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Olimpia Milano vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 89-98
25-21 15-32 27-31 22-14
Position#19
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#5
Record1-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game87.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5· Unipol Forum
European cup2026
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid
13 Oct 2026
MIL89
MAD98
16 Dec 2025
MIL89
MAD82
07 Nov 2024
MIL85
MAD76
08 Feb 2024
MIL81
MAD76
03 Nov 2022
MIL77
MAD83
16 Dec 2021
MIL73
MAD75
16 Oct 2020
MIL78
MAD70
17 Oct 2018
MIL85
MAD91
13 Mar 2018
MIL77
MAD88
27 Oct 2016
MIL90
MAD101
05 Dec 2013
MIL71
MAD78
01 Dec 2011
MIL65
MAD72
13 Jan 2010
MIL66
MAD75
08 Jan 2009
MIL70
MAD61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
W
92-79
92
79
+13
95avg 82
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
97-109
97
109
-12
82avg 82
A16/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 82
A18/06
Lega A
Partizan
#11
L
76-92
76
92
-16
71avg 82
A25/09
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
80avg 82
H27/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
87-85
87
85
+2
75avg 82
H29/09
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
L
76-86
76
86
-10
68avg 82
A02/10
Euroleague
Verona
#10
L
72-75
72
75
-3
66avg 82
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
79-97
79
97
-18
79avg 82
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#5
W
106-77
106
77
+29
112avg 82
H11/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
31-17
18-25
12-15
26-25
24-25
19-36
28-23
19-20
26-20
23-16
18-16
16-20
20-22
22-21
18-29
17-19
21-22
19-23
26-15
30-20
17-21
19-26
21-18
16-26
20-18
24-21
16-21
21-21
17-23
15-14
19-17
20-24
25-27
17-23
17-23
27-28
33-11
20-21
26-17
170.5Avg total
85.4Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.590.0169.5-10.525%
Season at home (1)87.085.0172.0+2.0100%
Season away (3)77.091.7168.7-14.70%
Last 10 (10)85.485.1170.5+0.350%
Last 5 (5)84.084.0168.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)82.793.0175.7-10.30%
vs Similar (8)86.290.1176.4-3.938%
vs Weaker (19)89.480.5169.9+8.974%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
97-98
97
98
-1
88avg 87
H02/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
118-83
118
83
+35
121avg 87
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
95-107
95
107
-12
87avg 87
H06/06
ACB
Dubai
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
64avg 87
A24/09
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
83avg 87
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
84-94
84
94
-10
86avg 87
A29/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
98-102
98
102
-4
94avg 87
A01/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
112avg 87
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
76avg 87
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
120-83
120
83
+37
122avg 87
H11/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
24-27
25-23
22-27
21-24
30-21
34-20
33-18
24-23
21-26
28-21
22-37
16-20
28-18
18-25
15-15
23-22
23-25
19-24
24-16
29-27
12-26
24-19
19-22
20-29
23-34
32-12
23-27
22-22
32-21
21-26
24-30
27-19
26-18
18-20
15-19
34-22
28-16
24-18
34-27
189.3Avg total
97.8Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.287.5173.8-1.225%
Season at home (1)86.076.0162.0+10.0100%
Season away (3)86.391.3177.7-5.00%
Last 10 (10)97.891.5189.3+6.350%
Last 5 (5)100.492.4192.8+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (10)91.087.8178.8+3.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)95.091.1186.1+3.942%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
Olimpia MilanoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A16/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A18/06
Lega A
Partizan
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/09
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H27/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H29/09
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A02/10
Euroleague
Verona
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#5
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H11/10
Lega A
88.8Avg total
45.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.842.688.4+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.440.289.6+9.286%-
Last 30 away (16)42.744.787.4-2.038%-
Last 10 (10)45.743.188.8+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)45.243.889.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)45.046.791.7-1.733%-
vs Similar (8)43.248.491.6-5.138%-
vs Weaker (19)47.139.586.6+7.574%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H02/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H06/06
ACB
Dubai
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A24/09
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A29/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A01/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H11/10
ACB
95.0Avg total
48.9Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.944.691.4+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.944.091.9+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)46.045.191.1+0.969%-
Last 10 (10)48.946.195.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)50.646.897.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (10)45.443.588.9+1.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.745.393.1+2.463%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.1
53.3%
55.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.0
37.6%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.115.2
79.6%
77.1%15.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 97.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.225.0
59.2%
55.2%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws27.322.0
80.6%
77.1%22.0
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLLLWWLWLW
Real Madrid
WWWLLWLLWL
#19
League position
#5
+0.4
Net rating
+7.0
99.9
Offensive rating
108.5
99.5
Defensive rating
101.5
54.6%
Effective FG%
55.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.7%
Turnover %
12.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.40
37.6%
3-point %
33.6%
63.8%
Assist %
57.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 108.5Defence99.5 · 101.5Shooting54.6% · 55.9%3-point %37.6% · 33.6%Ball care15.7% · 12.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
7
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26HTreviso106-77
08/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv79-97
05/10/26AVerona72-75
02/10/26ABaskonia76-86
29/09/26HVirtus Bologna87-85
27/09/26HTrieste83-79
25/09/26APartizan76-92
18/06/26AVenezia86-72
16/06/26AVenezia97-109
13/06/26HVenezia92-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26HManresa120-83
08/10/26HPartizan86-76
04/10/26AObradoiro CAB114-107 OT
01/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv98-102
29/09/26AAnadolu Efes84-94
27/09/26HUnicaja89-87
24/09/26ADubai77-78
06/06/26HTenerife95-107
04/06/26ATenerife118-83
02/06/26HTenerife97-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game79.587.077.0
Allowed / game90.085.091.7
Point differential-10.5+2.0-14.7
Avg total169.5172.0168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game86.286.086.3
Allowed / game87.576.091.3
Point differential-1.2+10.0-5.0
Avg total173.8162.0177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos440100%93.873.0+20.8
2 Valencia440100%101.289.0+12.2
3 Fenerbahce54180%85.476.4+9.0
4 Olympiacos43175%95.585.5+10.0
5 Partizan43175%86.581.2+5.2
6 Crvena zvezda53260%79.075.2+3.8
7 Besiktas42250%94.292.0+2.2
8 Barcelona42250%88.086.5+1.5
9 Virtus Bologna42250%85.886.5-0.8
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv42250%87.289.2-2.0
11 Dubai42250%74.079.2-5.2
12 Zalgiris Kaunas52340%84.086.4-2.4
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne52340%87.092.2-5.2
14 Real Madrid41325%86.287.5-1.2
15 Anadolu Efes41325%78.584.8-6.2
16 Paris41325%82.289.8-7.5
17 Bayern41325%83.291.0-7.8
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%82.890.5-7.8
19 Baskonia41325%86.896.2-9.5
20 Olimpia Milano41325%79.590.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2515272289
Real Madrid2132311498
← all games of the day
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