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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 112-108
22-27 31-31 32-17 27-33
Position#5
Record47-26
FormWLWWW
Points / game107.7
Allowed / game105.1
vs
Position#13
Record35-37
FormWWLWL
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game102.0
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
102-116
102
116
-14
89avg 98
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
99-86
99
86
+13
96avg 98
A09/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
99-119
99
119
-20
85avg 98
A11/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
100-80
100
80
+20
97avg 98
H12/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
117-104
117
104
+13
120avg 98
H15/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
98-95
98
95
+3
89avg 98
A17/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
99-105
99
105
-6
92avg 98
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
110-102
110
102
+8
98avg 98
H20/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
109-100
109
100
+9
107avg 98
H22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
130-120
130
120
+10
126avg 98
H24/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
21-21
25-32
31-41
25-28
21-22
26-24
27-12
25-35
29-30
26-29
19-25
22-9
24-17
30-31
24-23
30-32
28-28
27-17
32-27
21-16
24-21
26-28
27-30
23-25
28-21
28-30
20-29
30-28
28-19
34-28
18-27
21-19
28-23
39-32
21-26
29-16
37-27
31-37
33-40
209.0Avg total
106.3Scored
102.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)107.7105.1212.8+2.764%
Season at home (35)109.8105.2215.1+4.674%
Season away (38)105.8104.9210.7+0.955%
Last 10 (10)106.3102.7209.0+3.670%
Last 5 (5)109.2104.4213.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.086.0185.0+13.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)107.5105.9213.5+1.668%
vs Weaker (10)110.8104.3215.1+6.570%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
120-92
120
92
+28
114avg 92
H05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
106-98
106
98
+8
92avg 92
A07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
108-101
108
101
+7
99avg 92
H09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
104-89
104
89
+15
96avg 92
H12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
98-102
98
102
-4
85avg 92
A12/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
120-112
120
112
+8
114avg 92
H15/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
123-105
123
105
+18
122avg 92
H18/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
104-115
104
115
-11
88avg 92
H19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
112-97
112
97
+15
96avg 92
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
84-101
84
101
-17
68avg 92
H23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-35
32-16
34-24
19-17
29-22
33-30
27-19
17-27
18-22
36-32
27-32
27-15
32-26
27-15
26-22
19-26
22-32
31-28
22-23
23-19
28-21
26-31
31-27
35-33
27-23
37-26
26-32
33-24
29-28
22-24
28-33
25-30
23-26
36-20
25-17
28-34
33-23
14-22
21-30
16-26
209.1Avg total
107.9Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)102.7102.0204.7+0.849%
Season at home (37)106.1101.8207.8+4.357%
Season away (35)99.2102.2201.4-2.940%
Last 10 (10)107.9101.2209.1+6.770%
Last 5 (5)108.6106.0214.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)111.0105.5216.5+5.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)107.398.6205.8+8.779%
vs Weaker (9)110.9104.6215.4+6.367%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A09/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A11/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H12/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H15/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A17/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H20/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
66-43
66
43
+23
H24/03
NBA
97.8Avg total
51.9Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.649.7104.3+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.549.4104.9+6.157%-
Last 30 away (16)53.849.9103.8+3.962%-
Last 10 (10)51.945.997.8+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)53.843.096.8+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.050.096.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)53.550.6104.2+2.958%-
vs Weaker (10)57.547.9105.4+9.670%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A12/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H15/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H18/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H23/03
NBA
107.2Avg total
