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Olimpia Milano vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 78-70
10-19 21-23 23-13 24-15
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.3
Olimpia Milano 🏆
vs
Real Madrid
Position#7
Record1-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game84.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4
European cup2020
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid
13 Oct 2026
MIL89
MAD98
16 Dec 2025
MIL89
MAD82
07 Nov 2024
MIL85
MAD76
08 Feb 2024
MIL81
MAD76
03 Nov 2022
MIL77
MAD83
16 Dec 2021
MIL73
MAD75
16 Oct 2020
MIL78
MAD70
17 Oct 2018
MIL85
MAD91
13 Mar 2018
MIL77
MAD88
27 Oct 2016
MIL90
MAD101
05 Dec 2013
MIL71
MAD78
01 Dec 2011
MIL65
MAD72
13 Jan 2010
MIL66
MAD75
08 Jan 2009
MIL70
MAD61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brescia
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
H20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#13
W
87-71
87
71
+16
82avg 78
A27/09
Lega A
Bayern
#5
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
no box
A02/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#7
W
104-64
104
64
+40
105avg 78
H04/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 78
H09/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
87-65
87
65
+22
78avg 78
A11/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#12
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 78
A14/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
26-16
15-20
26-20
19-20
23-21
25-18
24-18
27-15
16-8
14-23
19-21
21-16
24-17
8-18
22-17
19-17
25-23
20-13
23-18
15-14
17-17
22-24
16-15
24-12
25-22
28-12
27-18
20-17
25-23
16-14
26-19
26-12
19-24
24-9
18-20
21-18
21-18
16-27
17-23
158.3Avg total
85.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.079.3160.3+1.767%
Season at home (1)87.073.0160.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)78.082.5160.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)85.472.9158.3+12.590%
Last 5 (5)86.873.4160.2+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.083.0153.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.774.7155.3+6.083%
vs Weaker (23)86.372.0158.4+14.387%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
W
95-68
95
68
+27
no box
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#4
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
A12/09
Supercopa ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
72-67
72
67
+5
no box
H13/09
Supercopa ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 83
A19/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
102-83
102
83
+19
106avg 83
H25/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
87-64
87
64
+23
90avg 83
A27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
63-76
63
76
-13
53avg 83
A02/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
77-93
77
93
-16
72avg 83
H08/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
90-65
90
65
+25
89avg 83
A11/10
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 83
H14/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
17-15
25-14
27-26
23-18
25-24
22-17
22-20
18-14
13-18
19-17
22-18
25-21
16-20
25-12
20-17
26-13
21-28
28-17
27-25
20-9
22-14
21-12
24-29
16-15
13-18
20-19
14-24
19-17
20-27
14-24
24-25
18-12
26-22
20-11
26-20
25-25
24-16
21-16
24-28
160.8Avg total
85.8Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.084.7162.7-6.733%
Season at home (2)85.589.0174.5-3.550%
Season away (1)63.076.0139.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)85.875.0160.8+10.880%
Last 5 (5)82.276.6158.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.084.2164.2-4.220%
vs Weaker (23)87.976.8164.7+11.191%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
Olimpia MilanoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#10
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A27/09
Lega A
Bayern
#5
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A02/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H04/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H09/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A11/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A14/10
Euroleague
79.0Avg total
43.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.136.678.7+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.936.179.9+7.887%-
Last 30 away (15)40.437.177.5+3.367%-
Last 10 (10)43.735.379.0+8.4100%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.478.0+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.046.086.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.833.371.2+4.567%-
vs Weaker (23)43.337.080.3+6.383%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A12/09
Supercopa ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H13/09
Supercopa ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A19/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A02/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/10
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H14/10
Euroleague
77.2Avg total
41.3Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.579.7+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.440.082.4+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)40.137.177.2+3.056%-
Last 10 (10)41.335.977.2+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.075.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.241.079.2-2.820%-
vs Weaker (23)41.237.478.6+3.861%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.5
46.7%
52.7%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.8
41.4%
38.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.318.6
76.5%
79.3%18.6
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.518.9
60.0%
52.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.711.4
39.7%
38.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws14.311.2
78.3%
79.3%11.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWWWWWWWWW
Real Madrid
WWLLWWWWWW
#4
League position
#7
+16.1
Net rating
+11.1
114.4
Offensive rating
115.6
98.3
Defensive rating
104.5
52.6%
Effective FG%
59.8%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
19.2%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.24
41.4%
3-point %
39.7%
60.8%
Assist %
64.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 115.6Defence98.3 · 104.5Shooting52.6% · 59.8%3-point %41.4% · 39.7%Ball care15.6% · 19.2%Off. rebounds30.6% · 29.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Olimpia Milano wins
10
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
20/03/19Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano92-89
17/10/18Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid85-91
13/03/18Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid77-88
24/10/17Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano100-90
27/01/17Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano94-89
27/10/16Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid90-101
05/12/13Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid71-78
01/11/13Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano93-74
01/12/11Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid65-72
27/10/11Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano85-78
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/20AOlympiacos75-86
11/10/20ATrieste87-65
09/10/20HLyon-Villeurbanne87-73
04/10/20HTreviso104-64
02/10/20ABayern81-79 OT
27/09/20AReggiana87-71
20/09/20HVirtus Bologna75-68
18/09/20HVenezia76-67
10/09/20HVarese91-77
07/09/20ABrescia91-79
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/20HKhimki M.94-85
11/10/20AGran Canaria90-65
08/10/20HValencia77-93
02/10/20ABaskonia63-76
27/09/20AJoventut Badalona87-64
25/09/20HBasket Zaragoza102-83
19/09/20AGipuzkoa86-70
13/09/20HBarcelona72-67
12/09/20ATenerife92-79
16/02/20AUnicaja95-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game81.087.078.0
Allowed / game79.373.082.5
Point differential+1.7+14.0-4.5
Avg total160.3160.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game78.085.563.0
Allowed / game84.789.076.0
Point differential-6.7-3.5-13.0
Avg total162.7174.5139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas440100%79.069.8+9.2
2 Zenit Petersburg220100%73.569.5+4.0
3 Bayern43175%82.276.5+5.8
4 Olympiacos43175%79.074.0+5.0
5 Barcelona43175%78.573.8+4.8
6 Valencia32167%74.770.3+4.3
7 Olimpia Milano32167%81.079.3+1.7
8 Fenerbahce42250%76.271.8+4.5
9 Baskonia21150%74.576.5-2.0
10 CSKA Moscow42250%77.079.5-2.5
11 Crvena zvezda31233%74.075.0-1.0
12 Panathinaikos31233%79.383.7-4.3
13 Real Madrid31233%78.084.7-6.7
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%79.079.8-0.8
15 Anadolu Efes41325%76.578.5-2.0
16 Alba Berlin41325%77.587.8-10.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2020%68.076.0-8.0
18 Khimki M.3030%77.085.3-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1021232478
Real Madrid1923131570
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