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Olimpia Milano vs Baskonia Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 08 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#19
Record1-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game89.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#20
Record1-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game91.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 37· Unipol Forum
European cup2026
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Baskonia
08 Apr 2027
MIL v BAS
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
MIL109
BAS89
10 Apr 2025
MIL111
BAS89
28 Dec 2023
MIL76
BAS67
31 Jan 2023
MIL89
BAS83
10 Feb 2022
MIL89
BAS78
23 Dec 2020
MIL79
BAS84
21 Nov 2018
MIL93
BAS90
20 Dec 2017
MIL92
BAS85
15 Nov 2016
MIL88
BAS76
16 Oct 2015
MIL78
BAS76
26 Mar 2015
MIL99
BAS85
17 Jan 2014
MIL83
BAS76
25 Oct 2012
MIL85
BAS95
25 Feb 2009
MIL74
BAS107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Dubai
#9
L
97-101
97
101
-4
93avg 83
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
93avg 83
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
80avg 83
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 83
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
26-27
19-27
29-18
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
23-27
28-20
21-17
23-18
15-24
22-16
22-11
14-33
26-28
30-20
19-22
13-16
25-18
16-27
11-18
31-23
173.4Avg total
86.2Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.389.3170.5-8.09%
Season at home (6)85.090.5175.5-5.517%
Season away (5)76.887.8164.6-11.00%
Last 10 (10)86.287.2173.4-1.030%
Last 5 (5)83.484.4167.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.589.2170.8-7.80%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.287.8174.0-1.750%
vs Weaker (16)88.679.8168.4+8.975%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 82
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 82
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
78avg 82
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
68avg 82
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#5
L
86-104
86
104
-18
78avg 82
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
79-94
79
94
-15
67avg 82
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#16
W
106-83
106
83
+23
104avg 82
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
65-84
65
84
-19
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#18
W
98-93
98
93
+5
no box
A07/11
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
A11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
22-22
19-22
25-18
18-25
18-14
24-15
17-28
21-20
19-23
14-20
25-22
19-27
16-14
18-18
22-25
19-30
27-26
23-26
17-22
16-26
23-23
20-26
20-19
30-22
20-18
33-24
23-19
18-33
14-19
9-11
24-21
27-20
27-19
24-23
20-31
18-23
20-19
22-23
6-15
168.4Avg total
80.9Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.991.9171.8-12.09%
Season at home (5)84.894.2179.0-9.420%
Season away (6)75.890.0165.8-14.20%
Last 10 (10)80.987.5168.4-6.620%
Last 5 (5)82.886.8169.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.192.8172.9-12.79%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.883.7164.5-2.936%
vs Weaker (8)104.885.2190.0+19.5100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
Olimpia MilanoBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/11
Euroleague
88.7Avg total
44.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.587.1+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.741.989.6+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.143.184.3-2.029%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.988.7+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.890.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.545.586.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.242.085.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker (16)47.241.188.4+6.169%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#5
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#16
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#18
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A07/11
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/11
Euroleague
85.1Avg total
40.4Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.185.3-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.342.288.5+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.182.2-5.913%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.785.1-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.487.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.348.288.5-7.99%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.240.578.7-2.427%-
vs Weaker (8)50.439.890.1+10.6100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
55.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
77.1%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.0
52.4%
55.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.2
33.2%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.718.8
76.1%
77.1%18.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLWLLLLWL
Baskonia
LWLWLLLLLL
#19
League position
#20
-1.4
Net rating
-5.0
100.0
Offensive rating
94.9
101.4
Defensive rating
99.9
55.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.0%
3-point %
33.2%
66.8%
Assist %
65.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 94.9Defence101.4 · 99.9Shooting55.5% · 51.4%3-point %36.0% · 33.2%Ball care16.5% · 16.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olimpia Milano wins
5
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas83-86
08/11/26HTrento88-86
05/11/26HValencia73-84
02/11/26ACantu95-82
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82
15/10/26HDubai97-101
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APartizan66-80
07/11/26AForca Lleida98-93
05/11/26AFenerbahce65-84
01/11/26HManresa106-83
30/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-94
27/10/26HReal Madrid86-104
25/10/26AValencia75-84
22/10/26APanathinaikos79-85
18/10/26ATenerife77-82
16/10/26AVirtus Bologna78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game81.385.076.8
Allowed / game89.390.587.8
Point differential-8.0-5.5-11.0
Avg total170.5175.5164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %9%20%0%
Points / game79.984.875.8
Allowed / game91.994.290.0
Point differential-12.0-9.4-14.2
Avg total171.8179.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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