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New Zealand Breakers vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 102-108
35-24 23-29 19-34 25-21
Position#5
Record8-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Perth 🏆
Australia
Position#3
Record11-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game91.2
AustraliaNBLRound 14· Spark Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Perth
03 Jan 2027
NEW v PERT
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
NEW 91
PERT99
27 Sep 2025
NEW 78
PERT89
05 Jan 2025
NEW 86
PERT96
19 Oct 2024
NEW 89
PERT85
07 Jan 2024
NEW 102
PERT108
04 Jan 2023
NEW 97
PERT94
03 Dec 2022
NEW 84
PERT92
14 Mar 2022
NEW 102
PERT104
01 May 2021
NEW 86
PERT84
13 Apr 2021
NEW 79
PERT85
03 Nov 2019
NEW 79
PERT84
06 Jan 2019
NEW 97
PERT84
23 Nov 2018
NEW 93
PERT98
01 Dec 2017
NEW 73
PERT89
09 Nov 2017
NEW 88
PERT84
22 Jan 2017
NEW 86
PERT82
15 Dec 2016
NEW 69
PERT57
04 Mar 2016
NEW 72
PERT68
02 Dec 2015
NEW 99
PERT78
13 Nov 2015
NEW 88
PERT80
29 Jan 2015
NEW 90
PERT79
11 Dec 2014
NEW 77
PERT66
13 Dec 2013
NEW 62
PERT71
24 Oct 2013
NEW 89
PERT96
07 Apr 2013
NEW 79
PERT67
01 Feb 2013
NEW 98
PERT81
05 Oct 2012
NEW 72
PERT93
24 Apr 2012
NEW 79
PERT73
12 Apr 2012
NEW 104
PERT98
02 Feb 2012
NEW 83
PERT77
13 Apr 2011
NEW 99
PERT83
07 Apr 2011
NEW 78
PERT101
17 Feb 2011
NEW 82
PERT79
20 Oct 2010
NEW 96
PERT94
10 Dec 2009
NEW 100
PERT106
12 Nov 2009
NEW 83
PERT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
76-94
76
94
-18
69avg 80
A10/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
97-92
97
92
+5
81avg 80
A16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
65-69
65
69
-4
51avg 80
H19/11
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
96-83
96
83
+13
91avg 80
H30/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
79-90
79
90
-11
69avg 80
A02/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
80-97
80
97
-17
70avg 80
H09/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
111-82
111
82
+29
110avg 80
A15/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
109-101
109
101
+8
100avg 80
H22/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
77avg 80
A27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
98-93
98
93
+5
91avg 80
A01/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-34
19-18
22-21
18-21
31-30
25-17
23-19
18-26
12-19
23-17
16-17
14-16
37-17
16-24
24-19
19-23
19-16
26-25
20-25
14-24
24-26
8-23
24-26
24-22
36-18
26-18
29-29
20-17
29-17
24-36
33-15
23-33
15-15
24-20
20-18
22-18
19-25
21-15
30-24
28-29
176.4Avg total
89.2Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)89.689.0178.6+0.647%
Season at home (8)88.588.0176.5+0.550%
Season away (9)90.689.9180.4+0.744%
Last 10 (10)89.287.2176.4+2.060%
Last 5 (5)95.888.8184.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)90.894.8185.5-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (18)85.482.7168.1+2.756%
vs Weaker (8)88.884.2173.0+4.562%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
W
102-95 OT
102
95
+7
no box
A06/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
94-76
94
76
+18
84avg 79
H10/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
88-80
88
80
+8
77avg 79
H16/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
70avg 79
A18/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
114-105
114
105
+9
107avg 79
H01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
82-100
82
100
-18
71avg 79
A08/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
89-88
89
88
+1
76avg 79
H15/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
no box
A23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
105-102
105
102
+3
104avg 79
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
100-82
100
82
+18
92avg 79
A28/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
22-23
21-20
22-20
34-17
18-19
21-22
21-18
25-20
22-23
19-13
22-24
14-16
18-17
18-20
29-23
23-26
27-31
33-26
31-22
18-38
25-20
22-15
17-27
23-26
17-22
28-23
21-17
26-21
24-21
21-21
21-29
26-17
28-26
22-24
29-35
34-29
20-19
28-9
18-25
186.9Avg total
95.6Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.391.2183.4+1.161%
Season at home (9)91.986.6178.4+5.378%
Season away (9)92.795.8188.4-3.144%
Last 10 (10)95.691.3186.9+4.380%
Last 5 (5)95.896.2192.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)96.296.6192.8-0.460%
vs Similar ◀ (15)93.696.0189.6-2.447%
vs Weaker (10)91.587.2178.7+4.370%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
New Zealand BreakersPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A10/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/11
