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Olimpia Milano vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-83
20-23 30-24 11-20 16-16
Position#12
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#2
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game76.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6
European cup2022
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid
13 Oct 2026
MIL89
MAD98
16 Dec 2025
MIL89
MAD82
07 Nov 2024
MIL85
MAD76
08 Feb 2024
MIL81
MAD76
03 Nov 2022
MIL77
MAD83
16 Dec 2021
MIL73
MAD75
16 Oct 2020
MIL78
MAD70
17 Oct 2018
MIL85
MAD91
13 Mar 2018
MIL77
MAD88
27 Oct 2016
MIL90
MAD101
05 Dec 2013
MIL71
MAD78
01 Dec 2011
MIL65
MAD72
13 Jan 2010
MIL66
MAD75
08 Jan 2009
MIL70
MAD61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brescia
#8
W
78-77
78
77
+1
77avg 71
H02/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
69-62
69
62
+7
67avg 71
A06/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
75-66
75
66
+9
71avg 71
A09/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
L
74-80 OT
74
80
-6
no box
H14/10
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
83-82
83
82
+1
72avg 71
H16/10
Lega A
Partizan
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 71
A18/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
83-81
83
81
+2
77avg 71
A20/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 71
A23/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
L
56-74
56
74
-18
45avg 71
A28/10
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
78-54
78
54
+24
79avg 71
H30/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
14-15
11-22
31-19
14-23
27-21
15-10
13-8
33-25
22-15
14-12
6-14
12-26
18-12
21-22
19-10
27-21
19-16
23-29
14-16
17-27
24-22
21-12
18-14
16-22
21-21
26-23
20-15
21-16
15-21
18-23
15-17
21-21
8-22
12-18
15-13
23-6
18-21
19-16
18-11
147.3Avg total
74.5Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.474.4146.8-2.060%
Season at home (1)74.080.0154.0-6.00%
Season away (4)72.073.0145.0-1.075%
Last 10 (10)74.572.8147.3+1.770%
Last 5 (5)73.272.2145.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)68.074.5142.5-6.550%
vs Similar (11)75.473.5148.8+1.955%
vs Weaker (16)81.071.6152.6+9.488%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
92avg 77
H02/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
71-68
71
68
+3
69avg 77
A06/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 77
A09/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
73-75
73
75
-2
66avg 77
A13/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
96-79
96
79
+17
90avg 77
H16/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
87-89
87
89
-2
85avg 77
H19/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
72-56
72
56
+16
78avg 77
H21/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
76avg 77
A23/10
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
91-95
91
95
-4
84avg 77
H27/10
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
95avg 77
H30/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-12
15-13
26-30
25-24
23-22
15-15
16-14
17-17
18-14
19-17
19-16
20-24
15-24
15-16
22-23
21-12
23-25
22-25
24-15
27-14
21-20
17-17
24-26
25-26
25-10
14-20
15-14
18-12
19-14
14-23
25-18
24-33
24-18
21-23
19-27
27-27
26-12
26-18
13-22
26-17
160.1Avg total
83.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.876.6155.4+2.240%
Season at home (3)83.380.0163.3+3.333%
Season away (2)72.071.5143.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)83.276.9160.1+6.360%
Last 5 (5)84.679.4164.0+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)78.075.0153.0+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.577.5165.0+9.995%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
Olimpia MilanoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A06/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A09/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H14/10
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H16/10
Lega A
Partizan
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A20/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A23/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A28/10
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H30/10
Lega A
78.6Avg total
39.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.677.6+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.937.279.1+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)38.338.076.3+0.344%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.478.6-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.876.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)35.046.081.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (11)37.538.375.7-0.845%-
vs Weaker (16)43.237.180.3+6.162%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H02/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A06/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A09/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A13/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H16/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H21/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/10
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H27/10
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H30/10
ACB
75.7Avg total
39.9Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.577.1+4.277%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.635.777.3+5.987%-
Last 30 away (15)39.737.376.9+2.467%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.875.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.076.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)36.735.472.1+1.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.637.179.7+5.584%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.7
49.7%
53.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.8
34.5%
36.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.113.3
82.6%
78.5%13.3
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.4
52.6%
53.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.4
35.9%
36.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.416.5
80.9%
78.5%16.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLLWWWLWWW
Real Madrid
WLLWLWLWWW
#12
League position
#2
+5.3
Net rating
+9.3
105.4
Offensive rating
112.4
100.2
Defensive rating
103.2
50.5%
Effective FG%
53.1%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.1%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.5%
3-point %
35.9%
62.3%
Assist %
66.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 112.4Defence100.2 · 103.2Shooting50.5% · 53.1%3-point %34.5% · 35.9%Ball care17.8% · 18.1%Off. rebounds28.1% · 32.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Olimpia Milano wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/22HVerona78-54
28/10/22ABarcelona56-74
23/10/22AVenezia69-77
20/10/22ABayern83-81
18/10/22APartizan80-75
16/10/22HBrindisi83-82
14/10/22HAlba Berlin74-80 OT
09/10/22AScafati75-66
06/10/22ALyon-Villeurbanne69-62
02/10/22HBrescia78-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/22HFuenlabrada91-69
27/10/22HVirtus Bologna91-95
23/10/22ABaskonia82-88
21/10/22HCrvena zvezda72-56
19/10/22HOlympiacos87-89
16/10/22HJoventut Badalona96-79
13/10/22ABarcelona73-75
09/10/22AUnicaja76-71
06/10/22APanathinaikos71-68
02/10/22HObradoiro CAB93-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeL0%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%0%75%
Points / game72.474.072.0
Allowed / game74.480.073.0
Point differential-2.0-6.0-1.0
Avg total146.8154.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %20%100%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game78.883.372.0
Allowed / game76.680.071.5
Point differential+2.2+3.3+0.5
Avg total155.4163.3143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce550100%82.270.4+11.8
2 Olympiacos54180%86.482.0+4.4
3 Monaco54180%82.478.4+4.0
4 Baskonia64267%90.885.5+5.3
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv64267%82.283.0-0.8
6 Alba Berlin53260%84.277.6+6.6
7 Barcelona53260%75.071.0+4.0
8 Olimpia Milano53260%72.474.4-2.0
9 Partizan52340%86.484.2+2.2
10 Real Madrid52340%78.876.6+2.2
11 Anadolu Efes52340%82.481.6+0.8
12 Valencia52340%80.680.2+0.4
13 Zalgiris Kaunas52340%76.079.6-3.6
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne52340%71.675.6-4.0
15 Virtus Bologna52340%70.879.0-8.2
16 Crvena zvezda51420%68.677.0-8.4
17 Panathinaikos51420%72.881.6-8.8
18 Bayern5050%70.277.0-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2030111677
Real Madrid2324201683
← all games of the day
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