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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 94-111
25-21 27-26 28-29 14-35
Position#27
Record20-27
FormLLWWL
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game112.1
vs
Position#16
Record22-25
FormLWLLW
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game111.5
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Boston Celtics
17 Feb 2027
OKC v BOS
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
OKC104
BOS102
05 Jan 2025
OKC105
BOS92
02 Jan 2024
OKC127
BOS123
03 Jan 2023
OKC150
BOS117
21 Mar 2022
OKC123
BOS132
27 Mar 2021
OKC94
BOS111
09 Feb 2020
OKC111
BOS112
25 Oct 2018
OKC95
BOS101
03 Nov 2017
OKC94
BOS101
11 Dec 2016
OKC99
BOS96
15 Nov 2015
OKC85
BOS100
18 Mar 2015
OKC122
BOS118
05 Jan 2014
OKC119
BOS96
10 Mar 2013
OKC91
BOS79
22 Feb 2012
OKC119
BOS104
07 Nov 2010
OKC83
BOS92
04 Dec 2009
OKC87
BOS105
05 Nov 2008
OKC83
BOS96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
78-87
78
87
-9
58avg 97
A04/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
107-102
107
102
+5
97avg 97
A05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
116-108
116
108
+8
113avg 97
H12/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
97-119
97
119
-22
92avg 97
H13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
128-122
128
122
+6
132avg 97
H14/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
102-123
102
123
-21
88avg 97
A17/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
93-116
93
116
-23
72avg 97
A18/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
114-112
114
112
+2
105avg 97
A21/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
112-103
112
103
+9
110avg 97
A23/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
107-116
107
116
-9
96avg 97
H25/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
19-24
19-26
17-12
27-24
23-37
31-23
26-18
35-19
27-28
27-27
27-34
31-22
23-34
24-32
19-31
28-31
27-31
35-38
38-22
28-42
35-29
16-31
23-21
21-31
20-30
26-30
26-25
31-22
35-40
24-23
24-27
25-22
32-28
26-26
29-27
21-26
32-23
20-33
34-34
216.2Avg total
105.4Scored
110.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)106.6112.1218.6-5.543%
Season at home (23)107.1115.7222.8-8.535%
Season away (24)106.0108.6214.6-2.650%
Last 10 (10)105.4110.8216.2-5.450%
Last 5 (5)105.6114.0219.6-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)106.2111.9218.1-5.738%
vs Similar (4)110.2109.0219.2+1.275%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
132-125
132
125
+7
131avg 103
H05/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
109-121
109
121
-12
93avg 103
A12/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
134-107
134
107
+27
135avg 103
A15/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
109-117
109
117
-8
101avg 103
H16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
L
110-117
110
117
-7
94avg 103
A18/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
96-107
96
107
-11
85avg 103
H19/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
112-96
112
96
+16
108avg 103
H21/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
126-132 OT
126
132
-6
121avg 103
A23/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
119-121
119
121
-2
107avg 103
A24/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
122-114
122
114
+8
118avg 103
A26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-34
35-36
35-22
31-33
29-23
26-35
31-30
23-33
38-34
28-19
38-19
30-35
22-20
31-34
26-23
30-40
18-26
20-29
36-27
36-35
22-28
23-27
36-27
15-25
27-31
29-17
33-25
23-23
30-24
35-36
21-34
31-23
30-35
29-35
27-30
33-21
32-26
28-29
43-34
19-25
232.6Avg total
116.9Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)111.6111.5223.1+0.147%
Season at home (21)111.8109.3221.0+2.562%
Season away (26)111.5113.3224.8-1.835%
Last 10 (10)116.9115.7232.6+1.240%
Last 5 (5)115.0114.0229.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)111.8115.2227.0-3.538%
vs Similar (16)113.1112.0225.1+1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)110.8108.5219.3+2.333%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
Oklahoma City ThunderBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A04/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H12/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H14/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A17/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A18/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A21/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A23/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H25/03
NBA
111.1Avg total
54.3Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.055.1110.1-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.455.6111.0-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)54.554.6109.1-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)54.356.8111.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)56.058.6114.6-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)54.354.8109.1-0.450%-
