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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 18 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 02:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record8-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game105.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#2
Record9-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game104.0
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Boston Celtics
17 Feb 2027
OKC v BOS
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
OKC104
BOS102
05 Jan 2025
OKC105
BOS92
02 Jan 2024
OKC127
BOS123
03 Jan 2023
OKC150
BOS117
21 Mar 2022
OKC123
BOS132
27 Mar 2021
OKC94
BOS111
09 Feb 2020
OKC111
BOS112
25 Oct 2018
OKC95
BOS101
03 Nov 2017
OKC94
BOS101
11 Dec 2016
OKC99
BOS96
15 Nov 2015
OKC85
BOS100
18 Mar 2015
OKC122
BOS118
05 Jan 2014
OKC119
BOS96
10 Mar 2013
OKC91
BOS79
22 Feb 2012
OKC119
BOS104
07 Nov 2010
OKC83
BOS92
04 Dec 2009
OKC87
BOS105
05 Nov 2008
OKC83
BOS96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#15
W
96-84
96
84
+12
83avg 102
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
108-101
108
101
+7
97avg 102
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
125-114
125
114
+11
119avg 102
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
96-120
96
120
-24
76avg 102
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
98-119
98
119
-21
72avg 102
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
117-112
117
112
+5
95avg 102
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
124-116
124
116
+8
116avg 102
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
W
128-97
128
97
+31
117avg 102
A07/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
114-75
114
75
+39
114avg 102
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
103-123
103
123
-20
93avg 102
A11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
20-21
26-16
26-20
23-20
20-26
34-30
31-25
33-27
34-26
32-32
26-29
30-33
29-32
22-29
15-26
26-35
25-27
24-30
23-27
26-30
33-18
31-36
27-28
37-20
23-24
28-30
36-42
35-28
36-21
27-27
30-21
25-19
32-17
33-23
24-16
27-26
32-33
21-38
23-26
217.0Avg total
110.9Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)111.4105.9217.3+5.573%
Season at home (5)113.498.0211.4+15.4100%
Season away (6)109.7112.5222.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)110.9106.1217.0+4.870%
Last 5 (5)117.2104.6221.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)116.0104.0220.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (13)109.9113.5223.5-3.646%
vs Weaker (16)117.1104.4221.5+12.888%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#13
W
107-103
107
103
+4
96avg 107
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
134-99
134
99
+35
127avg 107
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
119avg 107
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 107
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
93-109
93
109
-16
78avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
109-102
109
102
+7
102avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
119-80
119
80
+39
123avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
117-97
117
97
+20
109avg 107
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
123-101
123
101
+22
117avg 107
A11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
24-22
33-24
24-30
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
24-23
31-27
22-24
31-23
29-29
21-28
23-25
20-27
28-14
34-27
25-38
22-23
40-20
30-19
26-18
23-23
25-27
33-18
33-29
26-23
30-23
32-28
29-31
32-19
218.3Avg total
116.0Scored
102.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)115.7104.0219.7+11.782%
Season at home (5)120.0107.8227.8+12.2100%
Season away (6)112.2100.8213.0+11.367%
Last 10 (10)116.0102.3218.3+13.790%
Last 5 (5)112.297.8210.0+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)109.3107.9217.1+1.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)115.7104.8220.5+10.974%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
Oklahoma City ThunderBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#15
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
W
71-49
71
49
+22
A07/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A11/11
NBA
108.0Avg total
57.0Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.053.1111.1+4.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.151.8108.9+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)58.854.2113.0+4.656%-
Last 10 (10)57.051.0108.0+6.050%-
Last 5 (5)61.247.2108.4+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)65.044.0109.0+21.0100%-
vs Similar (13)56.654.2110.8+2.546%-
vs Weaker (16)58.752.8111.4+5.962%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#13
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
70-39
70
39
+31
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A11/11
NBA
110.3Avg total
60.7Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.851.5110.3+7.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.052.9110.9+5.150%-
Last 30 away (14)59.849.9109.7+9.971%-
Last 10 (10)60.749.6110.3+11.180%-
Last 5 (5)60.446.6107.0+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)54.052.6106.6+1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)60.351.2111.5+9.165%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 107.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.627.1
48.7%
54.0%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.2
34.0%
35.0%33.6
🏀 Free throws23.019.6
85.2%
76.8%19.6
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.6
53.4%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.915.6
35.5%
35.0%46.8
🏀 Free throws23.017.3
75.2%
76.8%17.3
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWWLLWWW
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWWWW
#8
League position
#2
-0.6
Net rating
+4.5
103.1
Offensive rating
111.2
103.7
Defensive rating
106.7
49.6%
Effective FG%
53.3%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.1%
Turnover %
13.3%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.0%
3-point %
35.5%
61.4%
Assist %
64.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 111.2Defence103.7 · 106.7Shooting49.6% · 53.3%3-point %34.0% · 35.5%Ball care13.1% · 13.3%Off. rebounds24.0% · 26.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APortland Trail Blazers103-123
08/11/26HWashington Wizards114-75
07/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies128-97
05/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers124-116
03/11/26ACleveland Cavaliers117-112
01/11/26AHouston Rockets98-119
29/10/26ADallas Mavericks96-120
27/10/26HPhoenix Suns125-114
25/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers108-101
23/10/26HDenver Nuggets96-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APhiladelphia 76ers123-101
09/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks117-97
07/11/26ACharlotte Hornets119-80
05/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks109-102
03/11/26AHouston Rockets93-109
01/11/26AOrlando Magic108-97
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99
23/10/26HNew York Knicks107-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game111.4113.4109.7
Allowed / game105.998.0112.5
Point differential+5.5+15.4-2.8
Avg total217.3211.4222.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game115.7120.0112.2
Allowed / game104.0107.8100.8
Point differential+11.7+12.2+11.3
Avg total219.7227.8213.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%40%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
2 Boston Celtics119282%115.7104.0+11.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 New York Knicks106460%110.6102.3+8.3
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
16 Toronto Raptors105550%116.6113.3+3.3
17 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%116.5115.0+1.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Washington Wizards114736%108.1113.4-5.3
22 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
23 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
24 Indiana Pacers113827%111.4115.2-3.8
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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