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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 18 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 02:30
Scheduled
Position#20
Record5-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game111.5
vs
Position#2
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game123.4
Allowed / game110.0
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Boston Celtics
17 Feb 2027
OKC v BOS
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
OKC104
BOS102
05 Jan 2025
OKC105
BOS92
02 Jan 2024
OKC127
BOS123
03 Jan 2023
OKC150
BOS117
21 Mar 2022
OKC123
BOS132
27 Mar 2021
OKC94
BOS111
09 Feb 2020
OKC111
BOS112
25 Oct 2018
OKC95
BOS101
03 Nov 2017
OKC94
BOS101
11 Dec 2016
OKC99
BOS96
15 Nov 2015
OKC85
BOS100
18 Mar 2015
OKC122
BOS118
05 Jan 2014
OKC119
BOS96
10 Mar 2013
OKC91
BOS79
22 Feb 2012
OKC119
BOS104
07 Nov 2010
OKC83
BOS92
04 Dec 2009
OKC87
BOS105
05 Nov 2008
OKC83
BOS96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
L
126-128
126
128
-2
73avg 102
H08/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
110-113
110
113
-3
15avg 102
A12/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
114-112 OT
114
112
+2
70avg 102
H14/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
89-116
89
116
-27
59avg 102
A16/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
116-104
116
104
+12
105avg 102
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
96-84
96
84
+12
83avg 102
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
W
108-101
108
101
+7
97avg 102
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
125-114
125
114
+11
119avg 102
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#18
L
96-120
96
120
-24
76avg 102
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
98-119
98
119
-21
72avg 102
A01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-35
38-29
20-33
24-31
28-29
21-27
30-23
31-34
25-33
34-28
26-23
15-16
15-33
32-21
22-25
20-37
34-28
31-16
28-36
23-24
24-27
20-21
26-16
26-20
23-20
20-26
34-30
31-25
33-27
34-26
32-32
26-29
30-33
29-32
22-29
15-26
26-35
25-27
24-30
23-27
218.9Avg total
107.8Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)108.0111.5219.5-3.545%
Season at home (6)113.2109.2222.3+4.067%
Season away (5)101.8114.4216.2-12.620%
Last 10 (10)107.8111.1218.9-3.350%
Last 5 (5)104.6107.6212.2-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)104.6113.6218.2-9.020%
vs Similar (11)107.0109.6216.6-2.655%
vs Weaker (14)120.1109.9230.0+10.379%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
100-109
100
109
-9
84avg 108
H02/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
W
124-113
124
113
+11
90avg 108
A08/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
W
144-106
144
106
+38
136avg 108
H11/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#24
W
114-93
114
93
+21
102avg 108
H14/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
W
125-120 OT
125
120
+5
77avg 108
A16/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
113-121
113
121
-8
104avg 108
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
107-103
107
103
+4
96avg 108
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
134-99
134
99
+35
127avg 108
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
119avg 108
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 108
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
31-23
25-33
25-21
32-29
39-33
28-34
25-17
24-20
39-22
41-27
40-37
28-20
26-24
31-33
29-16
34-28
24-32
26-34
31-21
28-27
30-18
30-37
25-39
26-27
24-22
33-24
24-30
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
231.0Avg total
121.1Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)123.4110.0233.4+13.489%
Season at home (6)124.8106.0230.8+18.8100%
Season away (3)120.7118.0238.7+2.767%
Last 10 (10)121.1109.9231.0+11.280%
Last 5 (5)120.8111.6232.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)113.0105.5218.5+7.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)117.3107.7225.0+9.673%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Oklahoma City ThunderBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H08/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A12/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H14/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A16/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
65-44
65
44
+21
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#18
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A01/11
NBA
111.9Avg total
56.6Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.954.8112.7+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.354.8114.1+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)56.554.7111.3+1.847%-
Last 10 (10)56.655.3111.9+1.330%-
Last 5 (5)52.854.8107.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)55.853.6109.4+2.240%-
vs Similar (11)52.954.3107.2-1.427%-
vs Weaker (14)62.655.6118.2+7.171%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H02/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A08/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H11/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#24
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H14/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A16/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
112.5Avg total
60.4Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.152.5111.5+6.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.152.3110.4+5.856%-
Last 30 away (12)60.552.8113.2+7.867%-
Last 10 (10)60.452.1112.5+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)61.651.6113.2+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)55.054.2109.2+0.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)59.752.2111.9+7.565%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.227.8
51.3%
54.0%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.312.7
36.0%
34.8%38.1
🏀 Free throws20.616.2
78.6%
76.3%16.2
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.126.4
53.8%
54.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.415.6
35.1%
34.8%46.8
🏀 Free throws25.018.3
73.2%
76.3%18.3
They take 93.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWWWWLWLL
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWWWL
#20
League position
#2
-0.2
Net rating
+7.6
99.0
Offensive rating
105.3
99.2
Defensive rating
97.7
52.3%
Effective FG%
53.3%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.0%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.0%
3-point %
35.1%
61.5%
Assist %
65.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 105.3Defence99.2 · 97.7Shooting52.3% · 53.3%3-point %36.0% · 35.1%Ball care14.0% · 13.0%Off. rebounds28.7% · 21.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AHouston Rockets98-119
29/10/26ADallas Mavericks96-120
27/10/26HPhoenix Suns125-114
25/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers108-101
23/10/26HDenver Nuggets96-84
21/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs116-104
16/10/26AHouston Rockets89-116
14/10/26HIndiana Pacers114-112 OT
12/10/26AAtlanta Hawks110-113
08/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks126-128
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99
23/10/26HNew York Knicks107-103
20/10/26ADetroit Pistons113-121
16/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers125-120 OT
14/10/26HCharlotte Hornets114-93
11/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers144-106
08/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers124-113
02/05/26HPhiladelphia 76ers100-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game108.0113.2101.8
Allowed / game111.5109.2114.4
Point differential-3.5+4.0-12.6
Avg total219.5222.3216.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game123.4124.8120.7
Allowed / game110.0106.0118.0
Point differential+13.4+18.8+2.7
Avg total233.4230.8238.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %22%17%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
2 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
15 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
16 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
17 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
18 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
22 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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