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Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 123-105
27-23 37-26 26-32 33-24
Position#13
Record33-35
FormWWWLW
Points / game102.6
Allowed / game101.8
vs
Position#24
Record28-39
FormWWLWL
Points / game104.9
Allowed / game104.9
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves
21 Oct 2026
MIA106
MIN131
03 Jan 2026
MIA115
MIN125
07 Mar 2025
MIA104
MIN106
18 Dec 2023
MIA108
MIN112
26 Dec 2022
MIA113
MIN110
12 Mar 2022
MIA104
MIN113
07 May 2021
MIA121
MIN112
26 Feb 2020
MIA126
MIN129
30 Dec 2018
MIA104
MIN113
30 Oct 2017
MIA122
MIN125
17 Mar 2017
MIA123
MIN105
17 Nov 2015
MIA91
MIN103
08 Nov 2014
MIA102
MIN92
04 Apr 2014
MIA121
MIN122
18 Dec 2012
MIA103
MIN92
02 Nov 2010
MIA129
MIN97
23 Feb 2010
MIA88
MIN91
18 Feb 2009
MIA104
MIN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
113-95
113
95
+18
108avg 93
H26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
89-96
89
96
-7
80avg 93
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
125-98
125
98
+27
117avg 93
H02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
99-110
99
110
-11
85avg 93
A04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
120-92
120
92
+28
114avg 93
H05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
106-98
106
98
+8
92avg 93
A07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
108-101
108
101
+7
99avg 93
H09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
104-89
104
89
+15
96avg 93
H12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
98-102
98
102
-4
85avg 93
A12/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
120-112
120
112
+8
114avg 93
H15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
35-31
30-25
30-16
31-22
23-33
15-23
20-18
37-27
27-17
24-30
37-24
25-33
28-27
20-25
26-25
35-35
32-16
34-24
19-17
29-22
33-30
27-19
17-27
18-22
36-32
27-32
27-15
32-26
27-15
26-22
19-26
22-32
31-28
22-23
23-19
28-21
26-31
31-27
35-33
207.5Avg total
108.2Scored
99.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)102.6101.8204.4+0.749%
Season at home (33)106.1101.5207.5+4.658%
Season away (35)99.2102.2201.4-2.940%
Last 10 (10)108.299.3207.5+8.970%
Last 5 (5)107.2100.4207.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)106.5105.2211.8+1.275%
vs Similar ◀ (18)106.798.1204.8+8.678%
vs Weaker (8)110.8105.5216.2+5.262%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
97-84
97
84
+13
96avg 97
H25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
130-142
130
142
-12
130avg 97
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
102-88
102
88
+14
93avg 97
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
107-80
107
80
+27
106avg 97
A02/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
84avg 97
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
107-91
107
91
+16
106avg 97
H09/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
103-102
103
102
+1
92avg 97
H11/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
95-102
95
102
-7
85avg 97
A12/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
119-104
119
104
+15
118avg 97
H14/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
104-117
104
117
-13
94avg 97
A15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
23-18
22-23
26-21
28-35
30-31
30-40
42-36
20-25
40-19
17-21
25-23
21-16
30-19
30-18
26-27
26-14
29-29
15-19
13-21
31-19
27-36
24-13
25-23
34-24
28-29
26-23
15-26
19-23
29-25
27-28
20-26
41-23
23-33
25-24
30-24
32-30
28-28
17-27
27-32
206.1Avg total
105.4Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)104.9104.9209.8-0.142%
Season at home (36)106.5103.2209.7+3.350%
Season away (31)103.0107.0210.0-3.932%
Last 10 (10)105.4100.7206.1+4.760%
Last 5 (5)105.6103.2208.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)108.3108.2216.5+0.155%
vs Similar ◀ (16)104.4102.2206.6+2.150%
vs Weaker (3)117.3108.3225.7+9.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
Miami HeatMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A12/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H15/03
NBA
109.6Avg total
57.3Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.552.7108.2+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.750.9107.6+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)54.354.5108.9-0.240%-
Last 10 (10)57.352.3109.6+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)56.451.8108.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.849.8102.5+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)56.052.3108.3+3.756%-
vs Weaker (8)55.855.1110.9+0.638%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A02/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H09/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H11/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H14/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A15/03