vs Similar (4)59.057.2116.2+1.875%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H05/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A12/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A15/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A18/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H19/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H21/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A23/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A24/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A26/03
NBA
114.1Avg total
56.3Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.456.0111.4-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.855.7113.5+2.146%-
Last 30 away (17)53.656.3109.9-2.735%-
Last 10 (10)56.357.8114.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)57.057.6114.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)54.557.8112.2-3.212%-
vs Similar (16)57.456.4113.8+1.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)51.352.8104.2-1.533%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 105.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.926.3
49.7%
52.8%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.912.5
36.9%
36.6%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.915.3
76.9%
77.7%15.3
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 116.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.628.2
55.7%
52.8%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.815.7
40.5%
36.6%47.1
🏀 Free throws18.213.4
73.6%
77.7%13.4
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWLLWLWWL
Boston Celtics
WLLWLLLWLW
#27
League position
#16
-5.4
Net rating
+1.2
105.2
Offensive rating
116.6
110.6
Defensive rating
115.4
51.9%
Effective FG%
57.9%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
15.0%
Turnover %
12.7%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.9%
3-point %
40.5%
55.4%
Assist %
57.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 116.6Defence110.6 · 115.4Shooting51.9% · 57.9%3-point %36.9% · 40.5%Ball care15.0% · 12.7%Off. rebounds23.5% · 24.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/21HMemphis Grizzlies107-116
23/03/21AMinnesota Timberwolves112-103
21/03/21AHouston Rockets114-112
18/03/21AAtlanta Hawks93-116
17/03/21AChicago Bulls102-123
14/03/21HMemphis Grizzlies128-122
13/03/21HNew York Knicks97-119
12/03/21HDallas Mavericks116-108
05/03/21ASan Antonio Spurs107-102
04/03/21ADallas Mavericks78-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/21AMilwaukee Bucks122-114
24/03/21AMilwaukee Bucks119-121
23/03/21AMemphis Grizzlies126-132 OT
21/03/21HOrlando Magic112-96
19/03/21HSacramento Kings96-107
18/03/21ACleveland Cavaliers110-117
16/03/21HUtah Jazz109-117
15/03/21AHouston Rockets134-107
12/03/21ABrooklyn Nets109-121
05/03/21HToronto Raptors132-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeLWLWL35%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472324
Win %43%35%50%
Points / game106.6107.1106.0
Allowed / game112.1115.7108.6
Point differential-5.5-8.5-2.6
Avg total218.6222.8214.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%4%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)57% (7)75% (8)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWLLLW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472126
Win %47%62%35%
Points / game111.6111.8111.5
Allowed / game111.5109.3113.3
Point differential+0.1+2.5-1.8
Avg total223.1221.0224.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)75% (4)42% (12)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz47361177%116.9107.7+9.2
2 Philadelphia 76ers47341372%114.6109.0+5.7
3 Brooklyn Nets48331569%119.1114.5+4.6
4 Los Angeles Lakers50331766%111.0105.9+5.1
5 Phoenix Suns48301862%112.9107.8+5.1
6 Los Angeles Clippers49301961%113.8109.0+4.8
7 Denver Nuggets48291960%115.8110.2+5.7
8 Milwaukee Bucks48291960%118.7113.2+5.5
9 Portland Trail Blazers49282157%113.9115.8-1.9
10 Dallas Mavericks46252154%112.7111.2+1.5
11 New York Knicks50272354%104.8103.5+1.3
12 Memphis Grizzlies46242252%112.2110.8+1.4
13 Atlanta Hawks49252451%112.7111.1+1.6
14 Charlotte Hornets48242450%112.0112.7-0.8
15 San Antonio Spurs46232350%109.1110.9-1.8
16 Golden State Warriors49242549%112.5113.4-1.0
17 Miami Heat48232548%106.4108.1-1.7
18 Boston Celtics47222547%111.6111.5+0.1
19 Chicago Bulls48222646%112.5113.1-0.6
20 New Orleans Pelicans46212546%115.7114.5+1.2
21 Sacramento Kings49222745%114.7118.7-4.0
22 Indiana Pacers47212645%112.6112.7-0.1
23 Oklahoma City Thunder47202743%106.6112.1-5.5
24 Toronto Raptors48202842%112.0112.0+0.1
25 Cleveland Cavaliers49193039%103.3110.9-7.6
26 Washington Wizards47173036%113.4118.3-4.9
27 Orlando Magic49173235%105.4111.8-6.4
28 Houston Rockets49163333%107.8112.4-4.7
29 Detroit Pistons49143529%105.9109.3-3.4
30 Minnesota Timberwolves49123724%109.4117.3-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder2527281494
Boston Celtics21262935111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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