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Olimpia Milano vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#4
Record14-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game75.0
ItalyLega ARound 33
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna
25 Oct 2026
MIL94
VIR98
29 Sep 2026
MIL87
VIR85
26 Mar 2026
MIL103
VIR87
14 Dec 2025
MIL74
VIR63
07 Jun 2025
MIL78
VIR84
05 Jun 2025
MIL68
VIR78
08 Dec 2024
MIL73
VIR82
31 Oct 2024
MIL99
VIR90
22 Sep 2024
MIL98
VIR96
13 Jun 2024
MIL85
VIR73
11 Jun 2024
MIL81
VIR78
05 Apr 2024
MIL90
VIR75
10 Dec 2023
MIL82
VIR80
23 Sep 2023
MIL73
VIR78
23 Jun 2023
MIL67
VIR55
19 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR72
11 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR76
09 Jun 2023
MIL92
VIR82
19 Mar 2023
MIL69
VIR75
09 Nov 2022
MIL59
VIR64
28 Sep 2022
MIL64
VIR72
18 Jun 2022
MIL81
VIR64
14 Jun 2022
MIL77
VIR62
12 Jun 2022
MIL94
VIR82
05 Jan 2022
MIL102
VIR99
21 Sep 2021
MIL84
VIR90
07 Jun 2021
MIL72
VIR83
05 Jun 2021
MIL77
VIR83
17 Apr 2021
MIL94
VIR84
20 Sep 2020
MIL75
VIR68
19 Apr 2020
MIL v VIR
upcoming
14 Feb 2019
MIL84
VIR86
27 Jan 2019
MIL94
VIR75
05 Nov 2017
MIL72
VIR64
08 Nov 2015
MIL87
VIR72
20 May 2015
MIL99
VIR72
18 May 2015
MIL90
VIR67
26 Apr 2015
MIL117
VIR92
23 Feb 2014
MIL89
VIR66
27 Jan 2013
MIL91
VIR68
23 Oct 2011
MIL79
VIR64
10 Apr 2011
MIL71
VIR64
07 Mar 2010
MIL73
VIR71
19 Oct 2008
MIL68
VIR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#17
W
71-65
71
65
+6
62avg 74
A08/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
no box
A15/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
81-69
81
69
+12
80avg 74
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A29/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
68avg 74
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
91-67
91
67
+24
100avg 74
H12/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
58avg 74
A19/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
85-67
85
67
+18
84avg 74
A26/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
A01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
14-14
21-16
19-19
20-19
21-22
18-13
12-16
28-21
15-17
19-9
19-22
20-24
20-22
16-17
14-20
19-22
17-26
26-13
21-28
19-22
22-19
20-15
30-11
15-9
19-20
17-27
21-22
23-15
18-19
25-12
19-21
14-16
18-18
24-15
21-25
23-16
19-23
17-22
18-13
151.4Avg total
77.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.374.0154.4+6.367%
Season at home (11)84.575.0159.5+9.573%
Season away (10)75.873.0148.8+2.860%
Last 10 (10)77.873.6151.4+4.270%
Last 5 (5)80.472.0152.4+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)82.592.0174.5-9.50%
vs Similar (10)82.379.9162.2+2.460%
vs Weaker (18)81.173.8154.9+7.372%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
66-78
66
78
-12
50avg 106
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
99-87
99
87
+12
103avg 106
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
69avg 106
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
94-62
94
62
+32
87avg 106
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
83-77
83
77
+6
82avg 106
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
97-68
97
68
+29
103avg 106
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-60
90
60
+30
90avg 106
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
81avg 106
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
106-89
106
89
+17
112avg 106
H01/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
20-20
18-14
14-18
22-20
32-23
23-22
22-22
17-22
21-21
19-27
20-21
22-11
23-14
20-21
29-16
24-20
22-20
17-16
20-14
21-17
21-8
13-25
28-27
22-14
28-15
21-21
26-18
19-8
27-20
16-20
28-12
21-21
23-18
19-16
20-16
25-25
27-22
29-11
25-31
163.1Avg total
87.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.075.0160.9+11.090%
Season at home (10)88.173.4161.5+14.7100%
Season away (10)83.876.6160.4+7.280%
Last 10 (10)87.875.3163.1+12.580%
Last 5 (5)91.873.0164.8+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.374.3150.7+2.067%
vs Similar (7)75.976.1152.0-0.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.772.8157.6+11.990%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
Olimpia MilanoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#17
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A08/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A15/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A29/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A19/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A26/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/02
Lega A
76.1Avg total
38.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.077.4+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.538.279.7+3.356%-
Last 30 away (14)37.037.974.9-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.076.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.473.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)46.544.090.5+2.550%-
vs Similar (10)40.138.878.9+1.340%-
vs Weaker (18)38.236.975.2+1.356%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H01/02
Lega A
81.6Avg total
45.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.077.1+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.335.476.7+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)40.836.877.6+3.954%-
Last 10 (10)45.136.581.6+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.833.680.4+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.333.073.3+7.367%-
vs Similar (7)36.637.073.6-0.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.836.178.9+6.675%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.0
46.6%
52.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.7
37.2%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.718.5
74.9%
73.6%18.5
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.622.3
59.3%
52.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.7
37.0%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.413.3
68.6%
73.6%13.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWLLWWW
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWLWL
#4
League position
#1
+5.4
Net rating
+17.2
109.1
Offensive rating
117.8
103.7
Defensive rating
100.6
50.3%
Effective FG%
57.8%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.2%
3-point %
37.0%
55.9%
Assist %
67.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 117.8Defence103.7 · 100.6Shooting50.3% · 57.8%3-point %37.2% · 37.0%Ball care19.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds33.1% · 32.5%Free throws0.43 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HCremona77-74
01/02/20ABrindisi77-74
26/01/20ATrieste85-67
19/01/20ABrescia72-78
12/01/20HTreviso91-67
05/01/20HCantu83-89
29/12/19AVirtus Bologna70-83
22/12/19HTrento81-69
15/12/19AVenezia71-70
08/12/19APesaro71-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/20HPesaro106-89
25/01/20AVenezia83-71
18/01/20HPistoia90-60
12/01/20AVirtus Roma97-68
05/01/20ATrento83-77
29/12/19HOlimpia Milano83-70
25/12/19HFortitudo Bologna94-62
22/12/19ASassari77-91
14/12/19HBrindisi99-87
08/12/19ACremona66-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%73%60%
Points / game80.384.575.8
Allowed / game74.075.073.0
Point differential+6.3+9.5+2.8
Avg total154.4159.5148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%64%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game86.088.183.8
Allowed / game75.073.476.6
Point differential+10.9+14.7+7.2
Avg total160.9161.5160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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