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Perth vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 78-89
16-21 23-25 24-25 15-18
Position#3
Record16-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game91.3
vs
Position#5
Record10-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game89.6
AustraliaNBLRound 18· RAC Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Perth v New Zealand Breakers
15 Jan 2027
PERT v NEW
upcoming
10 Oct 2026
PERT100
NEW 84
26 Sep 2026
PERT97
NEW 93
15 Nov 2025
PERT88
NEW 75
01 Dec 2024
PERT123
NEW 112
04 Feb 2024
PERT78
NEW 89
10 Nov 2023
PERT94
NEW 76
10 Jan 2023
PERT93
NEW 90
07 Apr 2022
PERT89
NEW 80
20 Mar 2022
PERT95
NEW 85
09 May 2021
PERT98
NEW 84
18 Apr 2021
PERT78
NEW 83
12 Mar 2021
PERT85
NEW 75
25 Jan 2020
PERT80
NEW 79
17 Nov 2019
PERT88
NEW 77
25 Nov 2018
PERT91
NEW 86
03 Nov 2018
PERT92
NEW 78
27 Jan 2018
PERT90
NEW 73
12 Nov 2017
PERT82
NEW 88
13 Nov 2016
PERT86
NEW 87
14 Oct 2016
PERT75
NEW 73
06 Mar 2016
PERT75
NEW 52
02 Mar 2016
PERT82
NEW 76
27 Nov 2015
PERT86
NEW 80
16 Oct 2015
PERT83
NEW 80
15 Feb 2015
PERT87
NEW 89
10 Oct 2014
PERT70
NEW 80
17 Jan 2014
PERT97
NEW 72
06 Dec 2013
PERT95
NEW 91
12 Apr 2013
PERT66
NEW 70
22 Mar 2013
PERT73
NEW 58
22 Nov 2012
PERT89
NEW 64
20 Apr 2012
PERT87
NEW 86
04 Mar 2012
PERT99
NEW 101
23 Dec 2011
PERT86
NEW 62
10 Apr 2011
PERT89
NEW 93
14 Nov 2010
PERT114
NEW 74
08 Jan 2010
PERT76
NEW 72
08 Nov 2009
PERT94
NEW 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
89-88
89
88
+1
76avg 83
H15/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
no box
A23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
105-102
105
102
+3
104avg 83
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
100-82
100
82
+18
92avg 83
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
108-102
108
102
+6
101avg 83
A07/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
100-79
100
79
+21
83avg 83
H13/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
118-86
118
86
+32
119avg 83
H19/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
104-98
104
98
+6
96avg 83
A21/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
77-95
77
95
-18
63avg 83
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
103-91
103
91
+12
99avg 83
A27/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
17-22
28-23
21-17
26-21
24-21
21-21
21-29
26-17
28-26
22-24
29-35
34-29
20-19
28-9
18-25
24-35
29-23
34-19
21-25
28-19
28-20
14-22
30-18
31-13
26-25
28-23
33-25
34-20
24-37
22-21
24-20
21-28
14-27
20-16
22-24
29-17
30-29
20-23
24-22
193.9Avg total
100.7Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)94.691.3186.0+3.367%
Season at home (12)93.586.6180.1+6.975%
Season away (12)95.896.1191.8-0.358%
Last 10 (10)100.793.2193.9+7.580%
Last 5 (5)100.489.8190.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.084.0180.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)93.195.4188.5-2.250%
vs Weaker (13)95.186.8181.8+8.377%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
111-82
111
82
+29
110avg 81
A15/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
109-101
109
101
+8
100avg 81
H22/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
77avg 81
A27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
98-93
98
93
+5
91avg 81
A01/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
102-108
102
108
-6
99avg 81
H07/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
72avg 81
H12/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
76-105
76
105
-29
62avg 81
A14/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
106-75
106
75
+31
104avg 81
H20/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 81
H26/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
68avg 81
A28/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-18
26-18
29-29
20-17
29-17
24-36
33-15
23-33
15-15
24-20
20-18
22-18
19-25
21-15
30-24
28-29
35-24
23-29
19-34
25-21
22-17
22-22
18-23
19-20
19-34
15-29
20-26
22-16
25-10
27-27
25-26
29-12
24-20
33-19
12-21
25-28
22-22
26-20
20-22
17-25
183.7Avg total
94.3Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)89.989.6179.4+0.343%
Season at home (12)90.988.1179.0+2.850%
Season away (11)88.791.2179.9-2.536%
Last 10 (10)94.389.4183.7+4.960%
Last 5 (5)88.487.8176.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)89.791.5181.2-1.850%
vs Similar ◀ (19)85.286.1171.3-0.842%
vs Weaker (5)93.289.6182.8+3.640%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
PerthNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H15/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A07/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H13/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H19/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A21/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A27/01
NBL
99.0Avg total
51.6Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.846.293.0+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.343.889.1+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)48.348.696.9-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)51.647.499.0+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)53.047.0100.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.036.076.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)45.950.296.1-4.225%-
vs Weaker (13)48.342.190.4+6.277%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
62-36
62
36
+26
A15/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H22/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A01/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H07/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
34-63
34
63
-29
A14/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H20/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H26/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A28/01
NBL
92.4Avg total
48.7Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.043.388.3+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.141.586.7+3.660%-
Last 30 away (15)44.945.190.0-0.160%-
Last 10 (10)48.743.792.4+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)47.044.091.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)45.342.788.0+2.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)43.843.287.0+0.753%-
vs Weaker (5)49.244.693.8+4.680%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 97.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.724.9
53.3%
50.9%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.921.4
79.6%
73.8%21.4
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.3
55.5%
50.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.6
39.4%
33.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws25.018.9
75.6%
73.8%18.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WLWWWWWWLW
New Zealand Breakers
LWWLLLWWWW
#3
League position
#5
+7.4
Net rating
+6.0
118.7
Offensive rating
118.9
111.3
Defensive rating
112.9
53.1%
Effective FG%
57.0%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
13.5%
Turnover %
14.4%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.2%
3-point %
39.4%
52.2%
Assist %
56.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.7 · 118.9Defence111.3 · 112.9Shooting53.1% · 57.0%3-point %35.2% · 39.4%Ball care13.5% · 14.4%Off. rebounds31.5% · 25.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Perth   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Perth wins
2
New Zealand Breakers wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ASouth East Melbourne103-91
25/01/24HIllawarra Hawks77-95
21/01/24ASydney104-98
19/01/24HBrisbane Bullets118-86
13/01/24HSouth East Melbourne100-79
07/01/24ANew Zealand Breakers108-102
28/12/23AAdelaide100-82
26/12/23ACairns Taipans105-102
23/12/23AMelbourne United103-109 OT
15/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers89-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24AIllawarra Hawks85-89
26/01/24HTasmania JackJumpers94-88
20/01/24HSouth East Melbourne106-75
14/01/24ASydney76-105
12/01/24HMelbourne United81-82
07/01/24HPerth102-108
01/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers98-93
27/12/23ABrisbane Bullets81-71
22/12/23HSydney109-101
15/12/23ACairns Taipans111-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%75%58%
Points / game94.693.595.8
Allowed / game91.386.696.1
Point differential+3.3+6.9-0.3
Avg total186.0180.1191.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game89.990.988.7
Allowed / game89.688.191.2
Point differential+0.3+2.8-2.5
Avg total179.4179.0179.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2518772%93.687.6+6.1
2 Perth2416867%94.691.3+3.3
3 Tasmania JackJumpers26141254%91.786.1+5.6
4 Illawarra Hawks24121250%90.089.6+0.4
5 Sydney26121446%94.493.4+1.0
6 Brisbane Bullets26121446%87.390.3-3.0
7 New Zealand Breakers23101343%89.989.6+0.3
8 Cairns Taipans26111542%89.391.7-2.4
9 Adelaide26111542%88.392.0-3.6
10 South East Melbourne26101638%88.195.2-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth1623241578
New Zealand Breakers2125251889
← all games of the day
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