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Varese vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Aug 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-110
16-32 25-27 19-33 17-18
Position#13
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game71.0
ItalyLega A - Super CupRound 1
Other2020
Meetings · Varese v Olimpia Milano
18 Apr 2027
VAR v MIL
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
VAR61
MIL94
15 Dec 2024
VAR94
MIL92
17 Dec 2023
VAR70
MIL74
12 Feb 2023
VAR75
MIL87
10 Oct 2021
VAR79
MIL82
06 Dec 2020
VAR70
MIL96
29 Aug 2020
VAR77
MIL110
08 Mar 2020
VAR v MIL
upcoming
13 Apr 2019
VAR84
MIL94
29 Jan 2018
VAR76
MIL72
05 Feb 2017
VAR82
MIL98
24 Jan 2016
VAR64
MIL86
23 Nov 2014
VAR97
MIL105
27 Jan 2014
VAR71
MIL76
14 Apr 2013
VAR95
MIL81
07 Feb 2013
VAR92
MIL74
22 Jan 2012
VAR74
MIL64
17 Apr 2011
VAR82
MIL71
11 Oct 2009
VAR73
MIL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
W
99-69
99
69
+30
96avg 75
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
58avg 75
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
99avg 75
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
91-60
91
60
+31
94avg 75
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
69avg 75
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
84avg 75
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
81avg 75
A12/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
85avg 75
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 75
A26/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-19
24-20
21-15
20-15
14-14
21-23
12-17
20-20
25-24
31-30
26-20
21-13
24-18
17-29
16-24
15-22
26-14
18-19
24-15
23-12
16-20
20-26
17-19
28-21
23-17
14-27
22-11
25-24
25-28
18-22
27-25
17-18
20-20
22-18
33-21
16-26
20-24
28-20
13-20
15-15
165.6Avg total
85.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.180.5165.6+4.650%
Last 5 (5)83.884.4168.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.286.2159.5-13.00%
vs Similar (11)81.086.7167.7-5.727%
vs Weaker (15)83.373.1156.5+10.267%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Venezia
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
no box
A15/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
81-69
81
69
+12
80avg 75
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A29/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
68avg 75
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
91-67
91
67
+24
100avg 75
H12/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
58avg 75
A19/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
85-67
85
67
+18
84avg 75
A26/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
A01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
101-71
101
71
+30
no box
H27/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
21-22
18-13
12-16
28-21
15-17
19-9
19-22
20-24
20-22
16-17
14-20
19-22
17-26
26-13
21-28
19-22
22-19
20-15
30-11
15-9
19-20
17-27
21-22
23-15
18-19
25-12
19-21
14-16
18-18
24-15
21-25
23-16
19-23
17-22
18-13
26-18
28-20
24-16
23-17
155.0Avg total
80.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)101.071.0172.0+30.0100%
Season at home (1)101.071.0172.0+30.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.874.2155.0+6.670%
Last 5 (5)82.472.8155.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.083.0153.0-13.00%
vs Similar (10)82.379.9162.2+2.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)82.273.7155.8+8.574%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
VareseOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A12/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A26/01
Lega A
87.2Avg total
44.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.379.9+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.678.5+5.380%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.981.3-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.287.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.485.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.043.277.2-9.20%-
vs Similar (11)40.041.381.3-1.355%-
vs Weaker (15)42.836.779.5+6.173%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A15/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A29/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A19/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A26/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H27/08
Lega A - Super Cup
79.2Avg total
40.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.977.3+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.238.280.4+4.159%-
Last 30 away (13)35.837.573.3-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.879.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.875.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.046.086.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (10)40.138.878.9+1.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.137.076.1+2.158%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.116.0
56.9%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.4
38.2%
-37.2
🏀 Free throws18.314.9
81.4%
-14.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 24% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.0
46.6%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.7
37.2%
-26.1
🏀 Free throws24.718.5
74.9%
-18.5
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Aug 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLWLWLWLW
Olimpia Milano
WWWWLWLLWW
#13
League position
#1
+6.7
Net rating
+5.4
122.5
Offensive rating
109.1
115.8
Defensive rating
103.7
57.1%
Effective FG%
50.3%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
19.3%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.43
38.2%
3-point %
37.2%
59.5%
Assist %
55.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Varese   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
9
Olimpia Milano wins
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/20AFortitudo Bologna76-79
19/01/20HTrieste91-85
12/01/20ASassari87-93
05/01/20ATreviso84-79
29/12/19HTrento81-86
26/12/19HPistoia91-60
21/12/19ACremona72-93
15/12/19HPesaro103-87
08/12/19ACantu67-74
01/12/19HVirtus Roma99-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/20HCantu101-71
09/02/20HCremona77-74
01/02/20ABrindisi77-74
26/01/20ATrieste85-67
19/01/20ABrescia72-78
12/01/20HTreviso91-67
05/01/20HCantu83-89
29/12/19AVirtus Bologna70-83
22/12/19HTrento81-69
15/12/19AVenezia71-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A - Super Cup 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Olimpia Milano
Lega A - Super Cup 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game101.0101.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+30.0+30.0-
Avg total172.0172.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano110100%101.071.0+30.0
2 Cantu1010%71.0101.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1625191777
Olimpia Milano32273318110
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