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Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 121-119
35-30 35-29 30-27 21-33
Position#5
Record28-17
FormWWWWW
Points / game119.2
Allowed / game113.1
vs
Position#16
Record21-24
FormLLLWL
Points / game111.2
Allowed / game111.3
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics
08 Nov 2026
MIL v BOS
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
MIL101
BOS133
02 Mar 2026
MIL81
BOS108
11 Dec 2025
MIL116
BOS101
10 Nov 2024
MIL107
BOS113
09 Apr 2024
MIL104
BOS91
11 Jan 2024
MIL135
BOS102
30 Mar 2023
MIL99
BOS140
14 Feb 2023
MIL131
BOS125
13 May 2022
MIL95
BOS108
09 May 2022
MIL108
BOS116
07 May 2022
MIL103
BOS101
07 Apr 2022
MIL127
BOS121
25 Dec 2021
MIL117
BOS113
26 Mar 2021
MIL114
BOS122
24 Mar 2021
MIL121
BOS119
31 Jul 2020
MIL119
BOS112
12 Mar 2020
MIL v BOS
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
MIL128
BOS123
08 May 2019
MIL116
BOS91
30 Apr 2019
MIL123
BOS102
28 Apr 2019
MIL90
BOS112
21 Feb 2019
MIL98
BOS97
26 Apr 2018
MIL97
BOS86
22 Apr 2018
MIL104
BOS102
20 Apr 2018
MIL116
BOS92
03 Apr 2018
MIL106
BOS102
26 Oct 2017
MIL89
BOS96
28 Jan 2017
MIL108
BOS112
09 Feb 2016
MIL112
BOS111
10 Nov 2015
MIL83
BOS99
15 Apr 2015
MIL100
BOS105
07 Feb 2015
MIL96
BOS93
10 Feb 2014
MIL86
BOS102
30 Nov 2013
MIL92
BOS85
01 Dec 2012
MIL91
BOS88
10 Nov 2012
MIL92
BOS96
22 Mar 2012
MIL91
BOS100
06 Mar 2011
MIL83
BOS89
10 Apr 2010
MIL90
BOS105
09 Mar 2010
MIL86
BOS84
15 Mar 2009
MIL86
BOS77
15 Nov 2008
MIL97
BOS102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
129-125
129
125
+4
117avg 112
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
105-100
105
100
+5
97avg 112
H28/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
97-128
97
128
-31
86avg 112
H03/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
112-111
112
111
+1
101avg 112
A05/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
134-101
134
101
+33
134avg 112
H12/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
125-119
125
119
+6
123avg 112
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
133-122
133
122
+11
131avg 112
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
109-105 OT
109
105
+4
97avg 112
A17/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
120-113
120
113
+7
114avg 112
H21/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
140-113
140
113
+27
145avg 112
H23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-31
34-37
34-35
26-22
27-23
26-25
24-33
28-19
23-37
27-27
30-35
17-29
31-17
30-34
23-33
28-27
32-27
36-24
29-27
37-23
36-33
28-32
30-30
31-24
32-23
37-32
36-34
28-33
18-25
13-20
34-29
28-19
26-33
31-17
31-34
32-29
48-26
35-34
27-34
30-19
234.1Avg total
120.4Scored
113.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)119.2113.1232.4+6.162%
Season at home (24)119.2111.0230.2+8.271%
Season away (21)119.2115.5234.8+3.752%
Last 10 (10)120.4113.7234.1+6.790%
Last 5 (5)125.4114.4239.8+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)116.3114.7231.0+1.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)121.5113.1234.5+8.474%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#18
W
111-110
111
110
+1
105avg 103
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
117-112
117
112
+5
110avg 103
H03/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
132-125
132
125
+7
131avg 103
H05/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
109-121
109
121
-12
93avg 103
A12/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
134-107
134
107
+27
135avg 103
A15/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
109-117
109
117
-8
101avg 103
H16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
L
110-117
110
117
-7
94avg 103
A18/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
96-107
96
107
-11
85avg 103
H19/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
112-96
112
96
+16
108avg 103
H21/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
126-132 OT
126
132
-6
121avg 103
A23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-28
27-27
19-21
32-34
35-32
27-31
26-26
29-23
31-34
35-36
35-22
31-33
29-23
26-35
31-30
23-33
38-34
28-19
38-19
30-35
22-20
31-34
26-23
30-40
18-26
20-29
36-27
36-35
22-28
23-27
36-27
15-25
27-31
29-17
33-25
23-23
30-24
35-36
21-34
31-23
230.0Avg total
115.6Scored
114.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)111.2111.3222.5-0.047%
Season at home (21)111.8109.3221.0+2.562%
Season away (24)110.8113.0223.8-2.233%
Last 10 (10)115.6114.4230.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)110.6113.8224.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)109.0115.6224.6-6.629%
vs Similar (16)113.1112.0225.1+1.150%
vs Weaker (7)115.1107.7222.9+7.443%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
Milwaukee BucksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H28/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
50-64
50
64
-14
H03/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A05/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H12/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A17/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H21/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H23/03
NBA
116.2Avg total
60.5Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.057.0117.0+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.855.4118.2+7.475%-
