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Sydney vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 105-76
34-19 29-15 26-20 16-22
Position#7
Record10-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game94.0
Sydney 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#5
Record8-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game89.6
AustraliaNBLRound 15· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sydney v New Zealand Breakers
15 Nov 2026
SYDN v NEW
upcoming
14 Oct 2026
SYDN101
NEW 102
09 Nov 2025
SYDN79
NEW 72
04 Oct 2025
SYDN97
NEW 75
27 Oct 2024
SYDN89
NEW 93
28 Feb 2024
SYDN76
NEW 83
14 Jan 2024
SYDN105
NEW 76
05 Nov 2023
SYDN87
NEW 85
15 Mar 2023
SYDN77
NEW 69
10 Mar 2023
SYDN91
NEW 68
03 Mar 2023
SYDN87
NEW 95
22 Jan 2023
SYDN88
NEW 93
06 Feb 2022
SYDN84
NEW 65
16 Jan 2022
SYDN75
NEW 82
25 Feb 2021
SYDN96
NEW 78
12 Feb 2021
SYDN84
NEW 74
18 Oct 2019
SYDN96
NEW 91
11 Jan 2019
SYDN100
NEW 92
18 Nov 2018
SYDN100
NEW 87
18 Feb 2018
SYDN101
NEW 86
21 Dec 2017
SYDN95
NEW 98
29 Jan 2017
SYDN84
NEW 57
30 Dec 2016
SYDN85
NEW 80
27 Dec 2015
SYDN83
NEW 93
19 Nov 2015
SYDN74
NEW 86
26 Dec 2014
SYDN85
NEW 97
06 Dec 2014
SYDN82
NEW 69
08 Feb 2014
SYDN98
NEW 96
29 Dec 2013
SYDN83
NEW 99
01 Apr 2013
SYDN88
NEW 99
09 Feb 2013
SYDN94
NEW 96
08 Dec 2012
SYDN75
NEW 62
15 Oct 2011
SYDN61
NEW 98
05 Dec 2010
SYDN80
NEW 94
16 Oct 2010
SYDN70
NEW 83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
105-114
105
114
-9
98avg 88
A01/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
86-83
86
83
+3
89avg 88
A07/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
94-104
94
104
-10
83avg 88
H10/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 88
A17/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
101-109
101
109
-8
97avg 88
A22/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
90-94
90
94
-4
86avg 88
H25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
101-82
101
82
+19
93avg 88
H29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
85-101
85
101
-16
81avg 88
H04/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
93-101
93
101
-8
84avg 88
H07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
82-95
82
95
-13
64avg 88
A11/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
31-27
26-33
22-31
33-15
15-22
23-21
15-25
30-32
19-26
22-24
23-22
21-24
18-9
18-19
33-30
17-29
36-24
15-33
33-23
29-17
19-29
25-31
17-17
27-24
27-21
15-12
32-25
23-18
17-20
19-35
26-28
24-23
15-29
28-28
26-21
19-20
8-22
27-28
28-25
189.2Avg total
92.7Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)94.294.0188.2+0.248%
Season at home (10)95.795.3191.0+0.450%
Season away (11)92.892.8185.6+0.045%
Last 10 (10)92.796.5189.2-3.830%
Last 5 (5)90.294.6184.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)89.588.9178.4+0.647%
vs Weaker (13)92.591.5183.9+1.054%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
65-69
65
69
-4
51avg 81
H19/11
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
96-83
96
83
+13
91avg 81
H30/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
79-90
79
90
-11
69avg 81
A02/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
80-97
80
97
-17
70avg 81
H09/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
111-82
111
82
+29
110avg 81
A15/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
109-101
109
101
+8
100avg 81
H22/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
77avg 81
A27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
98-93
98
93
+5
91avg 81
A01/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
102-108
102
108
-6
99avg 81
H07/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
72avg 81
H12/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
23-17
16-17
14-16
37-17
16-24
24-19
19-23
19-16
26-25
20-25
14-24
24-26
8-23
24-26
24-22
36-18
26-18
29-29
20-17
29-17
24-36
33-15
23-33
15-15
24-20
20-18
22-18
19-25
21-15
30-24
28-29
35-24
23-29
19-34
25-21
22-17
22-22
18-23
19-20
177.8Avg total
90.2Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.889.6179.4+0.242%
Season at home (10)89.189.4178.5-0.340%
Season away (9)90.689.9180.4+0.744%
Last 10 (10)90.287.6177.8+2.650%
Last 5 (5)94.291.0185.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)88.892.2181.0-3.440%
vs Similar ◀ (18)85.983.8169.7+2.150%
vs Weaker (7)87.386.1173.4+1.157%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
SydneyNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A01/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A07/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H10/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A17/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A22/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A11/01
