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Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 104-116
24-29 24-28 36-28 20-31
Position#9
Record37-31
FormWWWLL
Points / game113.4
Allowed / game111.3
vs
Position#1
Record49-19
FormWWWLW
Points / game116.1
Allowed / game112.1
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks
26 Mar 2027
PHX v MIL
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
PHX105
MIL108
24 Mar 2025
PHX108
MIL106
06 Feb 2024
PHX114
MIL106
14 Mar 2023
PHX104
MIL116
10 Feb 2022
PHX131
MIL107
17 Jul 2021
PHX119
MIL123
08 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL108
06 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL105
10 Feb 2021
PHX125
MIL124
08 Mar 2020
PHX140
MIL131
04 Mar 2019
PHX114
MIL105
22 Nov 2017
PHX107
MIL113
04 Feb 2017
PHX112
MIL137
20 Dec 2015
PHX95
MIL101
15 Dec 2014
PHX94
MIL96
04 Jan 2014
PHX116
MIL100
17 Jan 2013
PHX94
MIL98
08 Jan 2012
PHX109
MIL93
02 Feb 2011
PHX92
MIL77
11 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIL101
09 Dec 2008
PHX125
MIL110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
120-109
120
109
+11
119avg 107
H15/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
107-116
107
116
-9
100avg 107
H17/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
124-115
124
115
+9
118avg 107
H25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
101-104
101
104
-3
89avg 107
A26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
105-91
105
91
+14
103avg 107
A02/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
125-104
125
104
+21
122avg 107
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
130-126
130
126
+4
125avg 107
A05/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
132-101
132
101
+31
134avg 107
H09/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
119-128
119
128
-9
114avg 107
H12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
112-123
112
123
-11
102avg 107
A14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
35-29
28-28
30-23
23-28
29-26
32-37
23-25
29-30
36-30
29-27
30-28
26-33
20-20
28-22
27-29
27-22
30-19
22-32
26-18
40-29
20-35
34-21
31-19
31-25
28-37
37-33
34-31
34-21
26-31
44-28
28-21
32-31
27-36
36-29
24-32
21-43
37-32
30-23
24-25
229.2Avg total
117.5Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)113.4111.3224.7+2.054%
Season at home (33)114.5109.8224.3+4.767%
Season away (35)112.3112.8225.1-0.543%
Last 10 (10)117.5111.7229.2+5.860%
Last 5 (5)123.6116.4240.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)106.094.0200.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (23)111.2113.7224.9-2.543%
vs Weaker (6)117.7102.8220.5+14.8100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
128-99
128
99
+29
124avg 108
H25/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
104-101
104
101
+3
89avg 108
H26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
118-104
118
104
+14
113avg 108
A01/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
139-117
139
117
+22
134avg 108
H02/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
130-133
130
133
-3
131avg 108
H05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
117-111
117
111
+6
116avg 108
A06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
134-123
134
123
+11
136avg 108
A08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
118-113
118
113
+5
115avg 108
H10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
116-125 OT
116
125
-9
106avg 108
A12/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
133-124
133
124
+9
133avg 108
A14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
42-32
31-24
22-18
33-25
33-26
20-20
22-28
29-27
22-34
30-28
39-23
27-19
31-29
45-37
32-30
31-21
29-29
30-24
40-32
31-48
34-28
25-20
24-32
34-31
36-26
34-34
32-32
32-31
37-20
27-27
23-33
31-33
26-28
23-22
28-30
34-31
27-32
26-30
37-25
43-37
238.7Avg total
123.7Scored
115.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)116.1112.1228.2+4.072%
Season at home (34)119.6111.6231.2+8.082%
Season away (34)112.7112.6225.3+0.162%
Last 10 (10)123.7115.0238.7+8.780%
Last 5 (5)123.6119.2242.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)116.6111.0227.7+5.676%
vs Weaker (9)130.3121.3251.7+9.089%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
Phoenix SunsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H15/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H17/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A02/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A05/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H09/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A14/03
NBA
116.4Avg total
57.8Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.154.5110.6+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.154.6111.6+2.557%-
Last 30 away (16)55.254.4109.6+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)57.858.6116.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)59.264.0123.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.044.0101.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)55.656.6112.2-1.039%-