Last 30 away (14)56.858.7115.5-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)60.555.7116.2+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)60.855.0115.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)56.255.6111.8+0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)62.257.7119.9+4.563%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#18
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H03/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H05/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A12/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A15/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A18/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H19/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H21/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A23/03
NBA
113.7Avg total
56.6Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.655.2110.8+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.955.4114.2+3.550%-
Last 30 away (16)52.855.1107.8-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)56.657.1113.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)51.454.4105.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)52.755.1107.9-2.414%-
vs Similar (16)57.456.4113.8+1.056%-
vs Weaker (7)54.452.6107.0+1.943%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 120.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.230.9
56.0%
52.8%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.013.9
37.6%
36.6%41.7
🏀 Free throws20.916.9
80.9%
77.7%16.9
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 115.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.129.3
55.2%
52.8%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.614.2
39.9%
36.6%42.6
🏀 Free throws20.314.4
70.9%
77.7%14.4
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWWWWLWW
Boston Celtics
LWLLLWLWWW
#5
League position
#16
+6.3
Net rating
+1.2
113.0
Offensive rating
116.4
106.7
Defensive rating
115.2
56.1%
Effective FG%
57.0%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
13.4%
Turnover %
12.8%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.6%
3-point %
39.9%
57.4%
Assist %
58.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 116.4Defence106.7 · 115.2Shooting56.1% · 57.0%3-point %37.6% · 39.9%Ball care13.4% · 12.8%Off. rebounds20.9% · 27.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
3
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/21HIndiana Pacers140-113
21/03/21HSan Antonio Spurs120-113
17/03/21APhiladelphia 76ers109-105 OT
15/03/21AWashington Wizards133-122
14/03/21AWashington Wizards125-119
12/03/21HNew York Knicks134-101
05/03/21AMemphis Grizzlies112-111
03/03/21HDenver Nuggets97-128
28/02/21HLos Angeles Clippers105-100
26/02/21HNew Orleans Pelicans129-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/21AMemphis Grizzlies126-132 OT
21/03/21HOrlando Magic112-96
19/03/21HSacramento Kings96-107
18/03/21ACleveland Cavaliers110-117
16/03/21HUtah Jazz109-117
15/03/21AHouston Rockets134-107
12/03/21ABrooklyn Nets109-121
05/03/21HToronto Raptors132-125
03/03/21HLos Angeles Clippers117-112
01/03/21HWashington Wizards111-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452421
Win %62%71%52%
Points / game119.2119.2119.2
Allowed / game113.1111.0115.5
Point differential+6.1+8.2+3.7
Avg total232.4230.2234.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%54%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)100% (3)29% (7)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL47%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452124
Win %47%62%33%
Points / game111.2111.8110.8
Allowed / game111.3109.3113.0
Point differential-0.0+2.5-2.2
Avg total222.5221.0223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)75% (4)45% (11)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz45341176%116.9108.0+8.9
2 Philadelphia 76ers46331372%114.8109.2+5.6
3 Brooklyn Nets46321470%119.9114.5+5.4
4 Los Angeles Lakers48321667%111.5106.3+5.2
5 Phoenix Suns46291763%113.2107.9+5.2
6 Milwaukee Bucks45281762%119.2113.1+6.1
7 Denver Nuggets46281861%116.0109.7+6.3
8 Los Angeles Clippers47281960%113.7109.6+4.0
9 Portland Trail Blazers47262155%113.7115.9-2.2
10 Dallas Mavericks44242055%112.8111.4+1.4
11 Memphis Grizzlies44232152%112.0110.7+1.3
12 New York Knicks48252352%104.9103.7+1.2
13 San Antonio Spurs43222151%109.6110.8-1.3
14 Atlanta Hawks47242351%112.6111.2+1.4
15 Golden State Warriors47242351%112.4112.6-0.2
16 Miami Heat46232350%106.1107.7-1.6
17 Chicago Bulls46222448%113.1113.2-0.1
18 Charlotte Hornets46222448%111.8113.2-1.4
19 New Orleans Pelicans45212447%115.8114.5+1.3
20 Boston Celtics45212447%111.2111.3-0.0
21 Indiana Pacers46202643%112.7113.1-0.5
22 Oklahoma City Thunder46202643%106.5112.0-5.4
23 Sacramento Kings47202743%114.3118.9-4.6
24 Toronto Raptors46192741%111.8112.2-0.4
25 Cleveland Cavaliers47182938%103.7111.5-7.8
26 Washington Wizards45162936%113.9119.2-5.3
27 Orlando Magic47163134%105.2111.8-6.5
28 Houston Rockets46153133%107.7112.5-4.8
29 Detroit Pistons47143330%106.1109.3-3.2
30 Minnesota Timberwolves46113524%109.6117.2-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks35353021121
Boston Celtics30292733119
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