NBA
106.3Avg total
56.5Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.954.1110.0+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.954.2110.2+1.765%-
Last 30 away (13)55.953.8109.8+2.154%-
Last 10 (10)56.549.8106.3+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)58.454.0112.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)57.156.3113.4+0.855%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.852.6107.3+2.256%-
vs Weaker (3)58.054.0112.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 108.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.926.9
49.9%
50.2%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.013.0
40.6%
35.7%39.0
🏀 Free throws20.815.4
74.0%
77.0%15.4
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 105.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.2 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.734.1
50.4%
50.2%68.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.96.6
34.9%
35.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws22.017.4
79.1%
77.0%17.4
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 22% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWWWWLWLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLWWLWWLW
#13
League position
#24
+9.3
Net rating
+4.9
113.0
Offensive rating
108.8
103.7
Defensive rating
104.0
54.0%
Effective FG%
50.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
12.1%
Turnover %
13.6%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.6%
3-point %
34.9%
53.9%
Assist %
60.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 108.8Defence103.7 · 104.0Shooting54.0% · 50.8%3-point %40.6% · 34.9%Ball care12.1% · 13.6%Off. rebounds26.1% · 31.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans120-112
12/03/17AIndiana Pacers98-102
12/03/17HToronto Raptors104-89
09/03/17HCharlotte Hornets108-101
07/03/17ACleveland Cavaliers106-98
05/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers120-92
04/03/17AOrlando Magic99-110
02/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers125-98
28/02/17ADallas Mavericks89-96
26/02/17HIndiana Pacers113-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/17ABoston Celtics104-117
14/03/17HWashington Wizards119-104
12/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks95-102
11/03/17HGolden State Warriors103-102
09/03/17HLos Angeles Clippers107-91
05/03/17ASan Antonio Spurs90-97 OT
02/03/17AUtah Jazz107-80
28/02/17ASacramento Kings102-88
26/02/17AHouston Rockets130-142
25/02/17HDallas Mavericks97-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW49%
HomeWWWWW58%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683335
Win %49%58%40%
Points / game102.6106.199.2
Allowed / game101.8101.5102.2
Point differential+0.7+4.6-2.9
Avg total204.4207.5201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)33% (6)50% (10)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL42%
HomeLWWWW50%
AwayWWLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673631
Win %42%50%32%
Points / game104.9106.5103.0
Allowed / game104.9103.2107.0
Point differential-0.1+3.3-3.9
Avg total209.8209.7210.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won39% (18)33% (9)44% (9)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors68541479%116.2105.1+11.1
2 San Antonio Spurs67521578%106.598.5+8.0
3 Houston Rockets68472169%115.5108.1+7.3
4 Cleveland Cavaliers67452267%110.7106.1+4.6
5 Boston Celtics69442564%107.5105.0+2.5
6 Utah Jazz69432662%100.596.3+4.1
7 Washington Wizards68422662%109.1106.9+2.2
8 Toronto Raptors69402958%106.8103.3+3.5
9 Los Angeles Clippers69402958%107.7105.1+2.6
10 Oklahoma City Thunder68392957%106.8106.1+0.7
11 Memphis Grizzlies69393057%101.4100.4+0.9
12 Atlanta Hawks68373154%103.7104.4-0.7
13 Indiana Pacers68353351%104.3104.9-0.6
14 Milwaukee Bucks67333449%104.8104.3+0.5
15 Miami Heat68333549%102.6101.8+0.7
16 Denver Nuggets68333549%111.2110.8+0.4
17 Detroit Pistons69333648%101.5102.2-0.7
18 Chicago Bulls69323746%101.9103.4-1.5
19 Portland Trail Blazers67303745%108.1110.2-2.1
20 Charlotte Hornets68293943%104.9104.4+0.5
21 Dallas Mavericks68293943%98.0100.1-2.2
22 Minnesota Timberwolves67283942%104.9104.9-0.1
23 New Orleans Pelicans68274140%103.0105.9-2.9
24 Sacramento Kings68274140%103.1106.1-3.1
25 New York Knicks69274239%105.3108.6-3.3
26 Philadelphia 76ers68254337%102.3107.6-5.3
27 Orlando Magic69244535%99.8106.5-6.7
28 Phoenix Suns68224632%107.5112.5-5.0
29 Los Angeles Lakers68204829%104.4111.8-7.4
30 Brooklyn Nets68135519%105.8113.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat27372633123
Minnesota Timberwolves23263224105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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