NBL
90.8Avg total
45.4Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.245.190.4+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.747.794.5-1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)43.742.586.3+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)45.445.490.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.686.2-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)45.043.388.3+1.759%-
vs Weaker (13)45.547.593.1-2.038%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/11
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H30/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A02/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H09/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
62-36
62
36
+26
A15/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H22/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A01/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H07/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/01
NBL
88.4Avg total
46.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.786.0+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.283.7+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)44.144.288.3-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)46.142.388.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.844.090.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.043.486.4-0.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)43.941.885.7+2.156%-
vs Weaker (7)42.144.686.7-2.443%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.5
54.7%
50.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.0
31.2%
33.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws24.918.9
75.9%
73.8%18.9
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.8
55.9%
50.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.4
36.5%
33.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws22.016.6
75.5%
73.8%16.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
LLLWLLWLWL
New Zealand Breakers
LLWWWWLLWL
#7
League position
#5
-4.3
Net rating
+3.6
110.3
Offensive rating
114.7
114.6
Defensive rating
111.1
51.1%
Effective FG%
55.4%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
16.8%
Turnover %
13.8%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.2%
3-point %
36.5%
57.1%
Assist %
59.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 114.7Defence114.6 · 111.1Shooting51.1% · 55.4%3-point %31.2% · 36.5%Ball care16.8% · 13.8%Off. rebounds30.7% · 22.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Sydney   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sydney wins
4
New Zealand Breakers wins
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24AAdelaide82-95
07/01/24HBrisbane Bullets93-101
04/01/24HMelbourne United85-101
29/12/23HCairns Taipans101-82
25/12/23HIllawarra Hawks90-94
22/12/23ANew Zealand Breakers101-109
17/12/23ATasmania JackJumpers90-82
10/12/23HSouth East Melbourne94-104
07/12/23ACairns Taipans86-83
01/12/23APerth105-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24HMelbourne United81-82
07/01/24HPerth102-108
01/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers98-93
27/12/23ABrisbane Bullets81-71
22/12/23HSydney109-101
15/12/23ACairns Taipans111-82
09/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers80-97
02/12/23ASouth East Melbourne79-90
30/11/23HAdelaide96-83
19/11/23HIllawarra Hawks65-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL48%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayLWWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game94.295.792.8
Allowed / game94.095.392.8
Point differential+0.2+0.4+0.0
Avg total188.2191.0185.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%20%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL42%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%40%44%
Points / game89.889.190.6
Allowed / game89.689.489.9
Point differential+0.2-0.3+0.7
Avg total179.4178.5180.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%30%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2116576%94.186.9+7.3
2 Perth2013765%93.591.1+2.4
3 Tasmania JackJumpers22111150%90.385.8+4.5
4 Brisbane Bullets22111150%87.689.2-1.6
5 Sydney21101148%94.294.0+0.2
6 Illawarra Hawks1991047%89.890.7-0.9
7 Cairns Taipans22101245%90.391.3-1.0
8 South East Melbourne2191243%88.293.3-5.0
9 New Zealand Breakers1981142%89.889.6+0.2
10 Adelaide2171433%87.293.3-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney34292616105
New Zealand Breakers1915202276
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