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Olimpia Milano vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 109-89
32-29 25-27 27-15 25-18
Position#13
Record12-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#18
Record9-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game90.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26· Allianz Cloud
European cup2025
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Baskonia
08 Apr 2027
MIL v BAS
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
MIL109
BAS89
10 Apr 2025
MIL111
BAS89
28 Dec 2023
MIL76
BAS67
31 Jan 2023
MIL89
BAS83
10 Feb 2022
MIL89
BAS78
23 Dec 2020
MIL79
BAS84
21 Nov 2018
MIL93
BAS90
20 Dec 2017
MIL92
BAS85
15 Nov 2016
MIL88
BAS76
16 Oct 2015
MIL78
BAS76
26 Mar 2015
MIL99
BAS85
17 Jan 2014
MIL83
BAS76
25 Oct 2012
MIL85
BAS95
25 Feb 2009
MIL74
BAS107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
W
87-74
87
74
+13
86avg 79
A06/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
87-74
87
74
+13
84avg 79
H09/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
77-71
77
71
+6
65avg 79
A12/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
96-104
96
104
-8
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
A17/01
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
77-106
77
106
-29
61avg 79
A20/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
83avg 79
H22/01
Euroleague
Varese
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
67avg 79
H26/01
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
85-79
85
79
+6
79avg 79
H29/01
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 79
H01/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
23-23
23-15
26-16
16-27
22-22
24-8
25-17
15-23
17-15
20-17
25-16
25-27
30-17
27-26
14-34
25-27
24-23
22-11
16-17
23-30
13-24
19-24
22-28
22-19
22-26
23-17
15-24
19-15
24-21
19-27
12-21
25-22
27-21
17-14
16-22
25-20
25-23
14-23
17-24
167.9Avg total
83.3Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.086.0171.0-1.048%
Season at home (13)86.486.7173.1-0.354%
Season away (12)83.585.2168.8-1.842%
Last 10 (10)83.384.6167.9-1.350%
Last 5 (5)79.889.0168.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.090.2174.2-6.250%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.287.7174.9-0.554%
vs Weaker (13)84.981.9166.8+3.062%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Bayern
#14
L
89-96
89
96
-7
82avg 83
A07/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
78-73
78
73
+5
73avg 83
H09/01
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
96-85
96
85
+11
91avg 83
A11/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
89-75
89
75
+14
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
130-85
130
85
+45
no box
H18/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
74-93
74
93
-19
73avg 83
A20/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
71-84
71
84
-13
56avg 83
A23/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
77avg 83
H25/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
102-91
102
91
+11
97avg 83
H30/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
85-89
85
89
-4
73avg 83
A01/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
27-14
23-22
20-36
24-19
20-16
14-24
20-14
22-16
20-25
25-25
29-19
23-20
17-22
18-17
31-16
35-24
39-18
27-17
29-26
14-26
17-22
23-25
20-20
20-21
18-21
12-27
21-15
22-26
21-13
21-18
23-20
19-23
27-22
29-26
27-20
19-29
16-21
23-16
27-23
174.9Avg total
90.1Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.990.4177.3-3.536%
Season at home (12)88.884.2173.0+4.567%
Season away (13)85.296.1181.3-10.88%
Last 10 (10)90.184.8174.9+5.360%
Last 5 (5)83.886.8170.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)87.595.9183.4-8.518%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.680.9167.4+5.767%
vs Weaker (10)97.487.4184.8+10.080%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +3.8+3.8
Olimpia MilanoBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H09/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H15/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A17/01
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A20/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H22/01
Euroleague
Varese
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H26/01
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H29/01
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H01/02
Lega A
88.2Avg total
43.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.043.487.4+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.640.885.4+3.861%-
Last 30 away (12)43.047.390.3-4.317%-
Last 10 (10)43.744.588.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.289.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.245.289.5-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.244.889.0-0.731%-
vs Weaker (13)43.741.485.1+2.354%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A07/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H09/01
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A11/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A15/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
74-42
74
42
+32
H18/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A20/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A23/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H25/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H30/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A01/02
ACB
86.1Avg total
43.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.243.789.0+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.240.689.9+8.686%-
Last 30 away (16)41.846.488.2-4.738%-
Last 10 (10)43.942.286.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.883.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)44.045.789.7-1.745%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.040.384.3+3.778%-
vs Weaker (10)47.744.692.3+3.160%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.720.0
56.0%
60.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.7
34.3%
35.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.015.5
81.6%
78.2%15.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.6
56.6%
60.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.1
34.0%
35.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.718.0
79.3%
78.2%18.0
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLLLWLWWW
Baskonia
LWWLLWWWWL
#13
League position
#18
-3.4
Net rating
-1.6
103.9
Offensive rating
107.3
107.3
Defensive rating
108.9
54.1%
Effective FG%
54.2%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
40.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.3%
3-point %
34.0%
55.1%
Assist %
57.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 107.3Defence107.3 · 108.9Shooting54.1% · 54.2%3-point %34.3% · 34.0%Ball care15.7% · 15.8%Off. rebounds33.7% · 40.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olimpia Milano wins
5
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HBrescia81-90
29/01/26HPartizan85-79
26/01/26HVarese74-84
22/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas82-86
20/01/26AReal Madrid77-106
17/01/26ATortona87-78
15/01/26HCrvena zvezda96-104
12/01/26ABasket Napoli77-71
09/01/26HAnadolu Efes87-74
06/01/26APanathinaikos87-74
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26ATenerife85-89
30/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas102-91
25/01/26HJoventut Badalona87-77
23/01/26AFenerbahce71-84
20/01/26APanathinaikos74-93
18/01/26HManresa130-85
15/01/26AAnadolu Efes89-75
11/01/26ABasquet Girona96-85
09/01/26HLyon-Villeurbanne78-73
07/01/26ABayern89-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeLWLLW54%
AwayLLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %48%54%42%
Points / game85.086.483.5
Allowed / game86.086.785.2
Point differential-1.0-0.3-1.8
Avg total171.0173.1168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%8%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW36%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %36%67%8%
Points / game86.988.885.2
Allowed / game90.484.296.1
Point differential-3.5+4.5-10.8
Avg total177.3173.0181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2417771%82.178.7+3.4
2 Olympiacos2516964%89.283.9+5.2
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2516964%86.082.1+3.9
4 Barcelona2516964%86.684.7+1.9
5 Real Madrid26161062%87.783.3+4.4
6 Valencia26161062%90.286.4+3.8
7 Panathinaikos26161062%86.283.7+2.4
8 Crvena zvezda26161062%87.585.5+2.0
9 Zalgiris Kaunas26151158%88.882.9+5.8
10 Monaco26151158%90.985.7+5.2
11 Virtus Bologna25121348%82.883.4-0.6
12 Olimpia Milano25121348%85.086.0-1.0
13 Dubai26121446%87.288.2-1.0
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv26111542%88.991.8-2.8
15 Bayern25101540%79.483.0-3.6
16 Baskonia2591636%86.990.4-3.5
17 Paris2481633%89.792.8-3.1
18 Partizan2681831%80.489.5-9.1
19 Anadolu Efes2671927%79.384.7-5.4
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne2561924%78.787.0-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano32252725109
Baskonia2927151889
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