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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 103-112
22-25 28-32 26-26 27-29
Position#25
Record11-34
FormLWLWL
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game117.3
vs
Position#27
Record19-26
FormLWLLW
Points / game106.4
Allowed / game112.2
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Mar 2027
MIN v OKC
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
MIN v OKC
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
MIN123
OKC111
19 Dec 2025
MIN112
OKC107
26 May 2025
MIN126
OKC128
24 May 2025
MIN143
OKC101
23 Feb 2025
MIN123
OKC130
13 Feb 2025
MIN116
OKC101
20 Jan 2024
MIN97
OKC102
28 Nov 2023
MIN106
OKC103
14 Apr 2023
MIN120
OKC95
03 Dec 2022
MIN128
OKC135
19 Oct 2022
MIN115
OKC108
09 Mar 2022
MIN132
OKC102
05 Jan 2022
MIN98
OKC90
22 Mar 2021
MIN103
OKC112
25 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC113
13 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC117
07 Apr 2019
MIN126
OKC132
05 Mar 2019
MIN131
OKC120
05 Oct 2018
MIN101
OKC113
10 Jan 2018
MIN104
OKC88
27 Oct 2017
MIN119
OKC116
11 Apr 2017
MIN98
OKC100
13 Jan 2017
MIN96
OKC86
27 Jan 2016
MIN123
OKC126
12 Jan 2016
MIN96
OKC101
07 Oct 2015
MIN99
OKC122
15 Apr 2015
MIN113
OKC138
12 Dec 2014
MIN92
OKC111
04 Jan 2014
MIN111
OKC115
01 Nov 2013
MIN100
OKC81
29 Mar 2013
MIN101
OKC93
20 Dec 2012
MIN99
OKC93
14 Apr 2012
MIN110
OKC115
26 Dec 2011
MIN100
OKC104
26 Jan 2011
MIN117
OKC118
08 Dec 2010
MIN103
OKC111
21 Feb 2010
MIN107
OKC109
20 Jan 2010
MIN92
OKC94
22 Mar 2009
MIN90
OKC97
07 Jan 2009
MIN129
OKC87
08 Oct 2008
MIN88
OKC82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
126-133 OT
126
133
-7
A25/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
112-128
112
128
-16
A28/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
99-118
99
118
-19
H01/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
102-135
102
135
-33
H04/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
135-105
135
105
+30
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
121-125
121
125
-4
H14/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
114-112
114
112
+2
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
121-137
121
137
-16
A17/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
123-119
123
119
+4
A19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
101-113
101
113
-12
A20/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-32
24-36
32-28
29-23
29-27
23-27
29-44
31-30
26-30
22-23
28-33
23-32
33-36
23-26
20-36
26-37
27-34
40-26
38-22
30-23
24-33
33-33
37-27
27-32
24-20
23-29
29-23
38-40
30-31
40-40
24-31
27-35
25-25
28-33
30-33
40-28
29-34
25-30
24-19
23-30
237.9Avg total
115.4Scored
122.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)109.7117.3227.1-7.624%
Season at home (21)106.7114.4221.1-7.724%
Season away (24)112.4119.9232.3-7.525%
Last 10 (10)115.4122.5237.9-7.130%
Last 5 (5)116.0121.2237.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)111.7118.6230.3-7.024%
vs Similar (7)105.6113.6219.1-8.014%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)112.0111.5223.5+0.550%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
118-109
118
109
+9
H27/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
96-126
96
126
-30
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A04/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
107-102
107
102
+5
A05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
116-108
116
108
+8
H12/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
97-119
97
119
-22
H13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
128-122
128
122
+6
H14/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
102-123
102
123
-21
A17/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
93-116
93
116
-23
A18/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
114-112
114
112
+2
A21/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-33
32-22
33-25
22-29
20-38
23-27
26-34
27-27
23-25
19-24
19-26
17-12
27-24
23-37
31-23
26-18
35-19
27-28
27-27
27-34
31-22
23-34
24-32
19-31
28-31
27-31
35-38
38-22
28-42
35-29
16-31
23-21
21-31
20-30
26-30
26-25
31-22
35-40
24-23
24-27
217.3Avg total
104.9Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)106.4112.2218.6-5.842%
Season at home (22)107.1115.6222.8-8.536%
Season away (23)105.7108.9214.6-3.148%
Last 10 (10)104.9112.4217.3-7.550%
Last 5 (5)106.8118.4225.2-11.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)105.7112.7218.4-7.035%
vs Similar (4)110.2109.0219.2+1.275%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
Minnesota TimberwolvesOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A25/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A28/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H01/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H04/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H14/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A17/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A20/03
NBA
116.7Avg total
56.2Scored
60.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.759.9114.6-5.217%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.755.6108.3-2.923%-
Last 30 away (17)56.363.2119.5-6.912%-
Last 10 (10)56.260.5116.7-4.310%-