57.0Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.451.7108.1+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)56.650.2106.7+6.467%-
Last 30 away (12)56.254.0110.2+2.242%-
Last 10 (10)57.050.2107.2+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)55.048.8103.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.046.598.5+5.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)57.051.1108.1+5.963%-
vs Weaker (9)56.154.1110.2+2.044%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.727.4
52.0%
50.2%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.610.9
33.4%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.118.8
81.4%
77.0%18.8
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.728.4
51.0%
50.2%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.112.1
38.9%
35.7%36.3
🏀 Free throws20.314.8
72.9%
77.0%14.8
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWLWWWLWL
Miami Heat
LWLWWLWWWW
#5
League position
#13
+3.6
Net rating
+7.0
106.7
Offensive rating
112.2
103.1
Defensive rating
105.3
51.3%
Effective FG%
53.6%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
14.5%
Turnover %
12.4%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.4%
3-point %
38.9%
65.0%
Assist %
52.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 112.2Defence103.1 · 105.3Shooting51.3% · 53.6%3-point %33.4% · 38.9%Ball care14.5% · 12.4%Off. rebounds22.9% · 27.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boston Celtics wins
3
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/17HPhoenix Suns130-120
22/03/17HIndiana Pacers109-100
20/03/17HWashington Wizards110-102
19/03/17APhiladelphia 76ers99-105
17/03/17ABrooklyn Nets98-95
15/03/17HMinnesota Timberwolves117-104
12/03/17HChicago Bulls100-80
11/03/17ADenver Nuggets99-119
09/03/17AGolden State Warriors99-86
07/03/17ALos Angeles Clippers102-116
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/17HToronto Raptors84-101
21/03/17HPhoenix Suns112-97
19/03/17HPortland Trail Blazers104-115
18/03/17HMinnesota Timberwolves123-105
15/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans120-112
12/03/17AIndiana Pacers98-102
12/03/17HToronto Raptors104-89
09/03/17HCharlotte Hornets108-101
07/03/17ACleveland Cavaliers106-98
05/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers120-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayLWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733538
Win %64%74%55%
Points / game107.7109.8105.8
Allowed / game105.1105.2104.9
Point differential+2.7+4.6+0.9
Avg total212.8215.1210.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%26%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (22)80% (10)58% (12)
Overtime %4%3%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL49%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723735
Win %49%57%40%
Points / game102.7106.199.2
Allowed / game102.0101.8102.2
Point differential+0.8+4.3-2.9
Avg total204.7207.8201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%35%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)33% (6)50% (10)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors72581481%116.1104.4+11.6
2 San Antonio Spurs72561678%106.398.4+7.9
3 Houston Rockets73512270%115.8108.8+7.0
4 Cleveland Cavaliers72472565%110.5106.9+3.7
5 Boston Celtics73472664%107.7105.1+2.7
6 Washington Wizards73452862%109.2106.8+2.4
7 Toronto Raptors73442960%106.9102.8+4.1
8 Utah Jazz73442960%100.396.7+3.6
9 Los Angeles Clippers75443159%107.9104.5+3.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder72413157%107.2106.3+0.8
11 Memphis Grizzlies72403256%101.0100.2+0.7
12 Milwaukee Bucks73373651%104.4104.2+0.3
13 Atlanta Hawks73373651%103.1104.5-1.4
14 Indiana Pacers72363650%104.3105.3-1.1
15 Miami Heat72353749%102.7102.0+0.8
16 Denver Nuggets72353749%111.7111.1+0.6
17 Chicago Bulls74353947%102.4103.4-0.9
18 Portland Trail Blazers72343847%108.1109.4-1.3
19 Detroit Pistons73343947%101.3102.4-1.1
20 Charlotte Hornets73334045%105.1104.2+0.9
21 Dallas Mavericks72314143%97.8100.2-2.4
22 New Orleans Pelicans72304242%103.6105.8-2.3
23 Minnesota Timberwolves72284439%104.9105.8-0.9
24 Sacramento Kings73284538%102.8106.5-3.7
25 Philadelphia 76ers72274538%102.6107.8-5.2
26 New York Knicks73274637%105.0108.7-3.7
27 Orlando Magic73274637%100.4106.3-5.9
28 Phoenix Suns74225230%107.2113.0-5.8
29 Los Angeles Lakers72215129%105.0112.3-7.3
30 Brooklyn Nets73165722%106.0113.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics22313227112
Miami Heat27311733108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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