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Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 79-92
26-24 20-21 12-20 21-27
Position#6
Record16-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
Position#9
Record8-20
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game91.8
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena (Klaipeda)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas v Nevezis
17 Apr 2027
NEP v NEV
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
NEP89
NEV62
11 Apr 2026
NEP88
NEV93
17 Jan 2026
NEP87
NEV67
10 Jan 2026
NEP113
NEV82
04 May 2025
NEP96
NEV90
09 Feb 2025
NEP94
NEV107
23 Oct 2024
NEP86
NEV88
22 Apr 2024
NEP79
NEV92
20 Nov 2023
NEP97
NEV74
18 Apr 2023
NEP97
NEV91
12 Dec 2022
NEP86
NEV79
03 Apr 2022
NEP95
NEV61
12 Dec 2021
NEP94
NEV87
03 Oct 2021
NEP97
NEV95
07 May 2020
NEP v NEV
upcoming
07 Dec 2019
NEP88
NEV78
28 Apr 2019
NEP86
NEV76
23 Sep 2018
NEP100
NEV76
04 Mar 2018
NEP81
NEV64
24 Sep 2017
NEP92
NEV73
12 Apr 2017
NEP90
NEV53
12 Nov 2016
NEP70
NEV63
23 Apr 2016
NEP103
NEV69
30 Sep 2015
NEP77
NEV66
10 Jan 2015
NEP106
NEV78
30 Sep 2014
NEP115
NEV76
23 Apr 2014
NEP78
NEV76
12 Apr 2013
NEP102
NEV61
02 Mar 2012
NEP91
NEV93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
no box
A04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
72avg 82
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 82
A04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
88avg 82
H11/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
72avg 82
A16/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
96-83
96
83
+13
90avg 82
A25/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 82
H01/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 82
A08/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
88-84
88
84
+4
87avg 82
H13/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
114-112 OT
114
112
+2
112avg 82
H17/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
17-18
21-21
26-21
13-24
22-24
20-27
20-20
23-21
26-18
15-25
14-12
19-17
23-22
24-22
19-15
18-11
27-16
17-30
22-26
22-16
29-21
18-30
27-16
21-21
15-20
32-22
23-26
18-20
15-18
14-22
34-18
20-27
23-14
31-22
14-21
19-19
19-21
23-11
26-36
175.6Avg total
88.4Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.585.3170.8+0.257%
Season at home (14)87.185.4172.6+1.764%
Season away (14)83.985.2169.1-1.450%
Last 10 (10)88.487.2175.6+1.280%
Last 5 (5)94.089.2183.2+4.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.789.1172.8-5.444%
vs Similar (7)80.481.7162.1-1.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.481.6171.0+7.971%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
no box
H04/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
64-113
64
113
-49
46avg 78
A10/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
101-91
101
91
+10
91avg 78
A03/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
58avg 78
H07/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 78
H18/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 78
A23/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
71avg 78
H30/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
83-102
83
102
-19
69avg 78
A06/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
86-94
86
94
-8
77avg 78
H15/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
116-83
116
83
+33
130avg 78
H18/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
18-17
21-21
21-26
18-30
15-35
15-23
16-25
23-28
28-19
22-23
28-21
15-23
22-26
16-17
19-17
22-22
23-28
21-21
22-22
28-14
16-20
20-19
12-21
19-21
11-28
27-24
22-15
27-23
24-30
16-27
16-22
18-24
26-21
15-25
27-24
37-19
29-22
33-17
17-25
177.4Avg total
86.1Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.891.8175.5-8.029%
Season at home (15)86.988.7175.6-1.940%
Season away (13)80.295.2175.4-15.115%
Last 10 (10)86.191.3177.4-5.240%
Last 5 (5)88.088.2176.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)82.695.9178.4-13.314%
vs Similar (11)87.785.9173.6+1.845%
vs Weaker (5)90.283.2173.4+7.080%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
NeptunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A25/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H01/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A08/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H13/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/04
LKL
80.5Avg total
41.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.782.8+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.942.583.5-1.633%-
Last 30 away (15)43.138.982.1+4.260%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.480.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.479.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.041.382.3-0.333%-
vs Similar (7)41.439.480.9+2.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.041.084.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H04/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
33-65
33
65
-32
A10/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A03/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H18/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A23/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H30/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A06/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H15/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H18/04
LKL
91.7Avg total
44.5Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.447.592.8-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.146.993.1-0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)44.548.192.6-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)44.547.291.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)47.044.491.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)42.552.294.7-9.721%-
vs Similar (11)48.744.893.5+3.945%-
vs Weaker (5)46.040.086.0+6.080%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.5
57.8%
55.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.3
30.7%
34.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws24.918.8
75.5%
73.2%18.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.4
54.6%
55.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.9
36.3%
34.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.314.9
73.4%
73.2%14.9
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWWWWWWWLL
Nevezis
WLLLWLLWLW
#6
League position
#9
-0.5
Net rating
-8.3
113.7
Offensive rating
111.6
114.3
Defensive rating
119.9
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.5%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
16.2%
Turnover %
20.8%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.7%
3-point %
36.3%
70.5%
Assist %
54.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 111.6Defence114.3 · 119.9Shooting53.3% · 54.5%3-point %30.7% · 36.3%Ball care16.2% · 20.8%Off. rebounds30.0% · 36.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Neptunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Neptunas wins
1
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Nevezis v Neptunas96-92 OT
20/11/23Neptunas v Nevezis97-74
18/04/23Neptunas v Nevezis97-91
12/12/22Neptunas v Nevezis86-79
21/11/22Nevezis v Neptunas67-71
03/04/22Neptunas v Nevezis95-61
20/12/21Nevezis v Neptunas83-88
12/12/21Neptunas v Nevezis94-87
03/11/21Nevezis v Neptunas72-85
03/10/21Neptunas v Nevezis97-95 OT
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/24HZalgiris Kaunas114-112 OT
13/04/24HLietkabelis88-84
08/04/24AJonava81-78
01/04/24HMazeikiai91-89
25/03/24AJuventus96-83
16/03/24ARytas84-83
11/03/24HSiauliai85-76
04/03/24ALietkabelis78-76
12/02/24HZalgiris Kaunas75-95
04/02/24ANevezis92-96 OT
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/24HJonava116-83
15/04/24HSiauliai86-94
06/04/24ABC Wolves83-102
30/03/24HRytas79-88
23/03/24APieno Zvaigzdes76-74
18/03/24HJuventus88-93
07/03/24HMazeikiai72-83
03/03/24APieno Zvaigzdes101-91
10/02/24ARytas64-113
04/02/24HNeptunas96-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW57%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game85.587.183.9
Allowed / game85.385.485.2
Point differential+0.2+1.7-1.4
Avg total170.8172.6169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)80% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %11%7%14%
Nevezis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeLLLLW40%
AwayLLWWL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %29%40%15%
Points / game83.886.980.2
Allowed / game91.888.795.2
Point differential-8.0-1.9-15.1
Avg total175.5175.6175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2724389%87.973.3+14.6
2 Rytas2924583%93.179.6+13.4
3 BC Wolves2820871%87.279.4+7.9
4 Juventus27161159%88.681.7+6.9
5 Neptunas28161257%85.585.3+0.2
6 Lietkabelis27151256%84.383.5+0.9
7 Mazeikiai29131645%78.482.8-4.4
8 Jonava29111838%81.185.7-4.6
9 Nevezis2882029%83.891.8-8.0
10 Siauliai2982128%82.187.3-5.2
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2852318%82.893.8-11.0
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2620122179
Nevezis2421202792
← all games of the day
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