Last 5 (5)56.261.6117.8-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)54.661.0115.6-6.414%-
vs Similar (7)54.654.0108.6+0.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)56.569.0125.5-12.50%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H27/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
43-65
43
65
-22
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A04/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H12/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H14/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A17/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A18/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A21/03
NBA
112.8Avg total
53.9Scored
58.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.856.3111.1-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.656.1111.6-0.550%-
Last 30 away (16)54.156.5110.6-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)53.958.9112.8-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)55.862.4118.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)54.256.2110.3-2.042%-
vs Similar (4)59.057.2116.2+1.875%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.830.4
55.5%
52.8%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.611.7
32.9%
36.6%35.1
🏀 Free throws25.319.5
77.1%
77.7%19.5
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 104.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.626.6
52.6%
52.8%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.612.1
34.0%
36.6%36.3
🏀 Free throws20.315.4
75.9%
77.7%15.4
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLWLWLLLL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLLWLWWLLW
#25
League position
#27
-6.6
Net rating
-7.5
107.8
Offensive rating
105.4
114.5
Defensive rating
113.0
53.0%
Effective FG%
51.9%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
14.3%
Turnover %
14.7%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.9%
3-point %
34.0%
58.0%
Assist %
56.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 105.4Defence114.5 · 113.0Shooting53.0% · 51.9%3-point %32.9% · 34.0%Ball care14.3% · 14.7%Off. rebounds22.3% · 22.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/21APhoenix Suns101-113
19/03/21APhoenix Suns123-119
17/03/21ALos Angeles Lakers121-137
15/03/21HPortland Trail Blazers114-112
14/03/21HPortland Trail Blazers121-125
12/03/21ANew Orleans Pelicans135-105
04/03/21HCharlotte Hornets102-135
01/03/21HPhoenix Suns99-118
28/02/21AWashington Wizards112-128
25/02/21AChicago Bulls126-133 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/21AHouston Rockets114-112
18/03/21AAtlanta Hawks93-116
17/03/21AChicago Bulls102-123
14/03/21HMemphis Grizzlies128-122
13/03/21HNew York Knicks97-119
12/03/21HDallas Mavericks116-108
05/03/21ASan Antonio Spurs107-102
04/03/21ADallas Mavericks78-87
28/02/21HDenver Nuggets96-126
27/02/21HAtlanta Hawks118-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL24%
HomeLLLLW24%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452124
Win %24%24%25%
Points / game109.7106.7112.4
Allowed / game117.3114.4119.9
Point differential-7.6-7.7-7.5
Avg total227.1221.1232.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%10%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)29% (7)50% (10)
Overtime %9%10%8%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW42%
HomeWLWLW36%
AwayLWLLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %42%36%48%
Points / game106.4107.1105.7
Allowed / game112.2115.6108.9
Point differential-5.8-8.5-3.1
Avg total218.6222.8214.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%5%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)57% (7)75% (8)
Overtime %7%5%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz44331175%116.8108.3+8.5
2 Philadelphia 76ers45321371%114.9109.4+5.5
3 Brooklyn Nets45311469%120.0114.6+5.4
4 Los Angeles Lakers47321568%111.5105.8+5.6
5 Phoenix Suns45281762%113.2108.1+5.1
6 Milwaukee Bucks44271761%118.8113.1+5.6
7 Denver Nuggets45271860%116.1109.9+6.2
8 Los Angeles Clippers46271959%113.6109.6+3.9
9 Portland Trail Blazers46262057%113.7115.9-2.1
10 Dallas Mavericks44242055%112.8111.4+1.4
11 San Antonio Spurs42222052%109.9111.1-1.2
12 Atlanta Hawks46242252%112.6111.0+1.6
13 Golden State Warriors46242252%112.8112.7+0.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies43222151%111.6110.4+1.2
15 Miami Heat45232251%106.3107.6-1.4
16 New York Knicks47242351%104.3103.5+0.8
17 Chicago Bulls45222349%113.5113.0+0.5
18 Boston Celtics44212348%110.9110.8+0.1
19 Charlotte Hornets45212447%112.0113.6-1.5
20 New Orleans Pelicans44202445%115.5114.6+0.9
21 Indiana Pacers44192543%112.6112.5+0.0
22 Sacramento Kings47202743%114.3118.9-4.6
23 Toronto Raptors45192642%112.1112.0+0.0
24 Oklahoma City Thunder45192642%106.4112.2-5.8
25 Cleveland Cavaliers47182938%103.7111.5-7.8
26 Washington Wizards44162836%113.9118.9-5.0
27 Orlando Magic46163035%105.4111.8-6.4
28 Houston Rockets45143131%107.5112.8-5.3
29 Detroit Pistons46143230%106.0109.1-3.2
30 Minnesota Timberwolves45113424%109.7117.3-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves22282627103
Oklahoma City Thunder25322629112
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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