10/02/24AMazeikiai86-88
05/02/24AZalgiris Kaunas63-101
26/01/24HBakken Bears87-95
24/01/24HTartu Ulikool88-63
20/01/24ARytas67-104
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24ARytas84-83
11/03/24HSiauliai85-76
04/03/24ALietkabelis78-76
12/02/24HZalgiris Kaunas75-95
04/02/24ANevezis92-96 OT
27/01/24ABC Wolves73-92
21/01/24ALietkabelis76-79
14/01/24HGargzdai100-81
07/01/24HJuventus78-91
03/01/24HLietkabelis91-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW64%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayWLLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %64%70%58%
Points / game89.395.184.5
Allowed / game80.080.080.0
Point differential+9.3+15.1+4.5
Avg total169.3175.1164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW48%
HomeLLWLW55%
AwayLLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%55%42%
Points / game83.784.383.1
Allowed / game84.582.886.0
Point differential-0.8+1.5-2.9
Avg total168.1167.1169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2321291%86.371.8+14.4
2 Rytas2319483%93.979.3+14.6
3 BC Wolves2416867%84.478.9+5.5
4 Juventus2214864%89.380.0+9.3
5 Lietkabelis2214864%84.082.6+1.4
6 Neptunas23111248%83.784.5-0.8
7 Mazeikiai23111248%79.682.4-2.8
8 Jonava2491538%82.385.2-3.0
9 Nevezis2471729%82.591.8-9.2
10 Siauliai2461825%80.987.4-6.5
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2351822%84.093.9-10.0
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Juventus1621301683
Neptunas2229182796
← all games of the day
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