vs Weaker (6)57.848.2106.0+9.7100%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H25/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A01/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H02/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A12/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A14/03
NBA
115.8Avg total
60.8Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.056.3116.3+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.660.3122.9+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)57.852.8110.5+5.050%-
Last 10 (10)60.855.0115.8+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)59.053.4112.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)56.253.9110.0+2.348%-
vs Weaker (9)68.961.9130.8+7.067%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.332.8
57.2%
54.5%65.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.8
35.9%
35.8%35.4
🏀 Free throws21.116.5
78.2%
78.1%16.5
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 123.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers52.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.727.4
56.3%
54.5%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.917.6
41.0%
35.8%52.8
🏀 Free throws20.216.1
79.7%
78.1%16.1
They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLWWWWLWLW
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWWLWWWW
#9
League position
#1
+5.8
Net rating
+8.3
117.4
Offensive rating
117.9
111.6
Defensive rating
109.6
56.0%
Effective FG%
58.7%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
12.0%
Turnover %
12.7%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.9%
3-point %
41.0%
62.6%
Assist %
62.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 117.9Defence111.6 · 109.6Shooting56.0% · 58.7%3-point %35.9% · 41.0%Ball care12.0% · 12.7%Off. rebounds27.0% · 21.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Phoenix Suns wins
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/23AGolden State Warriors112-123
12/03/23HSacramento Kings119-128
09/03/23HOklahoma City Thunder132-101
05/03/23ADallas Mavericks130-126
04/03/23AChicago Bulls125-104
02/03/23ACharlotte Hornets105-91
26/02/23AMilwaukee Bucks101-104
25/02/23HOklahoma City Thunder124-115
17/02/23HLos Angeles Clippers107-116
15/02/23HSacramento Kings120-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/23ASacramento Kings133-124
12/03/23AGolden State Warriors116-125 OT
10/03/23HBrooklyn Nets118-113
08/03/23AOrlando Magic134-123
06/03/23AWashington Wizards117-111
05/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers130-133
02/03/23HOrlando Magic139-117
01/03/23ABrooklyn Nets118-104
26/02/23HPhoenix Suns104-101
25/02/23HMiami Heat128-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL54%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLWWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683335
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game113.4114.5112.3
Allowed / game111.3109.8112.8
Point differential+2.0+4.7-0.5
Avg total224.7224.3225.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (21)60% (10)27% (11)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW72%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683434
Win %72%82%62%
Points / game116.1119.6112.7
Allowed / game112.1111.6112.6
Point differential+4.0+8.0+0.1
Avg total228.2231.2225.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%44%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)57% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %7%3%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks68491972%116.1112.1+4.0
2 Boston Celtics69472268%117.7112.3+5.4
3 Philadelphia 76ers67452267%115.0110.7+4.3
4 Denver Nuggets69462367%116.8113.2+3.6
5 Cleveland Cavaliers71442762%112.1106.6+5.5
6 Memphis Grizzlies67412661%115.6111.6+4.1
7 Sacramento Kings67402760%121.3118.6+2.7
8 New York Knicks70403057%115.0112.3+2.7
9 Brooklyn Nets69393057%113.8113.1+0.7
10 Phoenix Suns68373154%113.4111.3+2.0
11 Miami Heat70373353%108.7109.5-0.8
12 Golden State Warriors69363352%118.2117.5+0.7
13 Los Angeles Clippers69363352%112.5112.5+0.0
14 Minnesota Timberwolves69353451%115.7115.7-0.0
15 Oklahoma City Thunder69343549%117.9116.2+1.7
16 Dallas Mavericks69343549%113.5113.1+0.4
17 Atlanta Hawks69343549%117.2117.5-0.3
18 Los Angeles Lakers69343549%116.7117.1-0.4
19 New Orleans Pelicans69333648%113.9113.5+0.4
20 Toronto Raptors69333648%112.6112.1+0.4
21 Utah Jazz69333648%117.2117.2-0.0
22 Washington Wizards69323746%113.0113.2-0.2
23 Chicago Bulls67313646%113.2112.4+0.7
24 Portland Trail Blazers68313746%114.6115.8-1.3
25 Indiana Pacers69313845%115.5117.9-2.4
26 Orlando Magic69284141%111.6114.6-3.0
27 Charlotte Hornets71224931%111.6117.5-5.8
28 San Antonio Spurs68185026%112.3121.9-9.6
29 Houston Rockets68165224%110.3118.3-8.0
30 Detroit Pistons70165423%111.2118.6-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns24243620104
Milwaukee Bucks29282831116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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