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Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 112-97
23-26 36-20 25-17 28-34
Position#13
Record34-36
FormWLWWL
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game102.1
vs
Position#29
Record22-48
FormWLLLL
Points / game107.3
Allowed / game112.5
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns
08 Mar 2027
MIA v PHX
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MIA127
PHX121
07 Dec 2024
MIA121
PHX111
29 Jan 2024
MIA105
PHX118
14 Nov 2022
MIA113
PHX112
09 Mar 2022
MIA90
PHX111
23 Mar 2021
MIA100
PHX110
08 Aug 2020
MIA112
PHX119
25 Feb 2019
MIA121
PHX124
05 Mar 2018
MIA125
PHX103
21 Mar 2017
MIA112
PHX97
03 Mar 2016
MIA108
PHX92
02 Mar 2015
MIA115
PHX98
25 Nov 2013
MIA107
PHX92
05 Nov 2012
MIA124
PHX99
20 Mar 2012
MIA99
PHX95
17 Nov 2010
MIA123
PHX96
03 Nov 2009
MIA96
PHX104
04 Mar 2009
MIA135
PHX129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
125-98
125
98
+27
117avg 93
H02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
99-110
99
110
-11
85avg 93
A04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
120-92
120
92
+28
114avg 93
H05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
106-98
106
98
+8
92avg 93
A07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
108-101
108
101
+7
99avg 93
H09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
104-89
104
89
+15
96avg 93
H12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
98-102
98
102
-4
85avg 93
A12/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
120-112
120
112
+8
114avg 93
H15/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
123-105
123
105
+18
122avg 93
H18/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
104-115
104
115
-11
88avg 93
H19/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-27
27-17
24-30
37-24
25-33
28-27
20-25
26-25
35-35
32-16
34-24
19-17
29-22
33-30
27-19
17-27
18-22
36-32
27-32
27-15
32-26
27-15
26-22
19-26
22-32
31-28
22-23
23-19
28-21
26-31
31-27
35-33
27-23
37-26
26-32
33-24
29-28
22-24
28-33
25-30
212.9Avg total
110.7Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)102.9102.1204.9+0.849%
Season at home (35)106.5101.9208.5+4.657%
Season away (35)99.2102.2201.4-2.940%
Last 10 (10)110.7102.2212.9+8.570%
Last 5 (5)109.8104.6214.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)110.3104.7215.0+5.7100%
vs Similar (19)108.599.4207.9+9.279%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)110.8105.5216.2+5.262%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
120-103
120
103
+17
125avg 95
H03/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
118-111
118
111
+7
113avg 95
H04/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
109-106
109
106
+3
94avg 95
H05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
127-131
127
131
-4
121avg 95
H08/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
110-122
110
122
-12
102avg 95
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
100-98
100
98
+2
89avg 95
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
101-110
101
110
-9
84avg 95
H13/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
101-107
101
107
-6
82avg 95
H16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
103-109
103
109
-6
92avg 95
H18/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
95-112
95
112
-17
70avg 95
A19/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
33-26
33-33
26-12
23-28
35-27
29-24
31-32
19-22
30-20
32-35
28-29
25-38
36-30
31-26
35-37
33-32
30-29
18-29
29-32
25-24
20-23
27-22
28-29
18-33
32-33
29-16
22-28
29-22
18-26
28-26
26-33
22-30
36-30
27-24
18-25
23-24
26-23
26-30
20-35
219.3Avg total
108.4Scored
110.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)107.3112.5219.8-5.231%
Season at home (36)108.6111.4220.0-2.936%
Season away (34)105.9113.6219.5-7.726%
Last 10 (10)108.4110.9219.3-2.540%
Last 5 (5)100.0107.2207.2-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)109.1116.0225.1-6.924%
vs Similar (9)108.6107.3215.9+1.244%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
Miami HeatPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A12/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H15/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H18/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H19/03
NBA
109.6Avg total
58.1Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.252.6108.8+3.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.850.9107.6+5.959%-
Last 30 away (13)55.554.8110.4+0.738%-
Last 10 (10)58.151.5109.6+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)56.250.8107.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.348.7101.0+3.733%-
vs Similar (19)57.152.2109.2+4.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)55.855.1110.9+0.638%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H03/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H04/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H08/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