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H30/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A02/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H09/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
62-36
62
36
+26
A15/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H22/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A01/01
NBL
88.1Avg total
45.1Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.642.385.9+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.240.581.7+0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)45.443.889.2+1.659%-
Last 10 (10)45.143.088.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.687.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.844.587.2-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)43.741.184.8+2.656%-
vs Weaker (8)43.844.087.8-0.250%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A06/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H10/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H16/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A18/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A08/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H15/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A28/12
NBL
92.5Avg total
46.8Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.446.592.8-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.143.990.0+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)46.649.195.7-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)46.845.792.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)48.247.896.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.846.090.8-1.280%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)47.449.396.7-1.927%-
vs Weaker (10)45.642.488.0+3.270%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.8
54.9%
50.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.2
36.0%
33.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.915.8
75.6%
73.8%15.8
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.923.4
51.0%
50.9%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.0
30.3%
33.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws26.921.5
79.9%
73.8%21.5
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
WWWWLLWLWL
Perth
WWLWLWWWWW
#5
League position
#3
+1.8
Net rating
+6.7
112.4
Offensive rating
114.2
110.6
Defensive rating
107.5
54.5%
Effective FG%
49.0%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.1%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.0%
3-point %
30.3%
54.8%
Assist %
50.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 114.2Defence110.6 · 107.5Shooting54.5% · 49.0%3-point %36.0% · 30.3%Ball care13.6% · 13.1%Off. rebounds20.8% · 32.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
New Zealand Breakers wins
7
Perth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers98-93
27/12/23ABrisbane Bullets81-71
22/12/23HSydney109-101
15/12/23ACairns Taipans111-82
09/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers80-97
02/12/23ASouth East Melbourne79-90
30/11/23HAdelaide96-83
19/11/23HIllawarra Hawks65-69
16/11/23ATasmania JackJumpers97-92
10/11/23APerth76-94
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23AAdelaide100-82
26/12/23ACairns Taipans105-102
23/12/23AMelbourne United103-109 OT
15/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers89-88
08/12/23AIllawarra Hawks82-100
01/12/23HSydney114-105
18/11/23ABrisbane Bullets79-76
16/11/23HCairns Taipans88-80
10/11/23HNew Zealand Breakers94-76
06/11/23AMelbourne United102-95 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW47%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWLWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game89.688.590.6
Allowed / game89.088.089.9
Point differential+0.6+0.5+0.7
Avg total178.6176.5180.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW61%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%78%44%
Points / game92.391.992.7
Allowed / game91.286.695.8
Point differential+1.1+5.3-3.1
Avg total183.4178.4188.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %11%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2015575%94.887.2+7.6
2 Perth1811761%92.391.2+1.1
3 Tasmania JackJumpers2011955%90.185.0+5.2
4 Sydney1910953%94.993.6+1.3
5 New Zealand Breakers178947%89.689.0+0.6
6 Illawarra Hawks178947%88.088.6-0.6
7 South East Melbourne2091145%88.793.0-4.2
8 Cairns Taipans2191243%89.390.8-1.5
9 Brisbane Bullets1981142%86.288.9-2.8
10 Adelaide1961332%86.192.9-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers35231925102
Perth24293421108
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