PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olimpia Milano vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 81-76
23-19 25-10 18-25 15-22
Position#12
Record10-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game76.7
Olimpia Milano 🏆
vs
Real Madrid
Position#1
Record22-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game79.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26· Unipol Forum
European cup2023
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid
13 Oct 2026
MIL89
MAD98
16 Dec 2025
MIL89
MAD82
07 Nov 2024
MIL85
MAD76
08 Feb 2024
MIL81
MAD76
03 Nov 2022
MIL77
MAD83
16 Dec 2021
MIL73
MAD75
16 Oct 2020
MIL78
MAD70
17 Oct 2018
MIL85
MAD91
13 Mar 2018
MIL77
MAD88
27 Oct 2016
MIL90
MAD101
05 Dec 2013
MIL71
MAD78
01 Dec 2011
MIL65
MAD72
13 Jan 2010
MIL66
MAD75
08 Jan 2009
MIL70
MAD61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 77
H09/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
62-76
62
76
-14
54avg 77
H11/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 77
H14/01
Lega A
Valencia
#14
L
72-84
72
84
-12
63avg 77
A19/01
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
85-65
85
65
+20
79avg 77
A21/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 77
H26/01
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
W
80-65
80
65
+15
78avg 77
H28/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
62-79
62
79
-17
48avg 77
A31/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
73-79
73
79
-6
69avg 77
A02/02
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
70avg 77
A04/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
21-18
23-23
22-18
15-23
16-24
16-10
15-19
20-18
22-17
16-21
25-26
19-21
21-11
19-29
13-23
21-19
19-13
26-16
19-17
23-12
24-16
10-21
17-21
19-20
24-23
24-10
13-12
16-21
12-23
13-13
21-22
15-15
28-19
7-30
23-15
21-24
20-9
16-23
21-16
149.9Avg total
75.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.876.7153.4+0.140%
Season at home (13)76.070.9146.9+5.162%
Season away (12)77.682.9160.5-5.317%
Last 10 (10)75.174.8149.9+0.360%
Last 5 (5)73.473.0146.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)65.077.5142.5-12.50%
vs Similar (17)77.977.4155.4+0.547%
vs Weaker (11)80.371.9152.2+8.482%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
W
92-71
92
71
+21
90avg 76
A09/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
W
96-86 OT
96
86
+10
91avg 76
H11/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
L
61-73
61
73
-12
58avg 76
A14/01
ACB
Monaco
#3
L
74-98
74
98
-24
61avg 76
A19/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
95-80
95
80
+15
99avg 76
H21/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
90-85
90
85
+5
92avg 76
H25/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
77-100
77
100
-23
60avg 76
A28/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
106-101
106
101
+5
110avg 76
H30/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 76
H01/02
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
92-79
92
79
+13
93avg 76
H04/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
21-18
19-17
28-18
16-24
19-16
23-15
24-27
16-19
10-17
25-16
10-21
20-33
20-23
14-24
20-18
30-22
18-16
28-14
19-28
30-13
22-17
16-25
22-30
9-25
27-32
24-21
17-22
29-18
23-27
28-28
26-28
24-18
21-17
17-15
24-29
28-18
20-26
20-14
24-21
172.1Avg total
86.9Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)89.679.8169.4+9.788%
Season at home (13)94.181.6175.7+12.5100%
Season away (12)84.777.9162.6+6.875%
Last 10 (10)86.985.2172.1+1.770%
Last 5 (5)90.288.8179.0+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)87.583.2170.8+4.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.280.3170.4+9.981%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
Olimpia MilanoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H11/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/01
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A19/01
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A21/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H26/01
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H28/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A31/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A02/02
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A04/02
Lega A
75.5Avg total
39.2Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.176.9+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.235.776.9+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)38.538.476.9+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.375.5+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.476.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.542.577.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (17)40.437.177.5+3.259%-
vs Weaker (11)40.136.076.1+4.164%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H11/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A14/01
ACB
Monaco
#3
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A19/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H21/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H25/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A28/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H30/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H01/02
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H04/02
ACB
84.4Avg total
42.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.438.683.0+5.883%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.136.582.6+9.694%-
Last 30 away (14)42.441.083.4+1.471%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.784.4+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.288.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)47.237.584.8+9.8100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.038.882.7+5.281%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.6
52.8%
53.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.6
32.5%
36.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws15.912.3
77.4%
77.4%12.3
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.8
53.4%
53.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.5
39.0%
36.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.817.0
85.9%
77.4%17.0
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLLWWWLWLW
Real Madrid
WWWLWWLLWW
#12
League position
#1
+0.7
Net rating
+2.5
106.1
Offensive rating
114.9
105.4
Defensive rating
112.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
55.6%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.7%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.5%
3-point %
39.0%
55.9%
Assist %
66.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 114.9Defence105.4 · 112.4Shooting51.2% · 55.6%3-point %32.5% · 39.0%Ball care16.4% · 17.7%Off. rebounds27.5% · 27.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Olimpia Milano wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
19/10/23Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano88-71
16/03/23Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano91-87
03/11/22Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid77-83
10/03/22Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano92-88 OT
16/12/21Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid73-75
08/01/21Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano76-80
16/10/20Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid78-70
20/03/19Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano92-89
17/10/18Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid85-91
13/03/18Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid77-88
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24APistoia78-72
02/02/24AAnadolu Efes73-79
31/01/24APanathinaikos62-79
28/01/24HSassari80-65
26/01/24HBarcelona74-70
21/01/24APesaro85-65
19/01/24AValencia72-84
14/01/24HTortona83-82
11/01/24HCrvena zvezda62-76
09/01/24HAlba Berlin82-76
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HBasquet Girona92-79
01/02/24HLyon-Villeurbanne86-79
30/01/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv106-101
28/01/24AGran Canaria77-100
25/01/24HOlympiacos90-85
21/01/24HBilbao95-80
19/01/24AMonaco74-98
14/01/24AMurcia61-73
11/01/24HValencia96-86 OT
09/01/24ABayern92-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %40%62%17%
Points / game76.876.077.6
Allowed / game76.770.982.9
Point differential+0.1+5.1-5.3
Avg total153.4146.9160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game89.694.184.7
Allowed / game79.881.677.9
Point differential+9.7+12.5+6.8
Avg total169.4175.7162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2522388%89.679.8+9.7
2 Barcelona2517868%82.678.5+4.0
3 Virtus Bologna2516964%80.681.2-0.6
4 Panathinaikos25151060%81.178.0+3.2
5 Fenerbahce25151060%83.481.2+2.2
6 Monaco25151060%81.379.1+2.2
7 Olympiacos25141156%78.775.6+3.1
8 Valencia25131252%76.675.9+0.6
9 Baskonia25131252%82.983.6-0.7
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv26131350%86.488.4-2.0
11 Partizan25121348%83.283.8-0.6
12 Anadolu Efes26111542%84.687.5-2.9
13 Crvena zvezda25101540%81.780.4+1.3
14 Olimpia Milano25101540%76.876.7+0.1
15 Zalgiris Kaunas25101540%79.880.3-0.6
16 Bayern25101540%79.682.5-2.9
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2552020%78.385.8-7.6
18 Alba Berlin2552020%76.084.6-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2325181581
Real Madrid1910252276
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.