50-66
50
66
-16
H13/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H18/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A19/03
NBA
109.3Avg total
54.1Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.255.2109.3-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.256.6113.8+0.653%-
Last 30 away (13)50.253.3103.5-3.146%-
Last 10 (10)54.155.2109.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)49.853.6103.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)54.056.5110.5-2.552%-
vs Similar (9)54.652.0106.6+2.644%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 110.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.229.0
52.5%
50.2%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.912.5
39.2%
35.7%37.5
🏀 Free throws20.315.2
74.9%
77.0%15.2
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 108.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.6 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.635.3
50.0%
50.2%70.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.26.0
29.7%
35.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws25.419.8
78.0%
77.0%19.8
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 22% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWLWWWWLW
Phoenix Suns
LLLLWLLWWW
#13
League position
#29
+8.9
Net rating
-2.4
115.4
Offensive rating
102.8
106.5
Defensive rating
105.2
54.8%
Effective FG%
48.8%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
11.5%
Turnover %
13.0%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.2%
3-point %
29.7%
52.5%
Assist %
51.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 102.8Defence106.5 · 105.2Shooting54.8% · 48.8%3-point %39.2% · 29.7%Ball care11.5% · 13.0%Off. rebounds26.6% · 21.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Miami Heat wins
1
Phoenix Suns wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/17HPortland Trail Blazers104-115
18/03/17HMinnesota Timberwolves123-105
15/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans120-112
12/03/17AIndiana Pacers98-102
12/03/17HToronto Raptors104-89
09/03/17HCharlotte Hornets108-101
07/03/17ACleveland Cavaliers106-98
05/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers120-92
04/03/17AOrlando Magic99-110
02/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers125-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/17ADetroit Pistons95-112
18/03/17HOrlando Magic103-109
16/03/17HSacramento Kings101-107
13/03/17HPortland Trail Blazers101-110
12/03/17ADallas Mavericks100-98
10/03/17HLos Angeles Lakers110-122
08/03/17HWashington Wizards127-131
05/03/17HBoston Celtics109-106
04/03/17HOklahoma City Thunder118-111
03/03/17HCharlotte Hornets120-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL49%
HomeWWWWL57%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703535
Win %49%57%40%
Points / game102.9106.599.2
Allowed / game102.1101.9102.2
Point differential+0.8+4.6-2.9
Avg total204.9208.5201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%34%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)33% (6)50% (10)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL31%
HomeLLLLL36%
AwayLLLWL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703634
Win %31%36%26%
Points / game107.3108.6105.9
Allowed / game112.5111.4113.6
Point differential-5.2-2.9-7.7
Avg total219.8220.0219.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (24)42% (12)50% (12)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors70561480%116.1104.8+11.4
2 San Antonio Spurs69531677%106.598.6+7.9
3 Houston Rockets71492269%115.5108.6+6.8
4 Cleveland Cavaliers69462367%110.4106.3+4.1
5 Boston Celtics71452663%107.4104.9+2.5
6 Utah Jazz71432861%100.396.5+3.8
7 Washington Wizards70422860%108.8106.8+2.0
8 Toronto Raptors71422959%107.1103.3+3.8
9 Los Angeles Clippers71422959%107.8104.7+3.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies70403057%101.4100.4+1.0
11 Oklahoma City Thunder70403057%106.7106.0+0.7
12 Atlanta Hawks70373353%103.4104.5-1.1
13 Indiana Pacers70363451%104.1105.0-0.8
14 Milwaukee Bucks69343549%104.6104.5+0.1
15 Miami Heat70343649%102.9102.1+0.8
16 Detroit Pistons70343649%101.7102.1-0.4
17 Denver Nuggets70333747%111.3111.0+0.3
18 Chicago Bulls71333846%102.1103.4-1.3
19 Portland Trail Blazers69323746%108.3110.0-1.7
20 Charlotte Hornets70313944%104.8104.0+0.7
21 Dallas Mavericks69303943%98.1100.2-2.0
22 New Orleans Pelicans70294141%103.6106.0-2.4
23 Minnesota Timberwolves69284141%104.9105.5-0.5
24 New York Knicks70274339%105.3108.7-3.4
25 Sacramento Kings70274339%102.9106.4-3.4
26 Philadelphia 76ers70264437%102.4107.6-5.1
27 Orlando Magic71264537%100.1106.5-6.4
28 Phoenix Suns70224831%107.3112.5-5.2
29 Los Angeles Lakers70205029%104.6111.9-7.3
30 Brooklyn Nets69135619%105.8113.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat23362528112
Phoenix Suns2620173497
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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